Home > Research > Publications & Outputs
  1. Published

    On the colour and spin of epistemic error (and what we might do about it)

    Beven, K., Smith, P. & Wood, A., 2011, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 15, p. 3123-3133 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future?

    Beven, K., 2009, London: Routledge. 310 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsBook

  3. Published

    The GLUE methodology for model calibration with uncertainty

    Beven, K. J., 03/2014, Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management. Beven, K. & Hall, J. (eds.). World Scientific

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  4. Published

    Streamflow generation processes. Benchmark papers in hydrology, 1

    Beven, K. J., 2006, Wallingford: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 431 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  5. Published

    Uncertainty in predictions of floods and hydraulic transport.

    Beven, K., 2007, Transport phenomena in hydraulics. Rowiński, P. (ed.). E 7 ed. Warszawa: Institute of Geophysics, p. 5-20 16 p. (Publications of the Institute of Geophysics).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  6. Published

    A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.

    Beven, K. J., 30/03/2006, In: Journal of Hydrology. 320, 1-2, p. 18-36 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    'Here we have a system in which liquid water is moving; Let's just get at the physics of it' (Penman 1965)

    Beven, K., 1/01/2014, In: Hydrology Research. 45, 6, p. 727-736 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    On undermining the science?

    Beven, K. J., 09/2006, In: Hydrological Processes. 20, 14, p. 3141-3146 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    NERC Final Report: The Catchment Change Network Knowledge Exchange Project

    Beven, K., 12/03/2013, Lancaster: Lancaster University. 4 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsOther report

  10. Published

    Causal models as multiple working hypotheses about environmental processes

    Beven, K., 02/2012, In: Comptes Rendus Géoscience. 344, 2, p. 77-88 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Deep learning, hydrological processes and the uniqueness of place

    Beven, K., 30/07/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 16, p. 3608-3613 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Guidelines for good practice in flood risk mapping: The catchment change network

    Beven, K., Leedal, D., Alcock, R., Hunter, N., Keef, C. & Lamb, R., 2010.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paper

  13. Published

    Computationally efficient flood water level prediction (with uncertainty).

    Beven, K. J., Young, P. C., Leedal, D. T. & Romanowicz, R., 2009, Flood risk management : research and practice. Samuels, P., Huntingdon, S., Allsop, W. & Harrop, J. (eds.). London: CRC Press, 309 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  14. Published

    Searching for the Holy Grail of scientific hydrology: Qt=(S, R, Δt)A as closure

    Beven, K. J., 2006, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 10, 5, p. 609-618 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Uniqueness of place and non-uniqueness of models in assessing predictive uncertainty

    Beven, K., 1/01/2000, Computational methods in water resources - Volume 2 - Computational methods,surface water systems and hydrology. Bentley, L. R., Sykes, J. F., Brebbia, C. A., Gray, W. G., Pinder, G. F., Bentley, L. R., Sykes, J. F., Brebbia, C. A., Gray, W. G. & Pinder, G. F. (eds.). A.A.Balkema, p. 1085-1091 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  16. Published

    Uncertainty estimation in phosphorus models.

    Beven, K. J., Page, T. & McGechan, M., 2007, Modeling phosphorus in the environment. Radcliffe, D. E. & Cabrera, M. L. (eds.). Boca Ranton: CRC Press, p. 131-160 30 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  17. Published

    Macropores and water flow in soils revisited

    Beven, K. & Germann, P., 06/2013, In: Water Resources Research. 49, 6, p. 3071-3092 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineLiterature reviewpeer-review

  18. Published

    Advice to a young hydrologist

    Beven, K. J., 30/09/2016, In: Hydrological Processes. 30, 20, p. 3578-3582 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    A history of TOPMODEL

    Beven, K., Kirkby, M., E. Freer, J. & Lamb, R., 2/02/2021, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 25, 2, p. 527-549 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Identification and representation of state dependent non-linearities in flood forecasting using the DBM methodology

    Beven, K., Leedal, D., Smith, P. & Young, P., 2012, System Identification, Environmental Modelling and Control Systems Design. Wang, L. & Garnier, H. (eds.). London: Springer Verlag, p. 341-366 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  21. Published

    An event classification approach to the identification of hydrological change.

    Beven, K. J., Romanowicz, R., Young, P., Holman, I., Posthumus, H., Morris, J., Rose, S., O’Connell, P. E. & Ewen, J., 2008, 43rd Defra Flood & Coastal Management Conference 2008, Manchester University..

