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Dr Paul Smith

Senior Research Associate (Statistics) – Novel Statistical Methods for Energy/ IoT data Analytics

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  1. 2014
  2. Published

    Rethinking Concepts of Information Content of Hydrological Data to Account for Epistemic Errors

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. Hall, J. W., Au, S-K. & Beer, M. (eds.). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 263-272 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  3. Published

    When to issue a flood warning: towards a risk-based approach based on real time probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P. J. & Beven, K. J., 2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. Beer, M., Au, S-K. & Hall, J. W. (eds.). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 1395-1404 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  4. Published

    Prévision des crues éclair à l'aide de modèles mécanistes fondés sur les données et prévisions pluviométriques du système radar NORA

    Smith, P. J., Panziera, L. & Beven, K. J., 1/01/2014, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 59, 7, p. 1403-1417 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Concepts of information content and likelihood in parameter calibration for hydrological simulation models

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 26/02/2014, In: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20, 1, 15 p., A4014010.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    Testing probabilistic adaptive real-time flood forecasting models

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H. & Young, P. C., 09/2014, In: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 7, 3, p. 265-279 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. 2015
  8. Published

    A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations

    Coxon, G., Freer, J., Westerberg, I. K., Wagener, T., Woods, R. & Smith, P. J., 1/07/2015, In: Water Resources Research. 51, 7, p. 5531-5546 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. 2016
  10. E-pub ahead of print

    Panta Rhei 2013–2015: global perspectives on hydrology, society and change

    McMillan, H., Montanari, A., Cudennec, C., Savenije, H. H. G., Kreibich, H., Krueger, T., Liu, J., Mejia, A., Van Loon, A., Aksoy, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Huang, Y., Mazvimavi, D., Rogger, M., Sivakumar, B., Bibikova, T., Castellarin, A., Chen, Y., Finger, D., Gelfan, A., & 15 othersHannah, D. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Li, H., Maskey, S., Mathevet, T., Mijic, A., Acuna, A. P., Polo, M. J., Rosales, V., Smith, P. J., Viglione, A., Srinivasan, V., Toth, E., van Nooyen, R. & Xia, J., 1/03/2016, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Hydrological Sciences Journal.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    On the Operational Implementation of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)

    Smith, P. J., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Thielen Del Pozo, J., Krzeminski, B., Salamon, P., Muraro, D., Kalas, M. & Baugh, C., 25/04/2016, Flood Forecasting: A Global Perspective. Adams, T. E. & Pagano, T. C. (eds.). Academic Press, p. 313-348 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  12. Published

    Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts

    Skøien, J. O., Bogner, K., Salamon, P., Smith, P. & Pappenberger, F., 12/05/2016, In: IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports. 373, p. 109-114 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  13. Published

    Building a multimodel flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive

    Zsótér, E., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Emerton, R. E., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D., Bogner, K. & Balsamo, G., 1/11/2016, In: Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 11, p. 2923-2940 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. 2017
  15. Published

    Community-based early warning systems for flood risk mitigation in Nepal

    Smith, P. J., Brown, S. & Dugar, S., 20/03/2017, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 17, 3, p. 423-437 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?

    Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. & Wetterhall, F., 28/03/2017, In: Environmental Research Letters. 12, 4, 044006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. 2018
  19. Published

    Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide

    Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L., Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. & Thielen-Del Pozo, J., 2018, In: Geophysical Monograph Series. 233, p. 205-228 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Citizen science for hydrological risk reduction and resilience building

    Paul, J. D., Buytaert, W., Allen, S., Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A., Bhusal, J., Cieslik, K., Clark, J., Dugar, S., Hannah, D. M., Stoffe, M., Dewulf, A., Dhita, M. R., Liu, W., Nayava, J. L., Neupane, B., Schiller, A., Smith, P. J. & Supper, R., 31/01/2018, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 5, 1, e1262.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

    Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Review article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. 2019
  25. Published

    Hydrological Challenges in Meteorological Post-processing

    Wetterhall, F. & Smith, P., 1/01/2019, Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. Berlin: Springer, p. 239-253 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  26. 2020
  27. Published

    Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

    Budimir, M., Donovan, A., Brown, S., Shakya, P., Gautam, D., Uprety, M., Cranston, M., Sneddon, A., Smith, P. & Dugar, S., 13/03/2020, In: Geoscience Communication. 3, 1, p. 49-70 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. 2021
  29. Published

    Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions

    Hankin, B., Page, T. J. C., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J., Kretzschmar, A. & Lamb, R., 18/11/2021, In: Hydrol. Processes. 35, 11, 17 p., e14418.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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