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Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland

Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

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Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland. / Francis, Brian; Harman, Juliet; Humphreys, Leslie.
Belfast: Northern Ireland Office, 2005. 16 p. (Research and Statistical Bulletin; Vol. 2005, No. 7/2005).

Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

Harvard

Francis, B, Harman, J & Humphreys, L 2005, Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland. Research and Statistical Bulletin, no. 7/2005, vol. 2005, vol. 7/2005, Northern Ireland Office, Belfast. <http://www.nio.gov.uk/predicting_reconviction_rates_in_northern_ireland_7-2005.pdf>

APA

Francis, B., Harman, J., & Humphreys, L. (2005). Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland. (Research and Statistical Bulletin; Vol. 2005, No. 7/2005). Northern Ireland Office. http://www.nio.gov.uk/predicting_reconviction_rates_in_northern_ireland_7-2005.pdf

Vancouver

Francis B, Harman J, Humphreys L. Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland. Belfast: Northern Ireland Office, 2005. 16 p. (Research and Statistical Bulletin; 7/2005).

Author

Francis, Brian ; Harman, Juliet ; Humphreys, Leslie. / Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland. Belfast : Northern Ireland Office, 2005. 16 p. (Research and Statistical Bulletin; 7/2005).

Bibtex

@book{c00dd696587a4e2ba2c051e5f6ed4a03,
title = "Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland",
abstract = "The aim of this Bulletin is to inform policy colleagues in their work towards the achievement of Target 3 of the Northern Ireland Office Public Service Agreement which looks at reducing the rate of reconviction in Northern Ireland.Recent data was used to develop statistical models for predicting the rates of reconviction within two years of receiving a community sentence or release from custody in Northern Ireland. Observed rates can then be compared with the predicted rates.The models are based on the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS) developed by Copas and Marshall (1998), and its later modification by Taylor (1999). They assume that the probability of reconviction can be associated witha small number of influential factors relating to the demographic characteristics and criminal history of the offender.",
author = "Brian Francis and Juliet Harman and Leslie Humphreys",
year = "2005",
language = "English",
volume = "7/2005",
series = "Research and Statistical Bulletin",
publisher = "Northern Ireland Office",
number = "7/2005",

}

RIS

TY - BOOK

T1 - Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland

AU - Francis, Brian

AU - Harman, Juliet

AU - Humphreys, Leslie

PY - 2005

Y1 - 2005

N2 - The aim of this Bulletin is to inform policy colleagues in their work towards the achievement of Target 3 of the Northern Ireland Office Public Service Agreement which looks at reducing the rate of reconviction in Northern Ireland.Recent data was used to develop statistical models for predicting the rates of reconviction within two years of receiving a community sentence or release from custody in Northern Ireland. Observed rates can then be compared with the predicted rates.The models are based on the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS) developed by Copas and Marshall (1998), and its later modification by Taylor (1999). They assume that the probability of reconviction can be associated witha small number of influential factors relating to the demographic characteristics and criminal history of the offender.

AB - The aim of this Bulletin is to inform policy colleagues in their work towards the achievement of Target 3 of the Northern Ireland Office Public Service Agreement which looks at reducing the rate of reconviction in Northern Ireland.Recent data was used to develop statistical models for predicting the rates of reconviction within two years of receiving a community sentence or release from custody in Northern Ireland. Observed rates can then be compared with the predicted rates.The models are based on the Offender Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS) developed by Copas and Marshall (1998), and its later modification by Taylor (1999). They assume that the probability of reconviction can be associated witha small number of influential factors relating to the demographic characteristics and criminal history of the offender.

M3 - Commissioned report

VL - 7/2005

T3 - Research and Statistical Bulletin

BT - Predicting Reconviction Rates in Northern Ireland

PB - Northern Ireland Office

CY - Belfast

ER -