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Professor Jonathan Tawn

Distinguished Professor of Statistics

  1. 2021
  2. Forthcoming

    A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 5/02/2021, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory

    Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Paulden, T., Irons, D. & Bennett, G., 1/01/2021, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society. 184, 1, p. 368-395 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  4. 2020
  5. Published

    Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/09/2020, In: Biometrika. 107, 3, p. 513-532 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  6. E-pub ahead of print

    Basin-wide spatial conditional extremes for severe ocean storms

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J., Ross, E. & Jonathan, P., 21/08/2020, In: Extremes.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  8. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J. A., 9/07/2020, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  9. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian spatial clustering of extremal behaviour for hydrological variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J., 9/07/2020, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Modelling the spatial extent and severity of extreme European windstorms

    Sharkey, P., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 1/04/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 2, p. 223-250 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Modelling the clustering of extreme events for short-term risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Eastoe, E. & Lamb, R., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics. 25, 1, p. 32-53 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  12. 2019
  13. Published

    Model-based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A., Lamb, R. & Sherlock, C. G., 1/12/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 8, 20 p., e2575.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    A step towards efficient inference for trends in UK extreme temperatures through distributional linkage between observations and climate model data

    Tawn, J. A., Gabda, D. & Brown, S., 1/09/2019, In: Natural Hazards. 98, 3, p. 1135–1154 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    On spatial conditional extremes for ocean storm severity

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J. A., Jonathan, P. & Ross, E., 1/09/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 6, 18 p., e2562.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Evaluation of extremal properties of GARCH(p,q) processes

    Laurini, F., Fearnhead, P. & Tawn, J. A., 19/08/2019, In: arxiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal article

  17. 2018
  18. Published

    Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications

    Tawn, J. A., Shooter, R., Towe, R. P. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Spatial Statistics. 28, p. 39-58 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Why extreme floods are more common than you might think

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Significance. 15, 6, p. 16-21 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Extreme value modelling of water-related insurance claims

    Rohrbeck, C., Eastoe, E. F., Frigessi, A. & Tawn, J. A., 1/03/2018, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 12, 1, p. 246-282 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  21. 2017
  22. Published

    Spatial joint probability for flood and coastal risk management and strategic assessments: Method report - SC140002/R1

    Lamb, R. & Tawn, J. A., 30/09/2017, R1 ed. Bristol: Environment Agency. 70 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsCommissioned report

  23. Published

    Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea

    Towe, R. P., Eastoe, E. F., Tawn, J. A. & Jonathan, P., 1/09/2017, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 11, 4, p. 2375–2403 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes

    Sharkey, P. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 239-263 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    kth-order Markov extremal models for assessing heatwave risks

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 393-415 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Extreme events of Markov Chains

    Papastathopoulos, I., Strokorb, K., Tawn, J. A. & Butler, A., 03/2017, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 49, 1, p. 134-161 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Properties of extremal dependence models built on bivariate max-linearity

    Kereszturi, M. & Tawn, J., 03/2017, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 155, p. 52-71 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Characterising the changing behaviour of heatwaves with climate change

    Winter, H., Brown, S. & Tawn, J. A., 17/01/2017, In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. 1, 1, 17 p., dzw006.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Modelling across extremal dependence classes

    Wadsworth, J., Tawn, J. A., Davison, A. & Elton, D. M., 01/2017, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 79, 1, p. 149-175 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  30. 2016
  31. Published

    Modelling the effect of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on extreme spatial temperature events over Australia

    Winter, H., Tawn, J. A. & Brown, S., 1/12/2016, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 10, 4, p. 2075-2101 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Development of large scale inland flood scenarios for disaster response planning based on spatial/temporal conditional probability analysis

    Wood, E., Lamb, R., Warren, S., Hunter, N., Tawn, J., Allan, R. & Laeger, S., 20/10/2016, In: E3S Web of Conferences. 7, 6 p., 01003.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Improving statistical models for flood risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Lamb, R., Sherlock, C. & Liu, Y., 20/10/2016, In: E3S Web of Conferences. 7, 12 p., 01011.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Bayesian uncertainty management in temporal dependence of extremes

