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Extreme Value Theory

  1. Published

    Model selection for time series of count data

    Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S., McKinley, T. & Touloupou, P., 06/2018, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 122, p. 33-44 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Joint modelling of the body and tail of bivariate data

    André, L., Wadsworth, J. & O'Hagan, A., 31/01/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 189, p. 107841 1 p., 107841.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    The asymptotic variance of the giant component of configuration model random graphs

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 1/04/2017, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 27, 2, p. 1057-1092 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge

    Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. & Simpson, E., 09/2018, In: Extremes. 21, 3, p. 431-439 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold

    Barlow, A. M., Mackay, E., Eastoe, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/01/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 267, 14 p., 113265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    The uncertainty cascade in model fusion

    Beven, K. & Lamb, R., 2017, Integrated environmental modelling to solve real world problems: methods, vision and challenges. Riddick, A. T., Kessler, H. & Giles, J. R. A. (eds.). London: Geological Society of London, p. 255-266 12 p. (Special Publications; vol. 408).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  8. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Models of Everywhere Revisited: A Technological Perspective

    Blair, G., Beven, K., Lamb, R., Bassett, R., Cauwenberghs, K., Hankin, B., Dean, G., Hunter, N., Edwards, L., Nundloll, V., Samreen, F., Simm, W. & Towe, R., 1/12/2019, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 122, 20 p., 104521.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    The Role of Digital Technologies in Responding to the Grand Challenges of the Natural Environment: The Windermere Accord

    Blair, G., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo Garcia, M., Brown, M., Dance, S., Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P. A., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P., Lamb, R., & 21 othersLaurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Phillipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J. D., Vieno, M., Waller, J. & Watkins, J., 8/01/2021, In: Patterns. 2, 1, 8 p., 100156.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Stochastic smoothing of point processes for wildlife-vehicle collisions on road networks

    Borrajo, M. I., Comas, C., Costafreda-Aumedes, S. & Mateu, J., 30/06/2022, In: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 36, 6, p. 1563-1577 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Melt probabilities and surface temperature trends on the Greenland ice sheet using a Gaussian mixture model

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 4/05/2022, In: The Cryosphere. 16, 5, p. 1597-1607 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    The importance of context in extreme value analysis with application to extreme temperatures in the U.S. and Greenland

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 2/09/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 4, p. 829-843 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme temperature events on the Greenland ice sheet

    Clarkson, D., 30/05/2023, Lancaster University. 157 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  15. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States.

    D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C., Simpson, E. S. & Shooter, R., 20/03/2023, In: Extremes. p. 1 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Time-varying extreme value dependence with applications to leading European stock markets

    de Carvalho, M., Castro Camilo, D. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/03/2018, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 12, 1, p. 283-309 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published
  20. Published

    Reconstructing spatiotemporal dynamics in hydrological state along intermittent rivers

    Eastman, M., Parry, S., Sefton, C., Park, J. & England, J., 14/02/2021, In: Water. 13, 4, 22 p., 493.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Data-driven decisions for flood risk management

    Edwards, E. R., Mullagh, L., Towe, R. P., Nundloll, V., Dean, C., Dean, G., Simm, W. A., Samreen, F., Bassett, R. & Blair, G. S., 6/09/2017, Data for Policy 2017: Government by Algorithm?. Data for Policy, 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  22. Published

    Extremal dependence of random scale constructions

    Engelke, S., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/12/2019, In: Extremes. 22, 4, p. 623–666 44 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Estimating the parameters of ocean wave spectra

    Grainger, J., Sykulski, A., Jonathan, P. & Ewans, K., 1/06/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 229, 20 p., 108934.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    A multivariate pseudo-likelihood approach to estimating directional ocean wave models

    Grainger, J. P., Sykulski, A. M., Ewans, K., Hansen, H. F. & Jonathan, P., 8/02/2022, In: arXiv.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  25. Published

    Strategies for testing the impact of natural flood risk management measures

    Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P. W., Johnson, D., Chappell, N. A., Page, T. J. C., Craigen, I., Lamb, R. & Beven, K. J., 30/08/2017, Flood Risk Management. Hromadka, T. & Rao, P. (eds.). InTech, p. 1-39 39 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter (peer-reviewed)peer-review

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