Rights statement: This is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Environmental Modelling & Software. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Environmental Modelling & Software, 111, 2018 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010
Accepted author manuscript, 3.8 MB, PDF document
Available under license: CC BY-NC-ND: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License
Final published version
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Producing Policy-relevant Science by Enhancing Robustness and Model Integration for the Assessment of Global Environmental Change
AU - Warren, R.F
AU - Edwards, N.R
AU - Barbonneau, F.
AU - Bacon, P.M
AU - Dietrich, J.P.
AU - Ford, R. W.
AU - Garthwaite, Paul
AU - Gerten, Dieter
AU - Goswami, S.
AU - Haurie, A.
AU - Hiscock, Kevin
AU - Holden, Philip
AU - Hyde, M. R.
AU - Joshi, S. R.
AU - Kanudia, A.
AU - Labriet, M.
AU - Liembach, M.
AU - Oyebamiji, O.K.
AU - Osborn, T.
AU - Pizzileo, B.
AU - Popp, A.
AU - Price, J.
AU - Riley, G.
AU - Schaphoff, Sibyll
AU - Slavin, P.
AU - Vielle, M.
AU - Wallace, C.
N1 - This is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Environmental Modelling & Software. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Environmental Modelling & Software, 111, 2018 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010
PY - 2019/1
Y1 - 2019/1
N2 - We use the flexible model coupling technology known as the bespoke framework generator to link established existing modules representing dynamics in the global economy (GEMINI_E3), the energy system (TIAM-WORLD), the global and regional climate system (MAGICC6, PLASIM-ENTS and ClimGEN), the agricultural system, the hydrological system and ecosystems (LPJmL), together in a single integrated assessment modelling (IAM) framework, building on the pre-existing framework of the Community Integrated Assessment System. Next, we demonstrate the application of the framework to produce policy-relevant scientific information. We use it to show that when using carbon price mechanisms to induce a transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy, prices can be minimised if policy action is taken early, if burden sharing regimes are used, and if agriculture is intensified. Some of the coupled models have been made available for use at a secure and user-friendly web portal.
AB - We use the flexible model coupling technology known as the bespoke framework generator to link established existing modules representing dynamics in the global economy (GEMINI_E3), the energy system (TIAM-WORLD), the global and regional climate system (MAGICC6, PLASIM-ENTS and ClimGEN), the agricultural system, the hydrological system and ecosystems (LPJmL), together in a single integrated assessment modelling (IAM) framework, building on the pre-existing framework of the Community Integrated Assessment System. Next, we demonstrate the application of the framework to produce policy-relevant scientific information. We use it to show that when using carbon price mechanisms to induce a transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy, prices can be minimised if policy action is taken early, if burden sharing regimes are used, and if agriculture is intensified. Some of the coupled models have been made available for use at a secure and user-friendly web portal.
KW - integrated assessment
KW - integrated assessment modelling
KW - climate change mitigation
KW - carbon price
U2 - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010
DO - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.010
M3 - Journal article
VL - 111
SP - 248
EP - 258
JO - Environmental Modelling and Software
JF - Environmental Modelling and Software
SN - 1364-8152
ER -