Atmospheric composition and climate impacts of a future hydrogen economy

Warwick, N. J., Archibald, A. T., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., O'Connor, F. M., Pyle, J. A. & Shine, K. P., 25/10/2023, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 23, 20, p. 13451–13467

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change

Friedel, M., Chiodo, G., Sukhodolov, T., Keeble, J., Peter, T., Seeber, S., Stenke, A., Akiyoshi, H., Rozanov, E., Plummer, D., Jöckel, P., Zeng, G., Morgenstern, O. & Josse, B., 14/09/2023, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 23, 17, p. 10235-10254 20 p.

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The Regional Aerosol Model Intercomparison Project (RAMIP)

Wilcox, L. J., Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T., Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. & Westervelt, D. M., 3/08/2023, In: Geoscientific Model Development. 16, 15, p. 4451-4479 29 p.

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Response of stratospheric water vapour to warming constrained by satellite observations

Nowack, P., Ceppi, P., Davis, S. M., Chiodo, G., Ball, W., Diallo, M. A., Hassler, B., Jia, Y., Keeble, J. & Joshi, M., 31/07/2023, In: Nature Geoscience. 16, 7, p. 577-583 7 p.

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Stratospheric water vapor affecting atmospheric circulation

Charlesworth, E., Plöger, F., Birner, T., Baikhadzhaev, R., Abalos, M., Abraham, N. L., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Dennison, F., Jöckel, P., Keeble, J., Kinnison, D., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D., Rozanov, E., Strode, S., Zeng, G., Egorova, T. & Riese, M., 3/07/2023, In: Nature Communications. 14, 1, 3925.

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Seasonal, interannual and decadal variability of tropospheric ozone in the North Atlantic: comparison of UM-UKCA and remote sensing observations for 2005-2018

Russo, M. R., Kerridge, B. J., Abraham, N. L., Keeble, J., Latter, B. G., Siddans, R., Weber, J., Griffiths, P. T., Pyle, J. A. & Archibald, A. T., 6/06/2023, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 23, 11, p. 6169-6196 28 p.

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No evidence of worsening Arctic springtime ozone losses over the 21st century

Polvani, L. M., Keeble, J., Banerjee, A., Checa-Garcia, R., Chiodo, G., Rieder, H. E. & Rosenlof, K. H., 24/03/2023, In: Nature Communications. 14, 1, 1608.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Letter › peer-review

Technical note: Unsupervised classification of ozone profiles in UKESM1

Fahrin, F., Jones, D. C., Wu, Y., Keeble, J. & Archibald, A. T., 24/03/2023, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 23, 6, p. 3609-3627 19 p.

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Comparison of Arctic and Antarctic Stratospheric Climates in Chemistry Versus No-Chemistry Climate Models

Morgenstern, O., Kinnison, D. E., Mills, M., Michou, M., Horowitz, L. W., Lin, P., Deushi, M., Yoshida, K., O’Connor, F. M., Tang, Y., Abraham, N. L., Keeble, J., Dennison, F., Rozanov, E., Egorova, T., Sukhodolov, T. & Zeng, G., 27/10/2022, In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 127, 20, e2022JD037123.

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Evaluating Long-Term Variability of the Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex Simulated by CMIP6 Models

Zhao, S., Zhang, J., Zhang, C., Xu, M., Keeble, J., Wang, Z. & Xia, X., 1/10/2022, In: Remote Sensing. 14, 19, 4701.

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The ozone-climate penalty over South America and Africa by 2100

Brown, F., Folberth, G. A., Sitch, S., Bauer, S., Bauters, M., Boeckx, P., Cheesman, A. W., Deushi, M., Dos Santos Vieira, I., Galy-Lacaux, C., Haywood, J., Keeble, J., Mercado, L. M., O'connor, F. M., Oshima, N., Tsigaridis, K. & Verbeeck, H., 21/09/2022, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 22, 18, p. 12331-12352 22 p.

