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Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Reformulating the susceptible–infectious–removed model in terms of the number of detected cases
T2 - well-posedness of the observational model
AU - Campillo-Funollet, Eduard
AU - Wragg, Hayley
AU - Yperen, James Van
AU - Duong, Duc-Lam
AU - Madzvamuse, Anotida
PY - 2022/10/3
Y1 - 2022/10/3
N2 - Compartmental models are popular in the mathematics of epidemiology for their simplicity and wide range of applications. Although they are typically solved as initial value problems for a system of ordinary differential equations, the observed data are typically akin to a boundary value-type problem: we observe some of the dependent variables at given times, but we do not know the initial conditions. In this paper, we reformulate the classical susceptible–infectious–recovered system in terms of the number of detected positive infected cases at different times to yield what we term the observational model. We then prove the existence and uniqueness of a solution to the boundary value problem associated with the observational model and present a numerical algorithm to approximate the solution.This article is part of the theme issue ‘Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these’.
AB - Compartmental models are popular in the mathematics of epidemiology for their simplicity and wide range of applications. Although they are typically solved as initial value problems for a system of ordinary differential equations, the observed data are typically akin to a boundary value-type problem: we observe some of the dependent variables at given times, but we do not know the initial conditions. In this paper, we reformulate the classical susceptible–infectious–recovered system in terms of the number of detected positive infected cases at different times to yield what we term the observational model. We then prove the existence and uniqueness of a solution to the boundary value problem associated with the observational model and present a numerical algorithm to approximate the solution.This article is part of the theme issue ‘Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these’.
KW - existence
KW - epidemiology
KW - susceptible–infectious–recovered
KW - observational model
KW - uniqueness
U2 - 10.1098/rsta.2021.0306
DO - 10.1098/rsta.2021.0306
M3 - Journal article
VL - 380
JO - Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
JF - Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
SN - 1364-503X
IS - 2233
M1 - 20210306
ER -