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Research

Professor Philip Jonathan

Chair in Environmental Statistics and Data Science

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  1. 2025
  2. Published

    Changes over time in the 100-year return value of climate model variables

    Leach, C., Ewans, K. & Jonathan, P., 30/04/2025, In: Ocean Engineering. 324, 120605.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. E-pub ahead of print

    Calibration of medium-range metocean forecasts for the North Sea

    Murphy, C., Towe, R. & Jonathan, P., 31/05/2025, In: Applied Ocean Research. 158, 104538.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    The SPAR Model: A New Paradigm for Multivariate Extremes: Application to Joint Distributions of Metocean Variables

    Mackay, E. B. L., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Jonathan, P., 1/02/2025, In: Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering. 147, 1, 011205.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Reducing the CO<sub>2</sub> footprint at an LNG asset with replicate trains using operational data-driven analysis. A case study on end flash vessels

    Paleja, R., Osemwinyen, E., Jones, M., Ayoola, J., Pitchumani, R. & Jonathan, P., 31/01/2025, In: Data-Centric Engineering. 6, e1.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. 2024
  7. Published

    Practical non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution: Estimating uncertainties in return values

    Tendijck, S., Randell, D., Feld, G. & Jonathan, P., 15/11/2024, In: Ocean Engineering. 312, 119247.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Estimating Metocean Environments Associated with Extreme Structural Response to Demonstrate the Dangers of Environmental Contour Methods

    Speers, M., Randell, D., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 1/11/2024, In: Ocean Engineering. 311, 118754.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. E-pub ahead of print

    Inference for bivariate extremes via a semi-parametric angular-radial model

    Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R., Mackay, E. & Jonathan, P., 3/10/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Extremes.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Multivariate spatial and spatio-temporal models for extreme tropical cyclone seas

    Sando, K., Wada, R., Rohmer, J. & Jonathan, P., 1/10/2024, In: Ocean Engineering. 309, 1, 118365.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    covXtreme: MATLAB software for non-stationary penalised piecewise constant marginal and conditional extreme value models

    Towe, R., Ross, E., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 06/2024, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 177, 106035.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. 2023
  13. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Avoiding methane emission rate underestimates when using the divergence method

    Roberts, C., IJzermans, R., Randell, D., Jones, M., Jonathan, P., Mandel, K., Hirst, B. & Shorttle, O., 1/11/2023, In: Environmental Research Letters. 18, 11, 114033.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Estimation of associated values from conditional extreme value models

    Towe, R., Randell, D., Kensler, J., Feld, G. & Jonathan, P., 15/03/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 272, 15 p., 113808.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    Uncertainties in estimating the effect of climate change on 100-year return value for significant wave height

    Ewans, K. & Jonathan, P., 15/03/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 272, 17 p., 113840.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold

    Barlow, A. M., Mackay, E., Eastoe, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/01/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 267, 14 p., 113265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. 2022
  20. Published

    On wave impact pressure variability

    Raby, A., Bullock, G., Jonathan, P., Randell, D. & Whittaker, C., 31/10/2022, In: Coastal Engineering. 177, 16 p., 104168.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Implications of the Loads Jip on Extreme Wave Conditions in the North Sea

    Feld, G., Randell, D. & Phillip, J., 1/10/2022, Ageing and Life Extensions of Offshore Facilities. Salama, M. M., Stacey, A. & Ersdal, G. (eds.). New York: ASME, p. 181-193 13 p. (Ageing and Life Extension of Offshore Facilities).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  22. Published

    Enhanced monitoring of atmospheric methane from space over the Permian basin with hierarchical Bayesian inference

    Roberts, C., Shorttle, O., Mandel, K., Jones, M., Ijzermans, R., Hirst, B. & Jonathan, P., 1/06/2022, In: Environmental Research Letters. 17, 6, 15 p., 064037.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Letter › peer-review

  23. Published

    Fitting limit lines (envelope curves) to spreads of geoenvironmental data

    Carling, P. A., Jonathan, P. & Su, T., 1/04/2022, In: Progress in Physical Geography. 46, 2, p. 272-290 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Multivariate spatial conditional extremes for extreme ocean environments

    Shooter, R., Ross, E., Ribal, A., Young, I. R. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2022, In: Ocean Engineering. 247, 11 p., 110647.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    A multivariate pseudo-likelihood approach to estimating directional ocean wave models

    Grainger, J. P., Sykulski, A. M., Ewans, K., Hansen, H. F. & Jonathan, P., 8/02/2022, In: arXiv.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  26. 2021
  27. Published

    The effect of serial correlation in environmental conditions on estimates of extreme events

    Mackay, E., de Hauteclocque, G., Vanem, E. & Jonathan, P., 15/12/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 242, 18 p., 110092.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Sampling properties and empirical estimates of extreme events

    Mackay, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/11/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 239, 8 p., 109791.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Efficient estimation of distributional properties of extreme seas from a hierarchical description applied to calculation of un-manning and other weather-related operational windows

    Towe, R., Zanini, E., Randell, D., Feld, G. & Jonathan, P., 15/10/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 238, 11 p., 109642.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Bayes linear analysis for ordinary differential equations

    Jones, M., Goldstein, M., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/09/2021, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 161, 27 p., 107228.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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