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The Future Climate and Air Quality Response From Different Near-Term Climate Forcer, Climate, and Land-Use Scenarios Using UKESM1

Turnock, S. T., Allen, R., Archibald, A. T., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., Robertson, E. & O’Connor, F. M., 31/08/2022, In: Earth's Future. 10, 8, e2022EF002687.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Integrated ozone depletion as a metric for ozone recovery

Pyle, J. A., Keeble, J., Abraham, N. L., Chipperfield, M. P. & Griffiths, P. T., 24/08/2022, In: Nature. 608, 7924, p. 719-723 5 p.

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Evaluating the Ozone Valley over the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6 Models

Zhang, K., Duan, J., Zhao, S., Zhang, J., Keeble, J. & Liu, H., 31/07/2022, In: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 39, 7, p. 1167-1183 17 p.

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Responses of Arctic sea ice to stratospheric ozone depletion

Zhang, J., Tian, W., Pyle, J. A., Keeble, J., Abraham, N. L., Chipperfield, M. P., Xie, F., Yang, Q., Mu, L., Ren, H. L., Wang, L. & Xu, M., 15/06/2022, In: Science Bulletin. 67, 11, p. 1182-1190 9 p.

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Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone: A global perspective based on CMIP6 earth system models

Zanis, P., Akritidis, D., Turnock, S., Naik, V., Szopa, S., Georgoulias, A. K., Bauer, S. E., Deushi, M., Horowitz, L. W., Keeble, J., Le Sager, P., O'Connor, F. M., Oshima, N., Tsigaridis, K. & Van Noije, T., 28/02/2022, In: Environmental Research Letters. 17, 2, 024014.

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Regional features of long-term exposure to PM_2.5 air quality over Asia under ssp scenarios based on CMIP6 models

Shim, S., Sung, H., Kwon, S., Kim, J., Lee, J., Sun, M., Song, J., Ha, J., Byun, Y., Kim, Y., Turnock, S. T., Stevenson, D. S., Allen, R. J., O’connor, F. M., Teixeira, J. C., Williams, J., Johnson, B., Keeble, J., Mulcahy, J. & Zeng, G., 1/07/2021, In: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 18, 13, 6817.

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Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapor changes in CMIP6 models from 1850–2100

Keeble, J., Hassler, B., Banerjee, A., Checa-Garcia, R., Chiodo, G., Davis, S., Eyring, V., Griffiths, P. T., Morgenstern, O., Nowack, P., Zeng, G., Zhang, J., Bodeker, G., Cugnet, D., Danabasoglu, G., Deushi, M., Horowitz, L. W., Li, L., Michou, M., Mills, M. J., & 3 othersNabat, P., Park, S. & Wu, T., 31/03/2021, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics . 21, 6, p. 5015-5061

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Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100

Keeble, J., Hassler, B., Banerjee, A., Checa-Garcia, R., Chiodo, G., Davis, S., Eyring, V., Griffiths, P. T., Morgenstern, O., Nowack, P., Zeng, G., Zhang, J., Bodeker, G., Burrows, S., Cameron-Smith, P., Cugnet, D., Danek, C., Deushi, M., Horowitz, L. W., Kubin, A., & 11 othersLi, L., Lohmann, G., Michou, M., Mills, M. J., Nabat, P., Olivié, D., Park, S., Seland, Ø., Stoll, J., Wieners, K. H. & Wu, T., 31/03/2021, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 21, 6, p. 5015-5061 47 p.

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Assessment of pre-industrial to present-day anthropogenic climate forcing in UKESM1

O'Connor, F. M., Luke Abraham, N., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Johnson, B. T., Kahana, R., Keeble, J., Kim, B., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Richardson, M., Robertson, E., Seo, J., Shim, S., Teixeira, J. C., Turnock, S. T., Williams, J., Wiltshire, A. J., & 2 othersWoodward, S. & Zeng, G., 29/01/2021, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 21, 2, p. 1211-1243 33 p.

