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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - How to make advances in hydrological modelling
AU - Beven, Keith
PY - 2019/12/1
Y1 - 2019/12/1
N2 - After some background about what I have learned from a career in hydrological modelling, I present some opinions about how we might make progress in improving hydrological models in future, including how to decide whether a model is fit for purpose; how to improve process representations in hydrological models; and how to take advantage of Models of Everywhere. Underlying all those issues, however, is the fundamental problem of improving the hydrological data available for both forcing and evaluating hydrological models. It would be a major advance if the hydrological community could come together to prioritise and commission the new observational methods that are required to make real progress.
AB - After some background about what I have learned from a career in hydrological modelling, I present some opinions about how we might make progress in improving hydrological models in future, including how to decide whether a model is fit for purpose; how to improve process representations in hydrological models; and how to take advantage of Models of Everywhere. Underlying all those issues, however, is the fundamental problem of improving the hydrological data available for both forcing and evaluating hydrological models. It would be a major advance if the hydrological community could come together to prioritise and commission the new observational methods that are required to make real progress.
KW - epistemic uncertainties
KW - hypothesis testing
KW - model invalidation
KW - Models of Everywhere
KW - process representations
U2 - 10.2166/nh.2019.134
DO - 10.2166/nh.2019.134
M3 - Journal article
VL - 50
SP - 1481
EP - 1494
JO - Hydrology Research
JF - Hydrology Research
SN - 0029-1277
IS - 6
T2 - 13th National Hydrology Symposium - Hydrology - Advances in Theory and Practice
Y2 - 12 September 2018 through 13 September 2018
ER -