State space models (SSMs) provide a exible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time series. The challenge is two-fold: not only do computations scale linearly with time, as in the linear case, but particle lters additionally su er
from increasing particle degeneracy with longer series. Stochastic gradient MCMC methods have been developed to scale Bayesian inference for nite-state hidden Markov models and linear SSMs using bu ered stochastic gradient estimates to account for temporal dependencies. We extend these stochastic gradient estimators
to nonlinear SSMs using particle methods. We present error bounds that account
for both bu ering error and particle error in the case of nonlinear SSMs that
are log-concave in the latent process. We evaluate our proposed particle bu ered
stochastic gradient using stochastic gradient MCMC for inference on both long
sequential synthetic and minute-resolution nancial returns data, demonstrating
the importance of this class of methods.