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Effective radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols-A multi-model comparison

Thornhill, G. D., Collins, W. J., Kramer, R. J., Olivie, D., Skeie, R. B., O'Connor, F. M., Luke Abraham, N., Checa-Garcia, R., Bauer, S. E., Deushi, M., Emmons, L. K., Forster, P. M., Horowitz, L. W., Johnson, B., Keeble, J., Lamarque, J. F., Michou, M., Mills, M. J., Mulcahy, J. P., Myhre, G., & 10 othersNabat, P., Naik, V., Oshima, N., Schulz, M., Smith, C. J., Takemura, T., Tilmes, S., Wu, T., Zeng, G. & Zhang, J., 21/01/2021, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 21, 2, p. 853-874 22 p.

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Using Machine Learning to Make Computationally Inexpensive Projections of 21st Century Stratospheric Column Ozone Changes in the Tropics

Keeble, J., Yiu, Y. Y. S., Archibald, A. T., O’Connor, F., Sellar, A., Walton, J. & Pyle, J. A., 14/01/2021, In: Frontiers in Earth Science. 8, 592667.

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Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry-climate model: A missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion

Orr, A., Scott Hosking, J., Delon, A., Hoffmann, L., Spang, R., Moffat-Griffin, T., Keeble, J., Luke Abraham, N., Braesicke, P. & Orr, A., 31/10/2020, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 20, 21, p. 12483-12497 15 p., 12483.

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Reconciling the climate and ozone response to the 1257 CE Mount Samalas eruption

Wade, D. C., Vidal, C. M., Luke Abraham, N., Dhomse, S., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., Mann, G., Marshall, L., Schmidt, A. & Archibald, A. T., 27/10/2020, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 117, 43, p. 26651-26659 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

The impacts of aerosol emissions on historical climate in ukesm1

Seo, J., Shim, S., Kwon, S. H., Boo, K. O., Kim, Y. H., O’connor, F., Johnson, B., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G., Teixeira, J., Mulcahy, J., Hardacre, C., Turnock, S., Woodward, S., Abraham, L., Keeble, J., Griffiths, P., Archibald, A., Richardson, M., Dearden, C., & 4 othersCarslaw, K., Williams, J., Zeng, G. & Morgenstern, O., 14/10/2020, In: Atmosphere. 11, 10, 1095.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

The Evaluation of the North Atlantic Climate System in UKESM1 Historical Simulations for CMIP6

Robson, J., Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore-Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D. L. R., Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C., Megann, A., Osprey, S., Povey, A. C., Schröder, D., Yang, M., Archibald, A. T., Carslaw, K. S., Gray, L., Jones, C., Kerridge, B., Knappett, D., & 8 othersKuhlbrodt, T., Russo, M., Sellar, A., Siddans, R., Sinha, B., Sutton, R., Walton, J. & Wilcox, L. J., 30/09/2020, In: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 12, 9, e2020MS002126.

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Modelling the potential impacts of the recent, unexpected increase in CFC-11 emissions on total column ozone recovery

Keeble, J., Luke Abraham, N., Archibald, A. T., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Griffiths, P. T. & Pyle, J. A., 19/06/2020, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 20, 12, p. 7153-7166 14 p.

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Stratospheric Ozone Changes From Explosive Tropical Volcanoes: Modeling and Ice Core Constraints

Ming, A., Winton, V. H. L., Keeble, J., Abraham, N. L., Dalvi, M. C., Griffiths, P., Caillon, N., Jones, A. E., Mulvaney, R., Savarino, J., Frey, M. M. & Yang, X., 16/06/2020, In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 125, 11, e2019JD032290.

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The influence of zonally asymmetric stratospheric ozone changes on the arctic polar vortex shift

Zhang, J., Tian, W., Xie, F., Pyle, J. A., Keeble, J. & Wang, T., 1/06/2020, In: Journal of Climate. 33, 11, p. 4641-4658 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

On the Changing Role of the Stratosphere on the Tropospheric Ozone Budget: 1979–2010

Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J., Shin, Y. M., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A. T. & Pyle, J. A., 28/05/2020, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 47, 10, e2019GL086901.