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  22. Published

    Preferential flows and travel time distributions: defining adequate hypothesis tests for hydrological process models

    Beven, K. J., 15/06/2010, In: Hydrological Processes. 24, 12, p. 1537-1547 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  23. Published

    Deciding on fitness‐for‐purpose ‐ of models and of natural flood management

    Beven, K., Page, T., Hankin, B., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Mindham, D. & Chappell, N., 30/11/2022, In: Hydrological Processes. 36, 11, 40 p., e14752.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Comment on: "Equifinality of formal (DREAM) and informal (GLUE) Bayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?" by Jasper A. Vrugt, Cajo J. F. ter Braak, Hoshin V. Gupta and Bruce A. Robinson

    Beven, K. J., 10/2009, In: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 23, 7, p. 1059-1060 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineLetterpeer-review

  25. Published

    GLUE: twenty years on

    Beven, K. & Binley, A., 29/11/2014, In: Hydrological Processes. 28, 24, p. 5897–5918 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Facets of uncertainty: epistemic uncertainty, non-stationarity, likelihood, hypothesis testing, and communication

    Beven, K. J., 09/2016, In: Hydrological Sciences Journal. 61, 9, p. 1652-1665 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Perceptual perplexity and parameter parsimony

    Beven, K. J. & Chappell, N. A., 31/07/2021, In: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water. 8, 4, e1530.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    On red herrings and real herrings: disinformation and information in hydrological inference

    Beven, K. & Westerberg, I., 15/05/2011, In: Hydrological Processes. 25, 10, p. 1676-1680 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  29. Published

    Towards a coherent philosophy for environmental modelling.

    Beven, K. J., 8/10/2002, In: Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 458, 2026, p. 2465-2484 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    Models as multiple working hypotheses: hydrological simulation of tropical alpine wetlands

    Beven, K. & Buytaert, W., 2011, In: Hydrological Processes. 25, 11, p. 1784-1799 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  31. Published

    Benchmarking Hydrological Models for an Uncertain Future

    Beven, K., 31/05/2023, In: Hydrological Processes. 37, 5, e14882.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    The uncertainty cascade in model fusion

    Beven, K. & Lamb, R., 2017, Integrated environmental modelling to solve real world problems: methods, vision and challenges. Riddick, A. T., Kessler, H. & Giles, J. R. A. (eds.). London: Geological Society of London, p. 255-266 12 p. (Special Publications; vol. 408).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  33. Published

    Communicating uncertainty in flood inundation mapping: a case study

    Beven, K., Lamb, R., Leedal, D. & Hunter, N., 3/07/2015, In: International Journal of River Basin Management. 13, 3, p. 285-295 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    A framework for uncertainty analysis

    Beven, K. J., 2014, Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management. Beven, K. & Hall, J. (eds.). World Scientific

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  35. Published

    On the value of local measurements on prediction of pesticide transport at the field scale

    Beven, K. J., Zhang, D. & Mermoud, A., 02/2006, In: Vadose Zone Journal. 5, 1, p. 222-233 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    I believe in climate change but how precautionary do we need to be in planning for the future?

    Beven, K., 30/04/2011, In: Hydrological Processes. 25, 9, p. 1517-1520 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  37. Published

    Struggling with Epistemic Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling of Natural Hazards

    Beven, K., Younger, P. & Freer, J., 1/01/2014, Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), p. 13-22 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  38. Published

    Distributed Models and Uncertainty in Flood Risk Management

    Beven, K., 2011, Flood risk science and management. Pender, G. & Faulkner, H. (eds.). Chichester: Wiley, p. 291-312 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  39. Published

    Uncertainty and good practice in hydrological prediction

    Beven, K., Leedal, D. & Alcock, R., 2010, In: Vatten. 66, p. 159-163 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    An aggregated mixing zone model of solute transport through porous media

    Beven, K. J. & Young, P. C., 12/1988, In: Journal of Contaminant Hydrology. 3, 2-4, p. 129-143 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: What should constitute good practice?

    Beven, K. J., Aspinall, W. P., Bates, P. D., Borgomeo, E., Goda, K., Hall, J. W., Page, T., Phillips, J. C., Simpson, M., Smith, P. J., Wagener, T. & Watson, M., 24/10/2018, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 10, p. 2769-2783 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    A data-based mechanistic modelling approach to real-time flood forecasting

    Beven, K. J., 2014, Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management. Beven, K. & Hall, J. (eds.). World Scientific

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  43. Published

    Dealing with uncertainty in erosion model predictions

    Beven, K. & Brazier, R. E., 2011, Handbook of erosion modelling. Morgan, R. P. C. & Nearing, M. A. (eds.). Chichester: Wiley, p. 52-79 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  44. Published

    So how much of your error is epistemic? lessons from Japan and Italy

    Beven, K., 30/05/2013, In: Hydrological Processes. 27, 11, p. 1677-1680 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    A history of the concept of time of concentration

    Beven, K. J., 25/05/2020, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 24, 5, p. 2655-2670 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    Comment on: "Pursuing the method of multiple working hypotheses for hydrological modeling" by P. Clark et al.

    Beven, K., Smith, P., Westerberg, I. & Freer, J., 6/11/2012, In: Water Resources Research. 48, 11, 5 p., ARTN W11801.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  47. Published

    Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface

    Beven, K., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. & Hunter, N., 01/2015, In: Science China Earth Sciences. 58, 1, p. 25-35 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    An epistemically uncertain walk through the rather fuzzy subject of observation and model uncertainties1

    Beven, K., 1/01/2021, In: Hydrological Processes. 35, 1, 9 p., e14012.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Chapter 12 Uncertainty and the detection of structural change in models of environmental systems

    Beven, K. J., 12/2002, In: Developments in Environmental Modelling. 22, p. 227-250 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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