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Centre for Marketing Analytics

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  1. 2015
  2. Unpublished

    Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

    Athanasopoulos, G., Hyndman, R. J., Kourentzes, N. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, (Unpublished) Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 26 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  3. Published

    How to Improve Forecast Quality: A New Survey

    Fildes, R. A. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  4. Published

    Toward a more precise definition of forecastability

    Boylan, J., 2015, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. p. 34-40 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. 2014
  6. Published

    On intermittent demand model optimisation and selection

    Kourentzes, N., 10/2014, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 156, p. 180-190 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    The value of competitive information in forecasting FMCG retail product sales and the variable selection problem

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 1/09/2014, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 2, p. 738-748 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    On the Edge of Buying: A Targeting Approach for Indecisive Buyers Based on Willingness-to-Pay Ranges

    Dost, F., Wilken, R., Eisenbeiss, M. & Skiera, B., 09/2014, In: Journal of Retailing. 90, 3, p. 393-407 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    'Horses for courses' in demand forecasting

    Petropoulos, F., Makridakis, S., Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K., 16/08/2014, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 1, p. 152-163 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Reassessing the scope of OR practice: the influences of problem structuring methods and the analytics movement

    Ranyard, J., Fildes, R. & Hu, J., 1/08/2014, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-40, 40 p. (Working Paper).

    Research output: Working paper

  11. Published

    A comparison of performance of Islamic and conventional banks 2004 to 2009

    Johnes, J., Izzeldin, M. & Pappas, V., 07/2014, In: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 103, Supplement, p. S93-S107 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Neural network ensemble operators for time series forecasting

    Kourentzes, N., Barrow, D. & Crone, S., 07/2014, In: Expert Systems with Applications. 41, 9, p. 4235-4244 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    When Are Deliveries Profitable? Considering Order Value and Transport Capacity in Demand Fulfillment for Last-Mile Deliveries in Metropolitan Areas

    Cleophas, C. & Ehmke, J. F., 1/06/2014, In: Business and Information Systems Engineering. 6, 3, p. 153-163 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    How consumer mindset response and long-term marketing effectiveness differ in emerging versus mature markets

    Erguncu, S. & Yildirim, G., 06/2014, Brand management in emerging markets: theories and practices. Wang, C. L. & He, J. (eds.). Hershey, Pa.: IGI Global

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  15. Published

    Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies

    Kourentzes, N., Petropoulos, F. & Trapero, J. R., 04/2014, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 30, 2, p. 291-302 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Formation of seasonal groups and application of seasonal indices

    Boylan, J., Chen, H., Mohammadipour, M. & Syntetos, A., 1/02/2014, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 65, 2, p. 227-241 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Water leakage forecasting: the application of a modified fuzzy evolving algorithm

    Birek, L., Petrovic, D. & Boylan, J., 1/01/2014, In: Applied Soft Computing. 14, Part B, p. 305-315 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    A systemic view of the ADIDA framework

    Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2014, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Bankruptcy probabilities inferred from option prices

    Taylor, S. J., Tzeng, C-F. & Widdicks, M., 2014, In: Journal of Derivatives. 22, 2, p. 8-31 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Consumer attitude metrics for guiding marketing mix decisions

    Hanssens, D. M., Pauwels, K. H., Srinivasan, S., Vanhuele, M. & Yildirim, G., 2014, In: Marketing Science. 33, 4, p. 534-550 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Demand forecasting with high dimensional data: the case of SKU retail sales forecasting with intra- and inter-category promotional information

    Ma, S., Fildes, R. & Huang, T., 2014, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 34 p. (Department of Management Science Working Papers; vol. 2014, no. 9).

    Research output: Working paper

  22. Published

    High dimensional changepoint detection with a dynamic graphical lasso

    Gibberd, A. J. & Nelson, J. D. B., 2014, 2014 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP). IEEE, p. 2684-2688 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  23. Published

    Impact of demand nature on the bullwhip effect: bridging the gap between theoretical and empirical research

    Trapero, J. R., Garcia, F. P. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management.. Xu, J., Fry, J. A., Lev, B. & Hajiyev, A. (eds.). Berlin: Springer Verlag, p. 1127-1137 11 p. (Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering; vol. 242).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed)

  24. Published

    Improving forecasting via multiple temporal aggregation

    Petropoulos, F. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2014, 34, p. 12-17 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 2014, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, p. 299-307 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    On the value of sharing demand information in supply chains (OR56 Annual Conference – Keynote Papers)

    Ali, M. M. & Boylan, J., 2014, p. 44-56. 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  27. Published

    Valuing customer portfolios with endogenous mass-and-direct-marketing interventions using a Stochastic Dynamic Programming Decomposition

    Esteban-Bravo, M., Vidal-Sanz, J. M. & Yildirim, G., 2014, In: Marketing Science. 33, 5, p. 621-640 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. 2013
  29. Published

