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The long shadow of conflict on human capital: Intergenerational evidence from Peru

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The long shadow of conflict on human capital: Intergenerational evidence from Peru. / Hidalgo-Aréstegui, Alessandra; Porter, Catherine; Sánchez, Alan et al.
In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 174, 103468, 31.05.2025.

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Hidalgo-Aréstegui A, Porter C, Sánchez A, Singhal S. The long shadow of conflict on human capital: Intergenerational evidence from Peru. Journal of Development Economics. 2025 May 31;174:103468. Epub 2025 Feb 22. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103468

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@article{73ac7655514840a690fdb53e8abdb5d9,
title = "The long shadow of conflict on human capital: Intergenerational evidence from Peru",
abstract = "This paper estimates the intergenerational impacts of mothers{\textquoteright} exposure to the 1980–2000 Peruvian civil conflict on their children{\textquoteright}s socio-emotional skills development. We combine longitudinal data, which measures skills across a child{\textquoteright}s life, with historical geo-located conflict data. Exploiting spatial and temporal variation in conflict episodes, we find that mothers{\textquoteright} exposure to conflict has adverse intergenerational effects on their children{\textquoteright}s socio-emotional outcomes of agency and pride. These effects are present at ages 8 and 12 and are robust to alternative specifications. At age 15, mothers{\textquoteright} conflict exposure increases children{\textquoteright}s propensity to engage in crime-related risky behavior. The analysis of mechanisms highlights the role of reduced parental investments in children, driven by constrained household resources, a quality–quantity trade-off, and diminished maternal empowerment. Finally, an examination of the mother{\textquoteright}s migration history reveals that migration decisions of her parents during the conflict partially mitigated the adverse effects on the socio-emotional development of their grandchildren.",
author = "Alessandra Hidalgo-Ar{\'e}stegui and Catherine Porter and Alan S{\'a}nchez and Saurabh Singhal",
year = "2025",
month = may,
day = "31",
doi = "10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103468",
language = "English",
volume = "174",
journal = "Journal of Development Economics",
issn = "0304-3878",
publisher = "Elsevier",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - The long shadow of conflict on human capital

T2 - Intergenerational evidence from Peru

AU - Hidalgo-Aréstegui, Alessandra

AU - Porter, Catherine

AU - Sánchez, Alan

AU - Singhal, Saurabh

PY - 2025/5/31

Y1 - 2025/5/31

N2 - This paper estimates the intergenerational impacts of mothers’ exposure to the 1980–2000 Peruvian civil conflict on their children’s socio-emotional skills development. We combine longitudinal data, which measures skills across a child’s life, with historical geo-located conflict data. Exploiting spatial and temporal variation in conflict episodes, we find that mothers’ exposure to conflict has adverse intergenerational effects on their children’s socio-emotional outcomes of agency and pride. These effects are present at ages 8 and 12 and are robust to alternative specifications. At age 15, mothers’ conflict exposure increases children’s propensity to engage in crime-related risky behavior. The analysis of mechanisms highlights the role of reduced parental investments in children, driven by constrained household resources, a quality–quantity trade-off, and diminished maternal empowerment. Finally, an examination of the mother’s migration history reveals that migration decisions of her parents during the conflict partially mitigated the adverse effects on the socio-emotional development of their grandchildren.

AB - This paper estimates the intergenerational impacts of mothers’ exposure to the 1980–2000 Peruvian civil conflict on their children’s socio-emotional skills development. We combine longitudinal data, which measures skills across a child’s life, with historical geo-located conflict data. Exploiting spatial and temporal variation in conflict episodes, we find that mothers’ exposure to conflict has adverse intergenerational effects on their children’s socio-emotional outcomes of agency and pride. These effects are present at ages 8 and 12 and are robust to alternative specifications. At age 15, mothers’ conflict exposure increases children’s propensity to engage in crime-related risky behavior. The analysis of mechanisms highlights the role of reduced parental investments in children, driven by constrained household resources, a quality–quantity trade-off, and diminished maternal empowerment. Finally, an examination of the mother’s migration history reveals that migration decisions of her parents during the conflict partially mitigated the adverse effects on the socio-emotional development of their grandchildren.

U2 - 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103468

DO - 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103468

M3 - Journal article

VL - 174

JO - Journal of Development Economics

JF - Journal of Development Economics

SN - 0304-3878

M1 - 103468

ER -