Home > Research > Publications & Outputs > How to cope with uncertainty monsters in flood ...

Links

Text available via DOI:

View graph of relations

How to cope with uncertainty monsters in flood risk management?

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

Published
  • M. Knotters
  • O. Bokhove
  • Rob Lamb
  • P.M. Poortvliet
Close
Article numbere6
<mark>Journal publication date</mark>24/01/2024
<mark>Journal</mark>Cambridge Prisms: Water
Volume2
Number of pages20
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date24/01/24
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

Strategies are proposed to cope with uncertainties in a way that all possible kinds of uncertainty are named, recognized, statistically quantified as far as possible, and utilised in efficient decision making in flood risk management (FRM). We elaborated on the metaphor of uncertainty as a monster. We recommend two strategies to cope with the uncertainty monster to support efficient decision making in FRM: monster adaptation and monster assimilation. We present three cases to illustrate these strategies. We argue that these strategies benefit from improving structure and reducing complexity of decision problems. We discuss ways to involve decision makers in FRM, and how communication strategies can be responsive to their informational needs.