    Investigating the information content of the model-free volatility expectation by Monte Carlo methods

    Zhang, Y., Taylor, S. J. & Wang, L., 11/2013, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 33, 11, p. 1071-1095 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    An example of an optimal forecast exhibiting decreasing bias with increasing forecast horizon

    Aretz, K. & Peel, D., 10/2013, In: Bulletin of Economic Research. 65, 4, p. 362-371 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    The effect of recovery algorithms on compressive sensing background subtraction

    Davies, R., Mihaylova, L., Pavlidis, N. & Eckley, I., 10/2013, Sensor Data Fusion: Trends, Solutions, Applications (SDF), 2013 Workshop on. IEEE, p. 1-6 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  32. Published

    Fuzzy turnover rate chance constraints portfolio model

    Barak, S., 1/07/2013, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 228, 1, p. 141-147

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. Published

    Measuring forecasting accuracy: the case of judgmental adjustments to SKU-level demand forecasts

    Davydenko, A. & Fildes, R., 07/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 3, p. 510-522 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Forecasting and inventory performance in a two-stage supply chain with ARIMA(0,1,1) demand: theory and empirical analysis

    Babai, M. Z., Ali, M. M., Boylan, J. & Syntetos, A. A., 1/06/2013, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 143, 2, p. 463-471 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Airline codeshare alliances: Marketing boon and revenue management information systems challenge

    Gerlach, M., Cleophas, C. & Kliewer, N., 06/2013, In: Business and Information Systems Engineering. 5, 3, p. 153-163 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Heterogeneous agents and the implications of the Markowitz model of utility for multi-prize lottery tickets

    Peel, D., 06/2013, In: Economics Letters. 119, 3, p. 264-267 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Intermittent demand forecasts with neural networks

    Kourentzes, N., 05/2013, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 143, 1, p. 198-206 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    An evaluation of simple forecasting model selection rules

    Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 04/2013, Lancaster: The Department of Management Science, p. 1-32, 32 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  39. Published

    Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

    Trapero Arenas, J., Pedregal, D. J., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 2, p. 234-243 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Generalised estimators for seasonal forecasting by combining grouping with shrinkage approaches

    Zhang, K., Chen, H., Boylan, J. & Scarf, P., 1/03/2013, In: Journal of Forecasting. 32, 2, p. 137-150 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    The value of competitive information in forecasting FMCG retail product sales and the variable selection problem: Working paper 2013:1

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 03/2013, Lancaster, UK: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 32 p. (Department of Management Science, Lancaster University).

    Research output: Working paper

  42. Published

    Complexity in airline revenue management

    Bartke, P., Cleophas, C. & Zimmermann, B., 01/2013, In: Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management. 12, 1, p. 36-45 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Empirical heuristics for improving intermittent demand forecasting

    Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spithourakis, G. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2013, In: Industrial Management and Data Systems. 113, 5, p. 683-696 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Optimizing Theta model for monthly data

    Petropoulos, F. & Nikolopoulos, K., 2013. 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper

  45. Published

    Principles of Business Forecasting

    Ord, J. K. & Fildes, R., 2013, Mason, Ohio: South-Western Cengage Learning. 528 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  46. Published

    Winning hearts, minds and sales: how marketing communication enters the purchase process in emerging and mature markets

    Pauwels, K., Erguncu, S. & Yildirim, G., 2013, In: International Journal of Research in Marketing. 30, 1, p. 57-68 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. 2012
  48. Published

    Designing Serious Games for Revenue Management Training and Strategy Development

    Cleophas, C., 9/12/2012, WSC '12 Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference. Berlin, Germany: Association for Computing Machinery (ACM), p. 140:1–140:12 12 p. 140. (Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  49. Published

    Forecast horizon aggregation in integer autoregressive moving average (INARMA) models

    Mohammadipour, M. & Boylan, J., 1/12/2012, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 40, 6, p. 703-712 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Adaptive consumer credit classification

    Pavlidis, N., Tasoulis, D., Adams, N. M. & Hand, D. J., 12/2012, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 63, 12, p. 1645-1654 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    Are analysts' loss functions asymmetric?

    Peel, D., Pope, P. F. & Clatworthy, M., 12/2012, In: Journal of Forecasting. 31, 8, p. 736-756 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 12/2012, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 40, 6, p. 738-747 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  53. Published

    Supply Chain Forecasting: Best Practices & Benchmarking Study

    Weller, M. & Crone, S. F., 1/11/2012, Lancaster: Lancaster Centre for Forecasting. 43 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Other report

  54. Published

    Forecast errors and inventory performance under forecast information sharing

    Ali, M. M., Boylan, J. & Syntetos, A. A., 1/10/2012, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 28, 4, p. 830-841

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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