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Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Interlinked Computing in 2040
T2 - Safety, Truth, Ownership and Accountability
AU - Weir, Charles
AU - Dyson, Anna
AU - Jogunola, Olamide
AU - Dennis, Louise
AU - Paxton-Fear, Katie
PY - 2024/1/5
Y1 - 2024/1/5
N2 - Computer systems are increasingly linked together, with systems controlled by different parties cooperating to deliver services. Such links offer both huge benefits and possible risks. Both the potential benefits and risks may be magnified as novel technologies such as Artificial Intelligence are integrated into these toolchains. What are these risks, and how might we begin to address them? Using a Delphi-based method, we interviewed twelve experts at envisaging technology futures to gain insight into likely trends, their impact on society, and how we might start to mitigate negative impacts. From the results, we highlight five forecasts, and six possible interventions that could help. The forecasts include major challenges related to Artificial Intelligence and system complexity, particularly where these involve interactions between independent systems. Addressing these challenges using the suggested interventions offers a good strategy to prepare ourselves for 2040.
AB - Computer systems are increasingly linked together, with systems controlled by different parties cooperating to deliver services. Such links offer both huge benefits and possible risks. Both the potential benefits and risks may be magnified as novel technologies such as Artificial Intelligence are integrated into these toolchains. What are these risks, and how might we begin to address them? Using a Delphi-based method, we interviewed twelve experts at envisaging technology futures to gain insight into likely trends, their impact on society, and how we might start to mitigate negative impacts. From the results, we highlight five forecasts, and six possible interventions that could help. The forecasts include major challenges related to Artificial Intelligence and system complexity, particularly where these involve interactions between independent systems. Addressing these challenges using the suggested interventions offers a good strategy to prepare ourselves for 2040.
KW - Forecasting
KW - Complex systems
KW - Futurists
KW - Artificial intelligence
KW - AI safety
KW - Delphi study
U2 - 10.1109/MC.2023.3318377
DO - 10.1109/MC.2023.3318377
M3 - Journal article
VL - 57
SP - 59
EP - 68
JO - Computer
JF - Computer
SN - 0018-9162
IS - 1
ER -