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On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone

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On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone. / Dhomse, S. S.; Chipperfield, M. P.; Damadeo, R. P. et al.
In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 43, No. 13, 16.07.2016, p. 7241-7249.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Dhomse, SS, Chipperfield, MP, Damadeo, RP, Zawodny, JM, Ball, WT, Feng, W, Hossaini, R, Mann, GW & Haigh, JD 2016, 'On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone', Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, no. 13, pp. 7241-7249. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069958

APA

Dhomse, S. S., Chipperfield, M. P., Damadeo, R. P., Zawodny, J. M., Ball, W. T., Feng, W., Hossaini, R., Mann, G. W., & Haigh, J. D. (2016). On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(13), 7241-7249. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069958

Vancouver

Dhomse SS, Chipperfield MP, Damadeo RP, Zawodny JM, Ball WT, Feng W et al. On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone. Geophysical Research Letters. 2016 Jul 16;43(13):7241-7249. Epub 2016 Jul 12. doi: 10.1002/2016GL069958

Author

Dhomse, S. S. ; Chipperfield, M. P. ; Damadeo, R. P. et al. / On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone. In: Geophysical Research Letters. 2016 ; Vol. 43, No. 13. pp. 7241-7249.

Bibtex

@article{beacf1f1a51947a0a94ed8d6e7f6d8a7,
title = "On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone",
abstract = "Up to now our understanding of the 11year ozone solar cycle signal (SCS) in the upper stratosphere has been largely based on the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) II (v6.2) data record, which indicated a large positive signal which could not be reproduced by models, calling into question our understanding of the chemistry of the upper stratosphere. Here we present an analysis of new v7.0 SAGE II data which shows a smaller upper stratosphere ozone SCS, due to a more realistic ozone-temperature anticorrelation. New simulations from a state-of-art 3-D chemical transport model show a small SCS in the upper stratosphere, which is in agreement with SAGE v7.0 data and the shorter Halogen Occultation Experiment and Microwave Limb Sounder records. However, despite these improvements in the SAGE II data, there are still large uncertainties in current observational and meteorological reanalysis data sets, so accurate quantification of the influence of solar flux variability on the climate system remains an open scientific question.",
keywords = "solar signal, stratosphere, modeling, CHEMICAL-TRANSPORT MODEL, QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION, MT. PINATUBO ERUPTION, SPECTRAL IRRADIANCE, CLIMATE MODEL, SAGE II, SIMULATIONS, VARIABILITY, CIRCULATION, VERSION",
author = "Dhomse, {S. S.} and Chipperfield, {M. P.} and Damadeo, {R. P.} and Zawodny, {J. M.} and Ball, {W. T.} and W. Feng and R. Hossaini and Mann, {G. W.} and Haigh, {J. D.}",
year = "2016",
month = jul,
day = "16",
doi = "10.1002/2016GL069958",
language = "English",
volume = "43",
pages = "7241--7249",
journal = "Geophysical Research Letters",
issn = "0094-8276",
publisher = "John Wiley & Sons, Ltd",
number = "13",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - On the ambiguous nature of the 11year solar cycle signal in upper stratospheric ozone

AU - Dhomse, S. S.

AU - Chipperfield, M. P.

AU - Damadeo, R. P.

AU - Zawodny, J. M.

AU - Ball, W. T.

AU - Feng, W.

AU - Hossaini, R.

AU - Mann, G. W.

AU - Haigh, J. D.

PY - 2016/7/16

Y1 - 2016/7/16

N2 - Up to now our understanding of the 11year ozone solar cycle signal (SCS) in the upper stratosphere has been largely based on the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) II (v6.2) data record, which indicated a large positive signal which could not be reproduced by models, calling into question our understanding of the chemistry of the upper stratosphere. Here we present an analysis of new v7.0 SAGE II data which shows a smaller upper stratosphere ozone SCS, due to a more realistic ozone-temperature anticorrelation. New simulations from a state-of-art 3-D chemical transport model show a small SCS in the upper stratosphere, which is in agreement with SAGE v7.0 data and the shorter Halogen Occultation Experiment and Microwave Limb Sounder records. However, despite these improvements in the SAGE II data, there are still large uncertainties in current observational and meteorological reanalysis data sets, so accurate quantification of the influence of solar flux variability on the climate system remains an open scientific question.

AB - Up to now our understanding of the 11year ozone solar cycle signal (SCS) in the upper stratosphere has been largely based on the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE) II (v6.2) data record, which indicated a large positive signal which could not be reproduced by models, calling into question our understanding of the chemistry of the upper stratosphere. Here we present an analysis of new v7.0 SAGE II data which shows a smaller upper stratosphere ozone SCS, due to a more realistic ozone-temperature anticorrelation. New simulations from a state-of-art 3-D chemical transport model show a small SCS in the upper stratosphere, which is in agreement with SAGE v7.0 data and the shorter Halogen Occultation Experiment and Microwave Limb Sounder records. However, despite these improvements in the SAGE II data, there are still large uncertainties in current observational and meteorological reanalysis data sets, so accurate quantification of the influence of solar flux variability on the climate system remains an open scientific question.

KW - solar signal

KW - stratosphere

KW - modeling

KW - CHEMICAL-TRANSPORT MODEL

KW - QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION

KW - MT. PINATUBO ERUPTION

KW - SPECTRAL IRRADIANCE

KW - CLIMATE MODEL

KW - SAGE II

KW - SIMULATIONS

KW - VARIABILITY

KW - CIRCULATION

KW - VERSION

U2 - 10.1002/2016GL069958

DO - 10.1002/2016GL069958

M3 - Journal article

VL - 43

SP - 7241

EP - 7249

JO - Geophysical Research Letters

JF - Geophysical Research Letters

SN - 0094-8276

IS - 13

ER -