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Centre for Marketing Analytics

  1. Published

    Investigating the information content of the model-free volatility expectation by Monte Carlo methods

    Zhang, Y., Taylor, S. J. & Wang, L., 11/2013, In: Journal of Futures Markets. 33, 11, p. 1071-1095 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Generalised estimators for seasonal forecasting by combining grouping with shrinkage approaches

    Zhang, K., Chen, H., Boylan, J. & Scarf, P., 1/03/2013, In: Journal of Forecasting. 32, 2, p. 137-150 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    An ensemble of single multiplicative neuron models for probabilistic prediction

    Yolcu, U., Jin, Y. & Egrioglu, E., 13/02/2017, 2016 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2016. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 8 p. 7849975. (2016 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2016).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  4. Published

    Probabilistic forecasting, linearity and nonlinearity hypothesis tests with bootstrapped linear and nonlinear artificial neural network

    Yolcu, U., Egrioglu, E., Bas, E., Yolcu, O. C. & Dalar, A. Z., 30/06/2021, In: Journal of Experimental and Theoretical Artificial Intelligence. 33, 3, p. 383-404 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    A new fuzzy inference system for time series forecasting and obtaining the probabilistic forecasts via subsampling block bootstrap

    Yolcu, U., Bas, E. & Egrioglu, E., 26/08/2018, In: Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems. 35, 2, p. 2349-2358 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    A new approach for determining the length of intervals for fuzzy time series

    Yolcu, U., Egrioglu, E., Uslu, V. R., Basaran, M. A. & Aladag, C. H., 1/03/2009, In: Applied Soft Computing Journal. 9, 2, p. 647-651 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Minimum density hyperplanes in the feature space

    Yates, K. & Pavlidis, N. G., 11/02/2017, Big Data (Big Data), 2016 IEEE International Conference on. IEEE, p. 3613-3618 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  8. Published

    Modelling and inference for the travel times in vehicle routing problems

    Wright, C., 2019, Lancaster University. 267 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  9. Published

    Supply Chain Forecasting: Best Practices & Benchmarking Study

    Weller, M. & Crone, S. F., 1/11/2012, Lancaster: Lancaster Centre for Forecasting. 43 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsOther report

  10. Published

    Leveraging Big Data Analytics to Improve Quality of Care in Healthcare Organizations: A Configurational Perspective

    Wang, Y., Kung, L. A., Gupta, S. & Ozdemir, S., 1/04/2019, In: British Journal of Management. 30, 2, p. 362-388 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Genetic algorithms for calibrating airline revenue management simulations

    Vock, S., Enz, S. & Cleophas, C., 23/01/2015, Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference 2014. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., p. 264-275 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  12. Published

    Non-Linear Identification of Judgmental Forecasts Effects at SKU-Level

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Fildes, R. A. & Davydenko, A., 2009, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  13. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 2010, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  14. Published

    Non-linear identification of judgmental forecasts effects at SKU-level

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Fildes, R. A. & Davydenko, A., 2011, In: Journal of Forecasting. 30, 5, p. 490–508 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance

    Trapero Arenas, J., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 12/2012, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 40, 6, p. 738-747 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

    Trapero Arenas, J., Pedregal, D. J., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 2, p. 234-243 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published
  18. Published

    Empirical safety stock estimation based on kernel and GARCH models

    Trapero Arenas, J. R., Cardos, M. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2019, In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science. 84, p. 199-211 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Impact of demand nature on the bullwhip effect: bridging the gap between theoretical and empirical research

    Trapero, J. R., Garcia, F. P. & Kourentzes, N., 2014, Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management.. Xu, J., Fry, J. A., Lev, B. & Hajiyev, A. (eds.). Berlin: Springer Verlag, p. 1127-1137 11 p. (Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering; vol. 242).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter (peer-reviewed)

  20. Published

    On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 2014, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, p. 299-307 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Short-term solar irradiation forecasting based on dynamic harmonic regression

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Martin, A., 1/05/2015, In: Energy. 84, p. 289-295 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Bankruptcy probabilities inferred from option prices

