A short history of philosophies of hydrological model evaluation and hypothesis testing

Beven, K. J., 28/02/2025, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 12, 1, e1761.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Review article › peer-review

The first catchment water balance: new insights into Pierre Perrault, his perceptual model and his peculiar catchment

McDonnell, J. J., Beven, K., Morgenstern, U. & Pfister, L., 2/01/2025, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 70, 1, p. 27-36 10 p.

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Evaluation of hydrological models at gauged and ungauged basins using machine learning-based limits-of-acceptability and hydrological signatures

Gupta, A., Hantush, M. M., Govindaraju, R. S. & Beven, K., 30/09/2024, In: Journal of Hydrology. 641, 131774.

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On “The Science of Waters” by Père Jean François from 1653

Beven, K., 9/08/2024, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 69, p. 1561-1570 9 p.

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Nature-based solutions for effective flood mitigation: potential design criteria

Chappell, N. A. & Beven, K. J., 1/07/2024, In: Environmental Research Letters. 19, 7, 074006.

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The importance of retention times in Natural Flood Management interventions

Follett, E., Beven, K., Hankin, B., Mindham, D. & Chappell, N., 18/04/2024, In: Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. 385, p. 197-201 5 p.

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UPH Problem 20 – reducing uncertainty in model prediction: a model invalidation approach based on a Turing-like test

Beven, K., Page, T., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Hankin, B. & Chappell, N., 18/04/2024, In: Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. 385, p. 129-134 6 p.

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A brief history of information and disinformation in hydrological data and the impact on the evaluation of hydrological models

Beven, K., 10/04/2024, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 69, 5, p. 519-527 9 p.

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Technical note: The CREDIBLE Uncertainty Estimation (CURE) toolbox: facilitating the communication of epistemic uncertainty

Page, T., Smith, P., Beven, K., Pianosi, F., Sarrazin, F., Almeida, S., Holcombe, L., Freer, J., Chappell, N. & Wagener, T., 11/07/2023, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 27, 13, p. 2523-2534 12 p.

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Benchmarking Hydrological Models for an Uncertain Future

Beven, K., 31/05/2023, In: Hydrological Processes. 37, 5, e14882.

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Time‐variability of flow recession dynamics: Application of machine learning and learning from the machine

Kim, M., Bauser, H. H., Beven, K. & Troch, P. A., 19/05/2023, In: Water Resources Research. 59, 5, e2022WR032690.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Rainfall-streamflow response times for diverse upland UK micro-basins: quantifying hydrographs to identify the nonlinearity of storm response

Mindham, D., Beven, K. & Chappell, N., 1/02/2023, In: Hydrology Research. 54, 2, p. 233-244 12 p.

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Deciding on fitness‐for‐purpose ‐ of models and of natural flood management

Beven, K., Page, T., Hankin, B., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Mindham, D. & Chappell, N., 30/11/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 11, 40 p., e14752.

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Interpolation of rainfall observations during extreme rainfall events in complex mountainous terrain

Page, T., Beven, K., Hankin, B. & Chappell, N., 30/11/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 11, 21 p., e14758.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

On (in)validating environmental models. 1. Principles for formulating a Turing‐like Test for determining when a model is fit‐for purpose

Beven, K. & Lane, S., 31/10/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 10, 12 p., e14704.

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On (in)validating environmental models. 2. Implementation of a Turing‐like Test to modelling hydrological processes

Beven, K., Lane, S., Page, T., Kretzschmar, A., Hankin, B., Smith, P. & Chappell, N., 31/10/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 10, 16 p., e14703.

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The future of flood hydrology in the UK

Lamb, R., Longfield, S., Manson, S., Cloke, H. L., Pilling, C., Reynard, N., Sheppard, O., Asadullah, A., Vaughan, M., Fowler, H. J. & Beven, K. J., 1/10/2022, In: Hydrology Research. 53, 10, p. 1286-1303 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Refining an ensemble of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite retrievals: Raikoke 2019

Capponi, A., Harvey, N. J., Dacre, H. F., Beven, K., Saint, C., Wells, C. & James, M., 10/05/2022, In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics . 22, 9, p. 6115-1634 20 p.

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Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions

Hankin, B., Page, T. J. C., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J., Kretzschmar, A. & Lamb, R., 18/11/2021, In: Hydrol. Processes. 35, 11, 17 p., e14418.

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Perceptual perplexity and parameter parsimony

Beven, K. J. & Chappell, N. A., 31/07/2021, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 8, 4, e1530.

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Knowledge gaps in our perceptual model of Great Britain's hydrology

Wagener, T., Dadson, S. J., Hannah, D. M., Coxon, G., Beven, K., Bloomfield, J. P., Buytaert, W., Cloke, H., Bates, P., Holden, J., Parry, L., Lamb, R., Chappell, N. A., Fry, M. & Old, G., 13/07/2021, In: Hydrological Processes. 35, 7, 13 p., e14288.

