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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021
AU - Chapman, Lloyd A C
AU - Barnard, Rosanna C
AU - Russell, Timothy W
AU - Abbott, Sam
AU - Zandvoort, Kevin van
AU - Davies, Nicholas G
AU - Kucharski, Adam J
PY - 2022/1/6
Y1 - 2022/1/6
N2 - We estimate the potential remaining COVID-19 hospitalisation and death burdens in 19 European countries by estimating the proportion of each country’s population that has acquired immunity to severe disease through infection or vaccination. Our results suggest many European countries could still face high burdens of hospitalisations and deaths, particularly those with lower vaccination coverage, less historical transmission and/or older populations. Continued non-pharmaceutical interventions and efforts to achieve high vaccination coverage are required in these countries to limit severe COVID-19 outcomes.
AB - We estimate the potential remaining COVID-19 hospitalisation and death burdens in 19 European countries by estimating the proportion of each country’s population that has acquired immunity to severe disease through infection or vaccination. Our results suggest many European countries could still face high burdens of hospitalisations and deaths, particularly those with lower vaccination coverage, less historical transmission and/or older populations. Continued non-pharmaceutical interventions and efforts to achieve high vaccination coverage are required in these countries to limit severe COVID-19 outcomes.
U2 - 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
DO - 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
M3 - Journal article
VL - 27
JO - Eurosurveillance
JF - Eurosurveillance
SN - 1025-496X
IS - 1
M1 - 2101038
ER -