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UKESM1: Description and Evaluation of the U.K. Earth System Model

Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J. P., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O'Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rumbold, S. T., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., & 29 othersAndrews, T., Archibald, A. T., Berthou, S., Burke, E., Blockley, E., Carslaw, K., Dalvi, M., Edwards, J., Folberth, G. A., Gedney, N., Griffiths, P. T., Harper, A. B., Hendry, M. A., Hewitt, A. J., Johnson, B., Jones, A., Jones, C. D., Keeble, J., Liddicoat, S., Morgenstern, O., Parker, R. J., Predoi, V., Robertson, E., Siahaan, A., Smith, R. S., Swaminathan, R., Woodhouse, M. T., Zeng, G. & Zerroukat, M., 31/12/2019, In: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 11, 12, p. 4513-4558 46 p.

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Prescribing Zonally Asymmetric Ozone Climatologies in Climate Models: Performance Compared to a Chemistry-Climate Model

Rae, C. D., Keeble, J., Hitchcock, P. & Pyle, J. A., 30/04/2019, In: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 11, 4, p. 918-933 16 p.

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Improvements to stratospheric chemistry scheme in the UM-UKCA (v10.7) model: Solar cycle and heterogeneous reactions

Dennison, F., Keeble, J., Morgenstern, O., Zeng, G., Luke Abraham, N. & Yang, X., 29/03/2019, In: Geoscientific Model Development. 12, 3, p. 1227-1239 13 p.

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On ozone trend detection: Using coupled chemistry-climate simulations to investigate early signs of total column ozone recovery

Keeble, J., Brown, H., Abraham, N. L., Harris, N. R. P. & Pyle, J. A., 1/06/2018, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 18, 10, p. 7625-7637 13 p.

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Heterogeneous reaction of ClONO₂ with TiO₂ and SiO₂ aerosol particles: Implications for stratospheric particle injection for climate engineering

Tang, M., Keeble, J., Telford, P. J., Pope, F. D., Braesicke, P., Griffiths, P. T., Luke Abraham, N., McGregor, J., Matt Watson, I., Anthony Cox, R., Pyle, J. A. & Kalberer, M., 12/12/2016, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 16, 23, p. 15397-15412 16 p.

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Processes controlling tropical tropopause temperature and stratospheric water vapor in climate models

Hardiman, S. C., Boutle, I. A., Bushell, A. C., Butchart, N., Cullen, M. J. P., Field, P. R., Furtado, K., Manners, J. C., Milton, S. F., Morcrette, C., O'Connor, F. M., Shipway, B. J., Smith, C., Walters, D. N., Willett, M. R., Williams, K. D., Wood, N., Lukeabraham, N., Keeble, J., Maycock, A. C., & 2 othersThuburn, J. & Woodhouse, M. T., 15/08/2015, In: Journal of Climate. 28, 16, p. 6516-6535 20 p.

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Inclusion of mountain-wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model

Orr, A., Hosking, J. S., Hoffmann, L., Keeble, J., Dean, S. M., Roscoe, H. K., Abraham, N. L., Vosper, S. & Braesicke, P., 30/01/2015, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 15, 2, p. 1071-1086 16 p.

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The impact of polar stratospheric ozone loss on southern Hemisphere stratospheric circulation and climate

Keeble, J., Braesicke, P., Abraham, N. L., Roscoe, H. K. & Pyle, J. A., 22/12/2014, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 14, 24, p. 13705-13717 13 p.

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How sensitive is the recovery of stratospheric ozone to changes in concentrations of very short-lived bromocarbons?

Yang, X., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A. T., Braesicke, P., Keeble, J., Telford, P. J., Warwick, N. J. & Pyle, J. A., 1/10/2014, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 14, 19, p. 10431-10438 8 p.

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Circulation anomalies in the Southern Hemisphere and ozone changes

Braesicke, P., Keeble, J., Yang, X., Stiller, G., Kellmann, S., Abraham, N. L., Archibald, A., Telford, P. & Pyle, J. A., 4/11/2013, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 13, 21, p. 10677-10688 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review