Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - An extreme value analysis for the investigation into the sinking of the M. V. Derbyshire.
AU - Heffernan, Janet E.
AU - Tawn, Jonathan A.
PY - 2003/7
Y1 - 2003/7
N2 - The paper describes our involvement in the high court reopened formal investigation into the sinking of the bulk carrier M. V. Derbyshire. The statistical problem that we addressed concerned the estimation of the probability that the ship had sunk from a particular form of structural failure, resulting from large wave impacts on the ship, for each of a range of possible sea-state and vessel conditions. We considered several statistical models for the wave impacts on the ship with the generalized Pareto distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, providing an excellent description and aiding the investigation to draw clear conclusions about the cause of the sinking.
AB - The paper describes our involvement in the high court reopened formal investigation into the sinking of the bulk carrier M. V. Derbyshire. The statistical problem that we addressed concerned the estimation of the probability that the ship had sunk from a particular form of structural failure, resulting from large wave impacts on the ship, for each of a range of possible sea-state and vessel conditions. We considered several statistical models for the wave impacts on the ship with the generalized Pareto distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, providing an excellent description and aiding the investigation to draw clear conclusions about the cause of the sinking.
U2 - 10.1111/1467-9876.00408
DO - 10.1111/1467-9876.00408
M3 - Journal article
VL - 52
SP - 337
EP - 354
JO - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)
JF - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)
SN - 1467-9876
IS - 3
ER -