TY - JOUR

T1 - Trends in U.K. extreme sea levels: a spatial approach.

AU - Dixon, M. J.

AU - Tawn, J. A.

PY - 1992

Y1 - 1992

N2 - The majority of studies of long-term sea-level change have concentrated on the trend in mean sea-level which is just one constituent of the trend in extreme sea-level. By fitting a spatial model to sea-level annual maxima from 62 UK sites, extreme sea-level trend estimates are obtained for the entire British coastline. These estimates exhibit smooth, but significant, spatial variation which arises from a combination of eustatic extreme sea-level change and local vertical land movements. Once the latter effect is removed, eustatic extreme sea-level trends are found to have no significant spatial variation and to be similar in value to trends in UK eustatic mean sea-level.

AB - The majority of studies of long-term sea-level change have concentrated on the trend in mean sea-level which is just one constituent of the trend in extreme sea-level. By fitting a spatial model to sea-level annual maxima from 62 UK sites, extreme sea-level trend estimates are obtained for the entire British coastline. These estimates exhibit smooth, but significant, spatial variation which arises from a combination of eustatic extreme sea-level change and local vertical land movements. Once the latter effect is removed, eustatic extreme sea-level trends are found to have no significant spatial variation and to be similar in value to trends in UK eustatic mean sea-level.

U2 - 10.1111/j.1365-246X.1992.tb02115.x

DO - 10.1111/j.1365-246X.1992.tb02115.x

M3 - Journal article

VL - 111

SP - 607

EP - 612

JO - Geophysical Journal International

JF - Geophysical Journal International

SN - 1365-246X

IS - 3

ER -