Rights statement: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Hydrological Sciences Journal on 01/08/2017, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926
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Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Perceptual models of uncertainty for socio-hydrological systems
T2 - a flood risk change example
AU - Westerberg, Ida K.
AU - Di Baldassarre, Giuliano
AU - Beven, Keith J.
AU - Coxon, Gemma
AU - Krueger, Tobias
N1 - This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Hydrological Sciences Journal on 01/08/2017, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926
PY - 2017/8/18
Y1 - 2017/8/18
N2 - Characterizing, understanding and better estimating uncertainties are key concerns for drawing robust conclusions when analyzing changing socio-hydrological systems. Here we suggest developing a perceptual model of uncertainty that is complementary to the perceptual model of the socio-hydrological system and we provide an example application to flood risk change analysis. Such a perceptual model aims to make all relevant uncertainty sources–and different perceptions thereof–explicit in a structured way. It is a first step to assessing uncertainty in system outcomes that can help to prioritize research efforts and to structure dialogue and communication about uncertainty in interdisciplinary work.
AB - Characterizing, understanding and better estimating uncertainties are key concerns for drawing robust conclusions when analyzing changing socio-hydrological systems. Here we suggest developing a perceptual model of uncertainty that is complementary to the perceptual model of the socio-hydrological system and we provide an example application to flood risk change analysis. Such a perceptual model aims to make all relevant uncertainty sources–and different perceptions thereof–explicit in a structured way. It is a first step to assessing uncertainty in system outcomes that can help to prioritize research efforts and to structure dialogue and communication about uncertainty in interdisciplinary work.
KW - change analysis
KW - flood risk
KW - perceptual model
KW - socio-hydrology
KW - Uncertainty
U2 - 10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926
DO - 10.1080/02626667.2017.1356926
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85026546526
VL - 62
SP - 1705
EP - 1713
JO - Hydrological Sciences Journal
JF - Hydrological Sciences Journal
SN - 0262-6667
IS - 11
ER -