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Technical note: Hydrology modelling R packages - A unified analysis of models and practicalities from a user perspective

Astagneau, P. C., Thirel, G., Delaigue, O., Guillaume, J. H. A., Parajka, J., Brauer, C. C., Viglione, A., Buytaert, W. & Beven, K. J., 8/07/2021, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 25, 7, p. 3937-3973 37 p.

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Issues in generating stochastic observables for hydrological models

Beven, K., 30/06/2021, In: Hydrological Processes. 35, 6, 12 p., e14203.

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In Memoriam: Peter F. Germann

Beven, K., 24/02/2021, In: Vadose Zone Journal. 20, 2

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The era of infiltration

Beven, K., 22/02/2021, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 25, 2, p. 851-866 16 p., 8512021.

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A history of TOPMODEL

Beven, K., Kirkby, M., E. Freer, J. & Lamb, R., 2/02/2021, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 25, 2, p. 527-549 23 p.

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An epistemically uncertain walk through the rather fuzzy subject of observation and model uncertainties1

Beven, K., 1/01/2021, In: Hydrological Processes. 35, 1, 9 p., e14012.

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Assessing the significance of wet-canopy evaporation from forests during extreme rainfall events for flood mitigation in mountainous regions of the United Kingdom

Page, T., Chappell, N. A., Beven, K. J., Hankin, B. & Kretzschmar, A., 30/11/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 24, p. 4740-4754 15 p.

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Deep learning, hydrological processes and the uniqueness of place

Beven, K., 30/07/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 16, p. 3608-3613 6 p.

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A history of the concept of time of concentration

Beven, K. J., 25/05/2020, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 24, 5, p. 2655-2670 16 p.

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Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

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How to make advances in hydrological modelling

Beven, K., 1/12/2019, In: Hydrology Research. 50, 6, p. 1481-1494 14 p.

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Integration of hillslope hydrology and 2D hydraulic modelling for natural flood management

Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P., Beven, K. & Chappell, N., 1/12/2019, In: Hydrology Research. 50, 6, p. 1535-1548 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Models of Everywhere Revisited: A Technological Perspective

Blair, G., Beven, K., Lamb, R., Bassett, R., Cauwenberghs, K., Hankin, B., Dean, G., Hunter, N., Edwards, L., Nundloll, V., Samreen, F., Simm, W. & Towe, R., 1/12/2019, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 122, 20 p., 104521.

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Twenty-three unsolved problems in hydrology (UPH)–a community perspective

Blöschl, G., Bierkens, M. F. P., Chambel, A., Cudennec, C., Destouni, G., Fiori, A., Kirchner, J. W., McDonnell, J. J., Savenije, H. H. G., Sivapalan, M., Stumpp, C., Toth, E., Volpi, E., Carr, G., Lupton, C., Salinas, J., Széles, B., Viglione, A., Aksoy, H. & Allen, S. T. & 184 others, Amin, A., Andréassian, V., Arheimer, B., Aryal, S. K., Baker, V., Bardsley, E., Barendrecht, M. H., Bartosova, A., Batelaan, O., Berghuijs, W. R., Beven, K., Blume, T., Bogaard, T., Borges de Amorim, P., Böttcher, M. E., Boulet, G., Breinl, K., Brilly, M., Brocca, L., Buytaert, W., Castellarin, A., Castelletti, A., Chen, X., Chen, Y., Chifflard, P., Claps, P., Clark, M. P., Collins, A. L., Croke, B., Dathe, A., David, P. C., de Barros, F. P. J., de Rooij, G., Di Baldassarre, G., Driscoll, J. M., Duethmann, D., Dwivedi, R., Eris, E., Farmer, W. H., Feiccabrino, J., Ferguson, G., Ferrari, E., Ferraris, S., Fersch, B., Finger, D., Foglia, L., Fowler, K., Gartsman, B., Gascoin, S., Gaume, E., Gelfan, A., Geris, J., Gharari, S., Gleeson, T., Glendell, M., Gonzalez Bevacqua, A., González-Dugo, M. P., Grimaldi, S., Gupta, A. B., Guse, B., Han, D., Hannah, D., Harpold, A., Haun, S., Heal, K., Helfricht, K., Herrnegger, M., Hipsey, M., Hlaváčiková, H., Hohmann, C., Holko, L., Hopkinson, C., Hrachowitz, M., Illangasekare, T. H., Inam, A., Innocente, C., Istanbulluoglu, E., Jarihani, B., Kalantari, Z., Kalvans, A., Khanal, S., Khatami, S., Kiesel, J., Kirkby, M., Knoben, W., Kochanek, K., Kohnová, S., Kolechkina, A., Krause, S., Kreamer, D., Kreibich, H., Kunstmann, H., Lange, H., Liberato, M. L. R., Lindquist, E., Link, T., Liu, J., Loucks, D. P., Luce, C., Mahé, G., Makarieva, O., Malard, J., Mashtayeva, S., Maskey, S., Mas-Pla, J., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mazzoleni, M., Mernild, S., Misstear, B. D., Montanari, A., Müller-Thomy, H., Nabizadeh, A., Nardi, F., Neale, C., Nesterova, N., Nurtaev, B., Odongo, V. O., Panda, S., Pande, S., Pang, Z., Papacharalampous, G., Perrin, C., Pfister, L., Pimentel, R., Polo, M. J., Post, D., Prieto Sierra, C., Ramos, M.-H., Renner, M., Reynolds, J. E., Ridolfi, E., Rigon, R., Riva, M., Robertson, D. E., Rosso, R., Roy, T., Sá, J. H. M., Salvadori, G., Sandells, M., Schaefli, B., Schumann, A., Scolobig, A., Seibert, J., Servat, E., Shafiei, M., Sharma, A., Sidibe, M., Sidle, R. C., Skaugen, T., Smith, H., Spiessl, S. M., Stein, L., Steinsland, I., Strasser, U., Su, B., Szolgay, J., Tarboton, D., Tauro, F., Thirel, G., Tian, F., Tong, R., Tussupova, K., Tyralis, H., Uijlenhoet, R., van Beek, R., van der Ent, R. J., van der Ploeg, M., Van Loon, A. F., van Meerveld, I., van Nooijen, R., van Oel, P. R., Vidal, J.-P., von Freyberg, J., Vorogushyn, S., Wachniew, P., Wade, A. J., Ward, P., Westerberg, I. K., White, C., Wood, E. F., Woods, R., Xu, Z., Yilmaz, K. K. & Zhang, Y., 1/08/2019, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64, 10, p. 1141-1158 18 p.