    Taylor, S. J., Tzeng, C-F. & Widdicks, M., 2014, In: Journal of Derivatives. 22, 2, p. 8-31 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Cell-nuclear data reduction and prognostic model selection in bladder tumor recurrence

    Tasoulis, D. K., Spyridonos, P., Pavlidis, N., Cavouras, D., Ravazoula, P., Nikiforidis, G. & Vrahatis, M. N., 11/2006, In: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine. 38, 3, p. 291-303 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Parallel differential evolution

    Tasoulis, DK., Pavlidis, N., Plagianakos, V. P. & Vrahatis, M. N., 2004, IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC 2004). IEEE, p. 2023-2029 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  25. Published

    A meta-analysis of price change fairness perceptions

    Tarrahi, F., Eisend, M. & Dost, F., 03/2016, In: International Journal of Research in Marketing. 33, 1, p. 199-203 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts

    Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J., Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 2009, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 118, 1, p. 72-81 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Judging the judges through accuracy-implication metrics: the case of inventory forecasting

    Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K. & Boylan, J., 1/01/2010, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 26, 1, p. 134-143 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Judgement and supply chain dynamics

    Syntetos, A. A., Georgantzas, N. C., Boylan, J. & Dangerfield, B. C., 1/06/2011, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 62, 6, p. 1138-1158 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Classification for forecasting and inventory

    Syntetos, A., Boylan, J. & Teunter, R., 2011, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 20, p. 12-17 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    On the variance of intermittent demand estimates

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 1/12/2010, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 128, 2, p. 546-555 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  31. Published

    Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review

    Syntetos, A. A., Boylan, J. & Disney, S. M., 2009, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 60, p. S149--S160 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Demand forecasting adjustments for service-level achievement

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 2008, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 19, 2, p. 175-192 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Viewpoint: reply to Kostenko and Hyndman

    Syntetos, A. A., Boylan, J. & Croston, J. D., 1/10/2006, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 57, 10, p. 1257-1258 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    On the stock control performance of intermittent demand estimators

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 1/09/2006, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 103, 1, p. 36-47 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Comments on the attribution of an intermittent demand estimator

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 1/01/2006, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 22, 1, p. 201-201 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    On the categorization of demand patterns

    Syntetos, A. A., Boylan, J. & Croston, J. D., 1/05/2005, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 56, 5, p. 495-503 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    The accuracy of intermittent demand estimates

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 1/04/2005, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 21, 2, p. 303-314 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    On the bias of intermittent demand estimates

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 1/05/2001, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 71, 1-3, p. 457-466 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Intermittent demand: estimation and statistical properties

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 24/03/2011, Service parts management. Altay, N. & Litteral, L. A. (eds.). London: Springer London, p. 1-30 31 p. Chapter 1

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  40. Published

    Decision trees for forecasting trended demand: estimation and statistical properties

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 24/03/2011, Service parts management. Altay, N. & Litteral, L. A. (eds.). London: Springer London, p. 53-87 14 p. Chapter 3

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  41. Published

    Smoothing and adjustments of demand forecasts for inventory control

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 17/05/2006, p. 173-178. 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Otherpeer-review

  42. Published

    On the development of theory-informed operationalised definitions of demand patterns

    Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J., 2005, Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Intelligent Management Systems in Operations, Salford. . Operational Research Society, p. 238-247 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  43. Published

    Supply chain forecasting: theory, practice, their gap and the future

    Syntetos, A., Babai, Z., Boylan, J. E., Kolassa, S. & Nikolopoulos, K., 1/07/2016, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 252, 1, p. 1-26 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 2/01/2016, Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-31, 31 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  45. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I., 2016, Lancaster University. 132 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  46. Published

    Statistical models underlying functions of 'smooth' package for R

    Svetunkov, I., 28/02/2017, Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-52, 52 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  47. Published

    Multiplicative State-Space Models for Intermittent Time Series

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 7/11/2017, Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, 43 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  48. Published

    Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

    Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F., 2018, In: International Journal of Production Research. 56, 18, p. 6034-6047 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 01/2018, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-20, 20 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  50. Published

    State-space ARIMA for supply-chain forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2020, In: International Journal of Production Research. 58, 3, p. 818-827 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

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