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Did paying drugs misuse treatment providers for outcomes lead to unintended consequences for hospital admissions?: Difference-in-differences analysis of a pay-for-performance scheme in England

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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>30/11/2021
<mark>Journal</mark>Addiction
Issue number11
Volume116
Number of pages12
Pages (from-to)3082-3093
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date4/05/21
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

Aims: To estimate how a scheme to pay substance misuse treatment service providers according to treatment outcomes affected hospital admissions. Design: A controlled, quasi-experimental (difference-in-differences) observational study using negative binomial regression. Setting: Hospitals in all 149 organisational areas in England for the period 2009–2010 to 2015–2016. Participants: 572 545 patients admitted to hospital with a diagnosis indicating drug misuse, defined based on International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) diagnosis codes (37 964 patients in 8 intervention areas and 534 581 in 141 comparison areas). Intervention and comparators: Linkage of provider payments to recovery outcome indicators in 8 intervention organisational areas compared with all 141 comparison organisational areas in England. Outcome indicators included: abstinence from presenting substance, abstinent completion of treatment and non-re-presentation to treatment in the 12 months following completion. Measurements: Annual counts of hospital admissions, emergency admissions and admissions including a diagnosis indicating drugs misuse. Covariates included age, sex, ethnic origin and deprivation. Findings: For 37 245 patients in the intervention areas, annual emergency admissions were 1.073 times higher during the operation of the scheme compared with non-intervention areas (95% CI = 1.049; 1.097). There were an estimated additional 3 352 emergency admissions in intervention areas during the scheme. These findings were robust to a range of secondary analyses. Conclusion: A programme in England from 2012 to 2014 to pay substance misuse treatment service providers according to treatment outcomes appeared to increase emergency hospital admissions.