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Dr Paul Smith

Senior Research Associate (Statistics) – Novel Statistical Methods for Energy/ IoT data Analytics

  1. Published

    A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting a case study in the Cevennes region

    Alfieri, L., Smith, P. J., Thielen-del Pozo, J. & Beven, K. J., 2011, In: Advances in Geosciences. 29, p. 13-20 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?

    Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J. & Freer, J., 15/06/2008, In: Journal of Hydrology. 354, 1, p. 15-32 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    On the colour and spin of epistemic error (and what we might do about it)

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Wood, A., 2011, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, p. 3123-3133 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    Identification and representation of state dependent non-linearities in flood forecasting using the DBM methodology

    Beven, K., Leedal, D., Smith, P. & Young, P., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling and Control Systems Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer Verlag, p. 341-366 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  5. Published

    Concepts of information content and likelihood in parameter calibration for hydrological simulation models

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 26/02/2014, In: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20, 1, 15 p., A4014010.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Comment on "Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: Incoherence of the GLUE methodology" by Pietro Mantovan and Ezio Todini

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Freer, J., 30/05/2007, In: Journal of Hydrology. 338, 3-4, p. 315-318 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Comment on "pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling" by P. Clark et al.

    Beven, K., Smith, P., Westerberg, I. & Freer, J., 14/11/2012, In: Water Resources Research. 48, 11, W11801.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineComment/debatepeer-review

  8. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

    Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineReview articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Rethinking Concepts of Information Content of Hydrological Data to Account for Epistemic Errors

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. Hall, J. W., Au, S-K. & Beer, M. (eds.). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 263-272 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  11. Published

    Transport and Dispersion in Large Rivers: Application of the Aggregated Dead Zone Model

    Blazkova, S. D., Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling, and Control System Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer, p. 367-382 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  12. Published

    Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

    Budimir, M., Donovan, A., Brown, S., Shakya, P., Gautam, D., Uprety, M., Cranston, M., Sneddon, A., Smith, P. & Dugar, S., 13/03/2020, In: Geoscience Communication. 3, 1, p. 49-70 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?

    Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. & Wetterhall, F., 28/03/2017, In: Environmental Research Letters. 12, 4, 044006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations

    Coxon, G., Freer, J., Westerberg, I. K., Wagener, T., Woods, R. & Smith, P. J., 1/07/2015, In: Water Resources Research. 51, 7, p. 5531-5546 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions

    Hankin, B., Page, T. J. C., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J., Kretzschmar, A. & Lamb, R., 18/11/2021, In: Hydrol. Processes. 35, 11, 17 p., e14418.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide

    Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L., Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. & Thielen-Del Pozo, J., 2018, In: Geophysical Monograph Series. 233, p. 205-228 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    An experiment with reflective middleware to support grid-based flood monitoring

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Coulson, G., Grace, P., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Beven, K. & Coulson, G., 10/08/2008, In: Concurrency and computation-Practice & experience. 20, 11, p. 1303-1316 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    An intelligent and adaptable grid-based flood monitoring and warning system.

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Pappenberger, F., Coulson, G., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2006, Proceedings of the UK e-Science All Hands Meeting 2006. Cox, S. J. (ed.). Edinburgh: National E-Science Centre, p. 53-60 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  19. Published

    Managing heterogeneous data flows in wireless sensor networks using a 'split personality' mote platform.

    Hughes, D., Daude, M., Coulson, G., Blair, G., Smith, P., Beven, K. & Tych, W., 07/2008, International Symposium on Applications and the Internet, 2008. SAINT 2008.. IEEE, p. 145-148 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  20. Published

    A Data Based Mechanistic real-time flood forecasting module for NFFS FEWS: DBM real-time flood forecasting

    Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 9, 6, p. 7271-7296 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineSpecial issuepeer-review

  21. Published

    Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting: Progresses, challenges, and emerging opportunities

    Liu, Y., Weerts, A. H., Clark, M., Hendricks Franssen, H. J., Kumar, S., Moradkhani, H., Seo, D. J., Schwanenberg, D., Smith, P., Van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Van Velzen, N., He, M., Lee, H., Noh, S. J., Rakovec, O. & Restrepo, P., 29/10/2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 10, p. 3863-3887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. E-pub ahead of print

    Panta Rhei 2013–2015: global perspectives on hydrology, society and change

    McMillan, H., Montanari, A., Cudennec, C., Savenije, H. H. G., Kreibich, H., Krueger, T., Liu, J., Mejia, A., Van Loon, A., Aksoy, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Huang, Y., Mazvimavi, D., Rogger, M., Sivakumar, B., Bibikova, T., Castellarin, A., Chen, Y., Finger, D., Gelfan, A., & 15 othersHannah, D. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Li, H., Maskey, S., Mathevet, T., Mijic, A., Acuna, A. P., Polo, M. J., Rosales, V., Smith, P. J., Viglione, A., Srinivasan, V., Toth, E., van Nooyen, R. & Xia, J., 1/03/2016, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Hydrological Sciences Journal.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Citizen science for hydrological risk reduction and resilience building

    Paul, J. D., Buytaert, W., Allen, S., Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A., Bhusal, J., Cieslik, K., Clark, J., Dugar, S., Hannah, D. M., Stoffe, M., Dewulf, A., Dhita, M. R., Liu, W., Nayava, J. L., Neupane, B., Schiller, A., Smith, P. J. & Supper, R., 31/01/2018, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 5, 1, e1262.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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