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Dr Paul Smith

Formerly at Lancaster University

  1. 2018
  2. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

    Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

  3. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  4. Published

    Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In : Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  5. 2017
  6. Published

    Constraining uncertainty and process-representation in an algal community lake model using high frequency in-lake observations

    Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 10/08/2017, In : Ecological Modelling. 357, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  7. 2016
  8. E-pub ahead of print

    Panta Rhei 2013–2015: global perspectives on hydrology, society and change

    McMillan, H., Montanari, A., Cudennec, C., Savenije, H. H. G., Kreibich, H., Krueger, T., Liu, J., Mejia, A., Van Loon, A., Aksoy, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Huang, Y., Mazvimavi, D., Rogger, M., Sivakumar, B., Bibikova, T., Castellarin, A., Chen, Y., Finger, D., Gelfan, A. & 15 others, Hannah, D. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Li, H., Maskey, S., Mathevet, T., Mijic, A., Acuna, A. P., Polo, M. J., Rosales, V., Smith, P. J., Viglione, A., Srinivasan, V., Toth, E., van Nooyen, R. & Xia, J., 1/03/2016, In : Hydrological Sciences Journal.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  9. 2014
  10. Published

    Testing probabilistic adaptive real-time flood forecasting models

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H. & Young, P. C., 09/2014, In : Journal of Flood Risk Management. 7, 3, p. 265-279 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  11. Published

    Concepts of information content and likelihood in parameter calibration for hydrological simulation models

    Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 26/02/2014, In : Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. 20, 1, 15 p., A4014010.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  12. Published

    Prévision des crues éclair à l'aide de modèles mécanistes fondés sur les données et prévisions pluviométriques du système radar NORA

    Smith, P. J., Panziera, L. & Beven, K. J., 1/01/2014, In : Hydrological Sciences Journal. 59, 7, p. 1403-1417 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  13. Published

    When to issue a flood warning: towards a risk-based approach based on real time probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P. J. & Beven, K. J., 2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. Beer, M., Au, S-K. & Hall, J. W. (eds.). American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 1395-1404 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  14. 2013
  15. Published

    Data-based mechanistic modelling of tidally affected river reaches for flood warning purposes: an example on the River Dee, UK

    Smith, P., Beven, K. & Horsburgh, K., 01/2013, In : Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 139, 671, p. 340-349 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  16. 2012
  17. Published

    Comment on "pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling" by P. Clark et al.

    Beven, K., Smith, P., Westerberg, I. & Freer, J., 14/11/2012, In : Water Resources Research. 48, 11, W11801.

    Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

  18. Published

    A Data Based Mechanistic real-time flood forecasting module for NFFS FEWS: DBM real-time flood forecasting

    Leedal, D., Weerts, A. H., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 9, 6, p. 7271-7296 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalSpecial issue

  19. Published

    Adaptive correction of deterministic models to produce probabilistic forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Weerts, A. H. & Leedal, D., 2012, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 16, 8, p. 2783-2799 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  20. Published

    Flash flood forecasting using Data-Based Mechanistic models and radar rainfall forecasts

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Panziera, L. & Germann, U., 2012, Weather radar and hydrology. Moore, R. J., Cole, S. J. & Illingworth, A. J. (eds.). Wallingford: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Vol. 351. p. 562-567 6 p. (IAHS Publication; vol. 351).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  21. Published

    Identification and representation of state dependent non-linearities in flood forecasting using the DBM methodology

    Beven, K., Leedal, D., Smith, P. & Young, P., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling and Control Systems Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer Verlag, p. 341-366 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  22. Published

    Multi-state dependent parameter model identification and estimation

    Tych, W., Sadeghi, J., Smith, P. J., Chotai, A. & Taylor, C. J., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling, and Control System Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer, p. 191-210 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  23. Published

    The impact of data assimilation strategies for correcting the affects of erroneous boundary conditions

    Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2012. 0 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paper

