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Dr Paul Smith

Senior Research Associate (Statistics) – Novel Statistical Methods for Energy/ IoT data Analytics

  1. Conference article
  2. Published

    Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts

    Skøien, J. O., Bogner, K., Salamon, P., Smith, P. & Pappenberger, F., 12/05/2016, In: IAHS-AISH Proceedings and Reports. 373, p. 109-114 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  3. Review article
  4. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

    Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineReview articlepeer-review

  5. Special issue
  6. Published

    A Data Based Mechanistic real-time flood forecasting module for NFFS FEWS: DBM real-time flood forecasting

    Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 9, 6, p. 7271-7296 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineSpecial issuepeer-review

  7. Comment/debate
  8. Published

    Comment on "pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling" by P. Clark et al.

    Beven, K., Smith, P., Westerberg, I. & Freer, J., 14/11/2012, In: Water Resources Research. 48, 11, W11801.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineComment/debatepeer-review

  9. Journal article
  10. Published

    Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions

    Hankin, B., Page, T. J. C., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J., Kretzschmar, A. & Lamb, R., 18/11/2021, In: Hydrol. Processes. 35, 11, 17 p., e14418.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Communicating complex forecasts: An analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

    Budimir, M., Donovan, A., Brown, S., Shakya, P., Gautam, D., Uprety, M., Cranston, M., Sneddon, A., Smith, P. & Dugar, S., 13/03/2020, In: Geoscience Communication. 3, 1, p. 49-70 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Citizen science for hydrological risk reduction and resilience building

    Paul, J. D., Buytaert, W., Allen, S., Ballesteros-Canovas, J. A., Bhusal, J., Cieslik, K., Clark, J., Dugar, S., Hannah, D. M., Stoffe, M., Dewulf, A., Dhita, M. R., Liu, W., Nayava, J. L., Neupane, B., Schiller, A., Smith, P. J. & Supper, R., 31/01/2018, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 5, 1, e1262.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Global Flood Forecasting for Averting Disasters Worldwide

    Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L., Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. & Thielen-Del Pozo, J., 2018, In: Geophysical Monograph Series. 233, p. 205-228 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In: Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    How do i know if I've improved my continental scale flood early warning system?

    Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. & Wetterhall, F., 28/03/2017, In: Environmental Research Letters. 12, 4, 044006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Community-based early warning systems for flood risk mitigation in Nepal

    Smith, P. J., Brown, S. & Dugar, S., 20/03/2017, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 17, 3, p. 423-437 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Building a multimodel flood prediction system with the TIGGE archive

    Zsótér, E., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Emerton, R. E., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D., Bogner, K. & Balsamo, G., 1/11/2016, In: Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 11, p. 2923-2940 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. E-pub ahead of print

    Panta Rhei 2013–2015: global perspectives on hydrology, society and change

    McMillan, H., Montanari, A., Cudennec, C., Savenije, H. H. G., Kreibich, H., Krueger, T., Liu, J., Mejia, A., Van Loon, A., Aksoy, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Huang, Y., Mazvimavi, D., Rogger, M., Sivakumar, B., Bibikova, T., Castellarin, A., Chen, Y., Finger, D., Gelfan, A., & 15 othersHannah, D. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Li, H., Maskey, S., Mathevet, T., Mijic, A., Acuna, A. P., Polo, M. J., Rosales, V., Smith, P. J., Viglione, A., Srinivasan, V., Toth, E., van Nooyen, R. & Xia, J., 1/03/2016, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Hydrological Sciences Journal.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    A novel framework for discharge uncertainty quantification applied to 500 UK gauging stations

    Coxon, G., Freer, J., Westerberg, I. K., Wagener, T., Woods, R. & Smith, P. J., 1/07/2015, In: Water Resources Research. 51, 7, p. 5531-5546 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Testing probabilistic adaptive real-time flood forecasting models

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H. & Young, P. C., 09/2014, In: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 7, 3, p. 265-279 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Concepts of information content and likelihood in parameter calibration for hydrological simulation models

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 26/02/2014, In: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20, 1, 15 p., A4014010.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Prévision des crues éclair à l'aide de modèles mécanistes fondés sur les données et prévisions pluviométriques du système radar NORA

    Smith, P. J., Panziera, L. & Beven, K. J., 1/01/2014, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 59, 7, p. 1403-1417 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Data-based mechanistic modelling of tidally affected river reaches for flood warning purposes: an example on the River Dee, UK

    Smith, P., Beven, K. & Horsburgh, K., 01/2013, In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 139, 671, p. 340-349 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting: Progresses, challenges, and emerging opportunities

    Liu, Y., Weerts, A. H., Clark, M., Hendricks Franssen, H. J., Kumar, S., Moradkhani, H., Seo, D. J., Schwanenberg, D., Smith, P., Van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Van Velzen, N., He, M., Lee, H., Noh, S. J., Rakovec, O. & Restrepo, P., 29/10/2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 10, p. 3863-3887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Adaptive correction of deterministic models to produce probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Weerts, A. H. & Leedal, D., 2012, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 8, p. 2783-2799 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    On the colour and spin of epistemic error (and what we might do about it)

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Wood, A., 2011, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, p. 3123-3133 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting a case study in the Cevennes region

    Alfieri, L., Smith, P. J., Thielen-del Pozo, J. & Beven, K. J., 2011, In: Advances in Geosciences. 29, p. 13-20 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    Towards the provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Hughes, D., Beven, K. J., Cross, P., Tych, W., Blair, G. & Coulson, G., 03/2009, In: Meteorological Applications. 16, 1, p. 57-64 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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