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Following tracer through the unsaturated zone using a multiple interacting pathways model: Implications from laboratory experiments

Scaini, A., Amvrosiadi, N., Hissler, C., Pfister, L. & Beven, K., 9/07/2019, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Hydrological Processes.

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Towards a methodology for testing models as hypotheses in the inexact sciences

Beven, K., 24/04/2019, In: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 475, 2224, 19 p., 20180862.

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A Century of Denial: Preferential and Nonequilibrium Water Flow in Soils, 1864-1984

Beven, K., 20/12/2018, In: Vadose Zone Journal. 17, 1, 17 p., 180153.

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Nierji reservoir flood forecasting based on a Data-Based Mechanistic methodology

Wei, G., Tych, W., Beven, K., He, B., Ning, F. & Zhou, H., 1/12/2018, In: Journal of Hydrology. 567, p. 227-237 11 p.

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Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas

Beven, K. J., Almeida, S., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Blazkova, S., Borgomeo, E., Freer, J., Goda, K., Hall, J., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Stephenson, D. B., Wagener, T., Watson, M. & Wilkins, K. L., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2741-2768 28 p.

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Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

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A method for uncertainty constraint of catchment discharge and phosphorus load estimates

Hollaway, M. J., Beven, K. J., Benskin, C. M. H., Collins, A. L., Evans, R., Falloon, P. D., Forber, K. J., Hiscock, K. M., Kahana, R., Macleod, C. J. A., Ockenden, M., Villamizar, M. L., Wearing, C. L., Withers, P. J. A., Zhou, J., Barber, N. J. & Haygarth, P. M., 15/08/2018, In: Hydrological Processes. 32, 17, p. 2779-2787 9 p.

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Adaptive forecasting of phytoplankton communities

Page, T., Smith, P. J., Beven, K. J., Jones, I. D., Elliott, J. A., Maberly, S. C., Mackay, E. B., De Ville, M. & Feuchtmayr, H., 1/05/2018, In: Water Research. 134, p. 74-85 12 p.

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On hypothesis testing in hydrology: why falsification of models is still a really good idea

Beven, K. J., 05/2018, In: WIREs WATER . 5, 3, 8 p., e1278.

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A new method, with application, for analysis of the impacts on flood risk of widely distributed enhanced hillslope storage

Metcalfe, P., Beven, K., Hankin, B. & Lamb, R., 27/04/2018, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 4, p. 2589-2605 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

Embracing Equifinality with Efficiency: Limits of Acceptability Sampling Using the DREAM(LOA) algorithm

Vrugt, J. A. & Beven, K. J., 04/2018, In: Journal of Hydrology. 559, p. 954-971 18 p.

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Hillslope response to sprinkling and natural rainfall using velocity and celerity estimates in a slate-bedrock catchment

Scaini, A., Hissler, C., Fenicia, F., Juilleret, J., Iffly, J. F., Pfister, L. & Beven, K., 03/2018, In: Journal of Hydrology. 558, p. 366-379 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

The challenges of modelling phosphorus in a headwater catchment: Applying a 'limits of acceptability' uncertainty framework to a water quality model

Hollaway, M. J., Beven, K. J., Benskin, C. M. H., Collins, A., Evans, R., Falloon, P., Forber, K. J., Hiscock, K. M., Kahana, R., Macleod, C. J. A., Ockenden, M., Villamizar, M., Wearing, C. L., Withers, P. J. A., Zhou, J., Barber, N. & Haygarth, P. M., 03/2018, In: Journal of Hydrology. 558, p. 607-624 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review