Final published version, 1.15 MB, PDF document
Available under license: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Final published version
Licence: CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - A Seamless Phase I/II Platform Design with a Time-To-Event Efficacy Endpoint for Potential COVID-19 Therapies
AU - Jaki, Thomas
AU - Barnett, Helen
AU - Titman, Andrew
AU - Mozgunov, Pavel
PY - 2024/11/30
Y1 - 2024/11/30
N2 - In the search for effective treatments for COVID-19, initial emphasis has been on re-purposed treatments. To maximise the chances of finding successful treatments, novel treatments that have been developed for this disease in particular, are needed. In this manuscript we describe and evaluate the statistical design of the AGILE platform, an adaptive randomized seamless Phase I/II trial platform that seeks to quickly establish a safe range of doses and investigates treatments for potential efficacy. The bespoke Bayesian design (i) utilizes randomization during dose-finding, (ii) shares control arm information across the platform, and (iii) uses a time-to-event endpoint with a formal testing structure and error control for evaluation of potential efficacy. Both single agent and combination treatments are considered. We find that the design can identify potential treatments that are safe and efficacious reliably with small to moderate sample sizes.
AB - In the search for effective treatments for COVID-19, initial emphasis has been on re-purposed treatments. To maximise the chances of finding successful treatments, novel treatments that have been developed for this disease in particular, are needed. In this manuscript we describe and evaluate the statistical design of the AGILE platform, an adaptive randomized seamless Phase I/II trial platform that seeks to quickly establish a safe range of doses and investigates treatments for potential efficacy. The bespoke Bayesian design (i) utilizes randomization during dose-finding, (ii) shares control arm information across the platform, and (iii) uses a time-to-event endpoint with a formal testing structure and error control for evaluation of potential efficacy. Both single agent and combination treatments are considered. We find that the design can identify potential treatments that are safe and efficacious reliably with small to moderate sample sizes.
U2 - 10.1177/09622802241288348
DO - 10.1177/09622802241288348
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 39397762
VL - 33
SP - 2115
EP - 2130
JO - Statistical Methods in Medical Research
JF - Statistical Methods in Medical Research
SN - 0962-2802
IS - 11-12
ER -