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Dr Paul Smith

Senior Research Associate (Statistics) – Novel Statistical Methods for Energy/ IoT data Analytics

  1. Published

    Building a multimodel flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive

    Zsótér, E., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Emerton, R. E., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D., Bogner, K. & Balsamo, G., 1/11/2016, In: Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 11, p. 2923-2940 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Hydrological Challenges in Meteorological Post-processing

    Wetterhall, F. & Smith, P., 1/01/2019, Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. Berlin: Springer, p. 239-253 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  3. Published

    Multi-state dependent parameter model identification and estimation

    Tych, W., Sadeghi, J., Smith, P. J., Chotai, A. & Taylor, C. J., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling, and Control System Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer, p. 191-210 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  4. Published

    Detection of structural inadequacy in process-based hydrological models : a particle-filtering approach.

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 8/01/2008, In: Water Resources Research. 44, 1, p. W01410

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 08/2008, In: Advances in Water Resources. 31, 8, p. 1087-1100 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Towards the provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Hughes, D., Beven, K. J., Cross, P., Tych, W., Blair, G. & Coulson, G., 03/2009, In: Meteorological Applications. 16, 1, p. 57-64 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    The provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Tych, W., Hughes, D., Coulson, G. & Blair, G., 2009, Flood risk management : research and practice. Samuels, P., Huntingdon, S., Allsop, W. & Harrop, J. (eds.). London: CRC Press, 309 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  8. Published

    The provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Tych, W., Hughes, D., Coulson, G. & Blair, G., 2008, Proceedings of FLOODRisk 2008.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  9. Unpublished

    Likelihood measure for environmental modelling

    Smith, P. J., 2007, (Unpublished) Lancaster University. 81 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  10. Published

    Discharge dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers : estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data.

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Tawn, J., Blazkova, S. & Merta, L., 20/04/2006, In: Water Resources Research. 42, W04412

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Forecasting river levels during flash floods using Data Based Mechanistic models, online data assimilation and meteorological forecasts.

    Smith, P. & Beven, K., 07/2010. 0 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  12. Published

    Adaptive correction of deterministic models to produce probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Weerts, A. H. & Leedal, D., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 8, p. 2783-2799 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    Data-based mechanistic modelling of tidally affected river reaches for flood warning purposes: an example on the River Dee, UK

    Smith, P., Beven, K. & Horsburgh, K., 01/2013, In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 139, 671, p. 340-349 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    The impact of data assimilation strategies for correcting the affects of erroneous boundary conditions

    Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012. 0 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  15. Published

    Flash flood forecasting using Data-Based Mechanistic models and radar rainfall forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Panziera, L. & Germann, U., 2012, Weather radar and hydrology. Moore, R. J., Cole, S. J. & Illingworth, A. J. (eds.). Wallingford: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Vol. 351. p. 562-567 6 p. (IAHS Publication; vol. 351).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  16. Published

    When to issue a flood warning: towards a risk-based approach based on real time probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P. J. & Beven, K. J., 2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. Beer, M., Au, S-K. & Hall, J. W. (eds.). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 1395-1404 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  17. Published

    Testing probabilistic adaptive real-time flood forecasting models

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H. & Young, P. C., 09/2014, In: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 7, 3, p. 265-279 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Prévision des crues éclair à l'aide de modèles mécanistes fondés sur les données et prévisions pluviométriques du système radar NORA

    Smith, P. J., Panziera, L. & Beven, K. J., 1/01/2014, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 59, 7, p. 1403-1417 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)

    Smith, P. J., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Thielen Del Pozo, J., Krzeminski, B., Salamon, P., Muraro, D., Kalas, M. & Baugh, C., 25/04/2016, Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective. Adams, T. E. & Pagano, T. C. (eds.). Academic Press, p. 313-348 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  20. Published

    Community-based early warning systems for flood risk mitigation in Nepal

    Smith, P. J., Brown, S. & Dugar, S., 20/03/2017, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 17, 3, p. 423-437 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts

    Skøien, J. O., Bogner, K., Salamon, P., Smith, P. & Pappenberger, F., 12/05/2016, In: IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports. 373, p. 109-114 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Citizen science for hydrological risk reduction and resilience building

    Paul, J. D., Buytaert, W., Allen, S., Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A., Bhusal, J., Cieslik, K., Clark, J., Dugar, S., Hannah, D. M., Stoffe, M., Dewulf, A., Dhita, M. R., Liu, W., Nayava, J. L., Neupane, B., Schiller, A., Smith, P. J. & Supper, R., 31/01/2018, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 5, 1, e1262.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. E-pub ahead of print

    Panta Rhei 2013–2015: global perspectives on hydrology, society and change

    McMillan, H., Montanari, A., Cudennec, C., Savenije, H. H. G., Kreibich, H., Krueger, T., Liu, J., Mejia, A., Van Loon, A., Aksoy, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Huang, Y., Mazvimavi, D., Rogger, M., Sivakumar, B., Bibikova, T., Castellarin, A., Chen, Y., Finger, D., Gelfan, A., & 15 othersHannah, D. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Li, H., Maskey, S., Mathevet, T., Mijic, A., Acuna, A. P., Polo, M. J., Rosales, V., Smith, P. J., Viglione, A., Srinivasan, V., Toth, E., van Nooyen, R. & Xia, J., 1/03/2016, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Hydrological Sciences Journal.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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