  24. Published

    Transport and Dispersion in Large Rivers: Application of the Aggregated Dead Zone Model

    Blazkova, S. D., Beven, K. J. & Smith, P. J., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling, and Control System Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer, p. 367-382 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  25. 2011
  26. Published

    A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting a case study in the Cevennes region

    Alfieri, L., Smith, P. J., Thielen-del Pozo, J. & Beven, K. J., 2011, In : Advances in Geosciences. 29, p. 13-20 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  27. Published

    On the colour and spin of epistemic error (and what we might do about it)

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Wood, A., 2011, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, p. 3123-3133 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  28. 2010
  29. Published
  30. Published

    Resilience and survivability in communication networks: Strategies, principles, and survey of disciplines

    Sterbenz, J. P. G., Hutchison, D., Çetinkaya, E. K., Jabbar, A., Rohrer, J. P., Schöller, M. & Smith, P., 1/06/2010, In : Computer Networks. 54, 8, p. 1245-1265 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  31. 2009
  32. Published

    Towards the provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Hughes, D., Beven, K. J., Cross, P., Tych, W., Blair, G. & Coulson, G., 03/2009, In : Meteorological Applications. 16, 1, p. 57-64 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  33. Published

    The provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Tych, W., Hughes, D., Coulson, G. & Blair, G., 2009, Flood risk management : research and practice. Samuels, P., Huntingdon, S., Allsop, W. & Harrop, J. (eds.). London: CRC Press, 309 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  34. 2008
  35. Published

    An experiment with reflective middleware to support grid-based flood monitoring

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Coulson, G., Grace, P., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P., Beven, K. & Coulson, G., 10/08/2008, In : Concurrency and computation-Practice & experience. 20, 11, p. 1303-1316 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  36. Published

    Informal likelihood measures in model assessment: Theoretic development and investigation

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 08/2008, In : Advances in Water Resources. 31, 8, p. 1087-1100 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  37. Published

    Managing heterogeneous data flows in wireless sensor networks using a 'split personality' mote platform.

    Hughes, D., Daude, M., Coulson, G., Blair, G., Smith, P., Beven, K. & Tych, W., 07/2008, International Symposium on Applications and the Internet, 2008. SAINT 2008.. IEEE, p. 145-148 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  38. Published

    So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?

    Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J. & Freer, J., 15/06/2008, In : Journal of Hydrology. 354, 1, p. 15-32 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  39. Published

    Detection of structural inadequacy in process-based hydrological models : a particle-filtering approach.

    Smith, P., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. A., 8/01/2008, In : Water Resources Research. 44, 1, p. W01410

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  40. Published

    The provision of site specific flood warnings using wireless sensor networks.

    Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Tych, W., Hughes, D., Coulson, G. & Blair, G., 2008, Proceedings of FLOODRisk 2008.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  41. 2007
  42. Published

    Comment on "Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: Incoherence of the GLUE methodology" by Pietro Mantovan and Ezio Todini

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Freer, J., 30/05/2007, In : Journal of Hydrology. 338, 3-4, p. 315-318 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  43. Unpublished

    Likelihood measure for environmental modelling

    Smith, P. J., 2007, (Unpublished) Lancaster University. 81 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  44. 2006
  45. Published

    Discharge dependent pollutant dispersion in rivers : estimation of aggregated dead zone parameters with surrogate data.

    Smith, P., Beven, K., Tawn, J., Blazkova, S. & Merta, L., 20/04/2006, In : Water Resources Research. 42, W04412

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  46. Published

    An intelligent and adaptable grid-based flood monitoring and warning system.

    Hughes, D., Greenwood, P., Blair, G., Pappenberger, F., Coulson, G., Smith, P. & Beven, K., 2006, Proceedings of the UK e-Science All Hands Meeting 2006. Cox, S. J. (ed.). Edinburgh: National E-Science Centre, p. 53-60 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

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