Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Statistical analysis of an endemic disease from a capture-recapture experiment.
AU - Wei, Yinghui
AU - Neal, Peter
AU - Telfer, Sandra
AU - Begon, Mike
PY - 2012/12
Y1 - 2012/12
N2 - There are a number of statistical techniques for analysing epidemic outbreaks. However, many diseases are endemic within populations and the analysis of such diseases is complicated by changing population demography. Motivated by the spread of cowpox amongst rodent populations, a combined mathematical model for population and disease dynamics is introduced. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is then constructed to make statistical inference for the model based on data being obtained from a capture–recapture experiment. The statistical analysis is used to identify the key elements in the spread of the cowpox virus.
AB - There are a number of statistical techniques for analysing epidemic outbreaks. However, many diseases are endemic within populations and the analysis of such diseases is complicated by changing population demography. Motivated by the spread of cowpox amongst rodent populations, a combined mathematical model for population and disease dynamics is introduced. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is then constructed to make statistical inference for the model based on data being obtained from a capture–recapture experiment. The statistical analysis is used to identify the key elements in the spread of the cowpox virus.
KW - open population
KW - infectious diseases
KW - endemicity
KW - MCMC
U2 - 10.1080/02664763.2012.725467
DO - 10.1080/02664763.2012.725467
M3 - Journal article
VL - 39
SP - 2759
EP - 2773
JO - Journal of Applied Statistics
JF - Journal of Applied Statistics
SN - 0266-4763
IS - 12
ER -