Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Spatial modelling and prediction of Loa loa risk: decision making under uncertainty. / Diggle, Peter J.; Thomson, M. C.; Christensen, O. F. et al.
In: Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology, Vol. 101, No. 6, 2007, p. 499-509.Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Spatial modelling and prediction of Loa loa risk: decision making under uncertainty.
AU - Diggle, Peter J.
AU - Thomson, M. C.
AU - Christensen, O. F.
AU - Rowlingson, B.
AU - Obsomer, V.
AU - Gardon, J.
AU - Wanji, S.
AU - Takougang, I.
AU - Enyong, P.
AU - Kamgno, J.
AU - Remme, H.
AU - Boussinesq, M.
AU - Molyneux, D. H.
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - Health decision-makers working in Africa often need to act for millions of people over large geographical areas on little and uncertain information. Spatial statistical modelling and Bayesian inference have now been used to quantify the uncertainty in the predictions of a regional, environmental risk map for Loa loa (a map that is currently being used as an essential decision tool by the African Programme for Onchocerciasis Control). The methodology allows the expression of the probability that, given the data, a particular location does or does not exceed a predefined high-risk threshold for which a change in strategy for the delivery of the antihelmintic ivermectin is required.
AB - Health decision-makers working in Africa often need to act for millions of people over large geographical areas on little and uncertain information. Spatial statistical modelling and Bayesian inference have now been used to quantify the uncertainty in the predictions of a regional, environmental risk map for Loa loa (a map that is currently being used as an essential decision tool by the African Programme for Onchocerciasis Control). The methodology allows the expression of the probability that, given the data, a particular location does or does not exceed a predefined high-risk threshold for which a change in strategy for the delivery of the antihelmintic ivermectin is required.
U2 - 10.1179/136485907X229121
DO - 10.1179/136485907X229121
M3 - Journal article
VL - 101
SP - 499
EP - 509
JO - Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology
JF - Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology
SN - 0003-4983
IS - 6
ER -