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Research

Professor Jonathan Tawn

Distinguished Professor of Statistics

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  1. 2025
  2. Published

    Hidden tail chains and recurrence equations for dependence parameters associated with extremes of stationary higher-order Markov chains

    Papastathopoulos, I., Casey, A. & Tawn, J., 30/06/2025, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 57, 2, p. 407-452 45 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    Automated threshold selection and associated inference uncertainty for univariate extremes

    Murphy, C., Tawn, J. & Varty, Z., 31/05/2025, In: Technometrics. 67, 2, p. 215-225 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    Authors reply to the discussion of “Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland”

    Healy, D., Tawn, J., Thorne, P. & Parnell, A., 31/03/2025, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 74, 2, p. 320-330 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Editorial: EVA (2023) conference data challenge

    Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. S. & Tawn, J. A., 29/03/2025, In: Extremes. 28, p. 1-21 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Editorial

  6. 2024
  7. Published

    Estimating the limiting shape of bivariate scaled sample clouds: with additional benefits of self-consistent inference for existing extremal dependence properties

    Simpson, E. & Tawn, J., 31/12/2024, In: Electronic Journal of Statistics. 18, 2, p. 4582-4611 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Estimating Metocean Environments Associated with Extreme Structural Response to Demonstrate the Dangers of Environmental Contour Methods

    Speers, M., Randell, D., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 1/11/2024, In: Ocean Engineering. 311, 118754.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. E-pub ahead of print

    Inference for new environmental contours using extreme value analysis

    Simpson, E. & Tawn, J., 18/03/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Forthcoming

    Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland

    Healy, D., Tawn, J., Thorne, P. & Parnell, A., 9/02/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics).

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Modelling non-stationary flood frequency in England andWales using physical covariates

    Faulkner, D. S., Longfield, S., Warren, S. & Tawn, J. A., 1/02/2024, In: Hydrology Research. 55, 2, p. 205-220 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Some benefits of standardisation for conditional extremes

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J., 14/01/2024, In: Stat. 13, 1, e647.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. 2023
  14. Published

    Accounting for seasonality in extreme sea-level estimation

    D’Arcy, E., Tawn, J. A., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D. E., 31/12/2023, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 17, 4, p. 3500-3525 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Forthcoming

    Modelling non-stationary flood frequency in England and Wales using physical covariates

    Faulkner, D., Longfield, S., Warren, S. & Tawn, J., 21/12/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Hydrology Research.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data

    Spearing, J., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data

    Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Joint Estimation of Extreme Spatially Aggregated Precipitation at Different Scales through Mixture Modelling

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/03/2023, In: Spatial Statistics. 53, 21 p., 100725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. 2022
  23. Published

    MODELLING EXTREMES OF SPATIAL AGGREGATES OF PRECIPITATION USING CONDITIONAL METHODS

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/12/2022, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 16, 4, p. 2693-2713 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    On the Tail Behaviour of Aggregated Random Variables

    Richards, J. & Tawn, J., 30/11/2022, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 192, 16 p., 105065.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. E-pub ahead of print

    Limit theory and robust evaluation methods for the extremal properties of GARCH(p, q) processes

    Laurini, F., Fearnhead, P. & Tawn, J., 1/11/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Statistics and Computing. 32, 6

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. E-pub ahead of print

    Higher-dimensional spatial extremes via single-site conditioning

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 30/06/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Spatial Statistics. 51, 31 p., 100677.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. 2021
  29. Published

    Sub-asymptotic motivation for new conditional multivariate extreme models

    Lugrin, T., Tawn, J. & Davison, A., 31/12/2021, In: Stat. 10, 1, e401.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/07/2021, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 184, 21 p., 104736.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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