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Tropical biodiversity loss from land-use change is severely underestimated by local-scale assessments

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

E-pub ahead of print
  • Jacob B. Socolar
  • Simon C. Mills
  • James J. Gilroy
  • Diego E. Martínez-Revelo
  • Claudia A. Medina-Uribe
  • Edicson Parra-Sanchez
  • Marcela Ramirez-Gutierrez
  • Jørgen Sand Sæbø
  • Henry S. Meneses
  • Giovanny Pérez
  • Jos Barlow
  • Jose M. Ochoa Quintero
  • Robert P. Freckleton
  • Torbjørn Haugaasen
  • David P. Edwards
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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>22/07/2025
<mark>Journal</mark>Nature Ecology and Evolution
Publication StatusE-pub ahead of print
Early online date22/07/25
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

Human impacts on nature span vast spatial scales that transcend abiotic gradients and biogeographic barriers, yet estimates of biodiversity loss from land-use change overwhelmingly derive from local-scale studies. Using a field dataset of 971 bird species sampled in forest and cattle pasture across 13 biogeographic regions of Colombia, we quantify biodiversity losses from local to near-national scales. Losses are on average 60% worse at the pan-Colombian scale than in individual regions, with underestimation remaining until six to seven biogeographic regions are sampled. Regional losses greatly exceed local losses when beta-diversity is high due to reduced species turnover in pasture across geographic space and elevation. Extrapolation from local-scale studies causes major underestimation of biodiversity loss, emphasizing the need to incorporate spatial structure into measures of change.