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Trends in U.K. extreme sea levels: a spatial approach.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

<mark>Journal publication date</mark>1992
<mark>Journal</mark>Geophysical Journal International
Issue number3
Number of pages6
Pages (from-to)607-612
Publication StatusPublished
<mark>Original language</mark>English


The majority of studies of long-term sea-level change have concentrated on the trend in mean sea-level which is just one constituent of the trend in extreme sea-level. By fitting a spatial model to sea-level annual maxima from 62 UK sites, extreme sea-level trend estimates are obtained for the entire British coastline. These estimates exhibit smooth, but significant, spatial variation which arises from a combination of eustatic extreme sea-level change and local vertical land movements. Once the latter effect is removed, eustatic extreme sea-level trends are found to have no significant spatial variation and to be similar in value to trends in UK eustatic mean sea-level.