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Dr Kim Kaivanto

Senior Lecturer

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  1. 2025
  2. E-pub ahead of print

    Tracking evolving views of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season with an expert prediction market

    Roulston, M., Kaivanto, K. & Toumi, R., 13/05/2025, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Weather.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    The Precautionary Principle and the Innovation Principle: Incompatible Guides for AI Innovation Governance?

    Kaivanto, K., 12/05/2025, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  4. 2024
  5. Published

    Not the enemy: Changing attitudes and behaviours with the Plastic Packaging in People's Lives project

    Leitch, C., Turner, P., Stowell, A., Piacentini, M., Hendry, L., Mumford, C., Hardy, J., Hadley, C., Cronin, J., Skandalis, A., Sparks, C., McKay, I., Gwynne, K., Routh, J., Brunclikova, L., Nahar, S., Kaivanto, K., Tao, M. & Ge, B., 13/11/2024

    Research output: Other contribution

  6. Published

    Can expert prediction markets forecast climate-related risks?

    Roulston, M. & Kaivanto, K., 1/10/2024, In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 105, 10, p. E1898-E1914

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    Joint-outcome prediction markets for climate risks

    Roulston, M. S. & Kaivanto, K., 30/08/2024, In: PLoS One. 19, 8, e0309164.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. 2023
  9. Published

    Is business formation driven by sentiment or fundamentals?

    Kaivanto, K. & Zhang, P., 2/09/2023, In: European Journal of Finance. 29, 13, p. 1493-1519 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Many phish in the C: A coexisting-choice-criteria model of security behavior

    Embrey, I. & Kaivanto, K., 30/04/2023, In: Risk Analysis. 43, 4, p. 783-799 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. 2022
  12. Published

    Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts

    Roulston, M., Kaplan, T., Day, B. & Kaivanto, K., 31/10/2022, In: Nature Climate Change. 12, 10, p. 879-880 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. 2021
  14. Published

    Is Business Formation Driven by Sentiment or Fundamentals?

    Kaivanto, K. & Zhang, P., 22/07/2021, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  15. 2019
  16. Published

    Popular Music, Sentiment, and Noise Trading

    Kaivanto, K. & Zhang, P., 31/10/2019, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  17. Published

    Investor Sentiment as a Predictor of Market Returns

    Kaivanto, K. & Zhang, P., 06/2019, Lancaster University, Department of Economics, 43 p. (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  18. Published

    Adjusting Inferential Thresholds to Reflect Nonepistemic Values

    Kaivanto, K. K. & Steel, D., 1/04/2019, In: Philosophy of Science. 86, 2, p. 255-285 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Pre-Decision Side-Bet Sequences

    Kaivanto, K. K. & Peel, D. A., 16/03/2019, In: Economics Bulletin. 39, 1, p. 533-539 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. 2018
  21. Published

    Could a cyber attack cause a systemic impact in the financial sector?

    Warren, P., Kaivanto, K. K. & Prince, D. D. C., 21/12/2018, In: Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin. 2018, 4, p. 1-11 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Many Phish in the C : A Coexisting-Choice-Criteria Model of Security Behavior

    Embrey, I. & Kaivanto, K. K., 11/2018, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Papers Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  23. Published

    A Fuel-Payload Ratio Based Flight-Segmentation Benchmark

    Kaivanto, K. K. & Zhang, P., 08/2018, In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. 63, p. 548–559 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Community-level natural resource management institutions: A noncooperative equilibrium example

    Kaivanto, K. K., 23/04/2018, In: International Journal of the Commons. 12, 1, p. 548-572 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. 2017
  26. Published

    Ensemble prospectism

    Kaivanto, K. K., 18/11/2017, In: Theory and Decision. 83, 4, p. 535-546 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Pre-Decision Side-Bet Sequences

    Kaivanto, K. K. & Peel, D. A., 04/2017, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  28. Published

    Rank-order concordance among conflicting emissions estimates for informing flight choice

    Kaivanto, K. & Zhang, P., 01/2017, In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment. 50, p. 418-430 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. 2016
  30. Published

    Ensemble Prospectism

    Kaivanto, K. K., 12/2016, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  31. Published

    A Resolution of Emissions-Estimate Confusion for Informing Flight Choice

    Kaivanto, K. K. & Zhang, P., 05/2016, Economics: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, (Economics working paper series).

    Research output: Working paper

  32. 2015
  33. Published

    The precautionary principle as a heuristic patch

    Kaivanto, K. & Kwon, W., 09/2015, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, 35 p. (Economics Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  34. Published

    When are capital structure decisions nonseparable from production planning? the case of generalized royalty-based hybrid finance

    Kaivanto, K. & Zinober, A., 2015, Lancaster: Lancaster University, Department of Economics, 13 p. (Economics working paper series).

    Research output: Working paper

  35. 2014
  36. Published

    The effect of decentralized behavioral decision making on system-level risk

    Kaivanto, K., 12/2014, In: Risk Analysis. 34, 12, p. 2121-2142 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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