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    Rights statement: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics on 19/06/2017, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10618600.2017.1302340

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Regularized Estimation of Piecewise Constant Gaussian Graphical Models: The Group-Fused Graphical Lasso

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<mark>Journal publication date</mark>19/06/2017
<mark>Journal</mark>Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
Issue number3
Volume26
Number of pages12
Pages (from-to)623-634
Publication StatusPublished
Early online date7/03/17
<mark>Original language</mark>English

Abstract

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that data are drawn identically from a generating distribution. Introducing sparsity and sparse-difference inducing priors, we relax these assumptions and propose a novel regularized M-estimator to jointly estimate both the graph and changepoint structure. The resulting estimator possesses the ability to therefore favor sparse dependency structures and/or smoothly evolving graph structures, as required. Moreover, our approach extends current methods to allow estimation of changepoints that are grouped across multiple dependencies in a system. An efficient algorithm for estimating structure is proposed. We study the empirical recovery properties in a synthetic setting. The qualitative effect of grouped changepoint estimation is then demonstrated by applying the method on a genetic time-course dataset. Supplementary material for this article is available online.

Bibliographic note

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics on 19/06/2017, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10618600.2017.1302340