    Lugrin, T., Davison, A. C. & Tawn, J. A., 09/2016, In: Extremes. 19, 3, p. 491-515 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Conditioned limit laws for inverted max-stable processes

    Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J. A., 09/2016, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 150, p. 214-228 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Assessing extremal dependence of North Sea storm severity

    Kereszturi, M., Tawn, J. A. & Jonathan, P., 15/05/2016, In: Ocean Engineering. 118, p. 242-259 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Modelling heatwaves in central France: a case-study in extremal dependence

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J. A., 04/2016, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 65, 3, p. 345-365 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Modelling record times in sport with extreme value methods

    Adam, M. B. & Tawn, J. A., 01/2016, In: Malaysian Journal of Mathematical Sciences . 10, 1, p. 1-21 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  39. 2015
  40. Published

    Stochastic ordering under conditional modelling of extreme values: drug induced liver injury

    Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J., 02/2015, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 64, 2, p. 299-317 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  41. 2014
  42. Published

    Portfolio risk assessment using multivariate extreme value methods

    Hilal, S., Poon, S-H. & Tawn, J., 12/2014, In: Extremes. 17, 4, p. 531-556 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Dependence properties of multivariate max-stable distributions

    Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J., 09/2014, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 130, p. 134-140 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Self-consistent estimation of conditional multivariate extreme distributions

    Liu, Y. & Tawn, J., 05/2014, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 127, p. 19-35 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    Efficient inference for spatial extreme value processes associated to log-Gaussian random functions

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 03/2014, In: Biometrika. 101, 1, p. 1-15 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    Nonparametric estimation of the spectral measure, and associated dependence measures, for multivariate extreme values using a limiting conditional representation.

    Eastoe, E. F., Heffernan, J. E. & Tawn, J. A., 03/2014, In: Extremes. 17, 1, p. 25-43 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  47. 2013
  48. Published

    A UK best-practice approach for extreme sea level analysis along complex topographic coastlines.

    Batstone, C., Lawless, M., Tawn, J. A., Horsburgh, K., Blackman, D. L., McMillan, A., Worth, D., Laeger, S. & Hunt, T., 1/10/2013, In: Ocean Engineering. 71, p. 28-39 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    The extremal dependence of storm severity, wind speed and surface level pressure in the northern north sea

    Towe, R., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Jonathan, P. & Fournier, N., 4/06/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  50. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/03/2013.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  51. Published

    Determining the best track performances of all time using a conceptual population model for athletics records

    Stephenson, A. & Tawn, J. A., 03/2013, In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. 9, 1, p. 67-76 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    Estimation of the conditional distribution of a vector variable given that one of its components is large: additional constraints for the Heffernan and Tawn model

    Keef, C., Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J. A., 03/2013, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 115, p. 396-404 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  53. Published

    Volatility model selection for extremes of financial time series

    Liu, Y. & Tawn, J. A., 03/2013, In: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 143, 3, p. 520-530 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Published

    Estimating the probability of widespread flood events

    Keef, C., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 02/2013, In: Environmetrics. 24, 1, p. 13-21 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  55. Published

    A generalised student's t-distribution

    Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J. A., 01/2013, In: Statistics and Probability Letters. 83, 1, p. 70-77 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Extended generalised Pareto models for tail estimation

    Papastathopoulos, I. & Tawn, J. A., 01/2013, In: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 143, 1, p. 131-143 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  57. Published

    A new representation for multivariate tail probabilities

    Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 2013, In: Bernoulli. 19, 5B, p. 2689-2714 26 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

  58. 2012
  59. Published

    Modelling drought in Southern Africa with extreme value theory

    Winter, H. & Tawn, J., 18/12/2012.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Poster

  60. Published

    The extremal index for GARCH(1,1) processes

    Laurini, F. & Tawn, J. A., 12/2012, In: Extremes. 15, 4, p. 511-529 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

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