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Bayesian and Computational Statistics

  1. 2022
  2. Published

    SGMCMCJax: a lightweight JAX library for stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms

    Coullon, J. & Nemeth, C., 18/04/2022, In: Journal of Open Source Software. 7, 72, 2 p., 4113.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    Influence of sex, season and environmental air quality on experimental human pneumococcal carriage acquisition: a retrospective cohort analysis

    Cheliotis, K. S., Jewell, C. P., Solórzano, C., Urban, B., Collins, A. M., Mitsi, E., Pojar, S., Nikolaou, E., German, E. L., Reiné, J., Gordon, S. B., Jochems, S. P., Rylance, J. & Ferreira, D. M., 11/04/2022, In: ERJ open research. 8, 2, 10 p., 00586-2021.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    Understanding the effects of weighting on parameter estimation for multilevel models

    Ismail, O. A., 30/03/2022, Lancaster University. 206 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  5. Published

    Efficient computation of the volume of a polytope in high-dimensions using Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes

    Chevallier, A., Cazals, F. & Fearnhead, P., 28/03/2022, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 151, p. 10146-10160 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Enhancing epidemiological surveillance of the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant using spike gene target failure data, England, 15 November to 31 December 2021

    Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Bray, N., O’Connell, A. M., West, D., Groves, N., Gallagher, E., Utsi, L., Jarvis, C. I., Hardstaff, J. L., Byers, C., Metelmann, S., Simons, D., Zaidi, A., Twohig, K. A., Savagar, B., Løchen, A., Wrenn, K., Saavedra-Campos, M. & Abedin, Z. & 5 others, Florence, I., Cleary, P., Elson, R., Vivancos, R. & Lake, I. R., 17/03/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 11, 5 p., 2200143.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in sub-Saharan Africa

    Awokola, B. I., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Okello, G., Stobrink, M., Finney, L. J., Mohammed, N., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. J., 1/03/2022, In: International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease. 26, 3, p. 232-242 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Risk factor targeting for vaccine prioritization during the COVID-19 pandemic

    Chapman, L. A. C., Shukla, P., Rodríguez-Barraquer, I., Shete, P. B., León, T. M., Bibbins-Domingo, K., Rutherford, G. W., Schechter, R. & Lo, N. C., 23/02/2022, In: Scientific Reports. 12, 12 p., 3055.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Augmented pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings for partially observed diffusion processes

    Golightly, A. & Sherlock, C., 15/02/2022, In: Statistics and Computing. 32, 18 p., 21.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. E-pub ahead of print

    Drivers of Resistance in Uganda and Malawi (DRUM): a protocol for the evaluation of One-Health drivers of Extended Spectrum Beta Lactamase (ESBL) resistance in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMICs)

    Cocker, D., Sammarro, M., Chidziwisano, K., Elviss, N., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Musicha, P., Roberts, A. P., Rowlingson, B., Singer, A. C., Byrne, R. L., Edwards, T., Lester, R., Wilson, C., Hollihead, B., Thomson, N., Jewell, C. P. & Morse, T. & 1 others, Feasey, N., 15/02/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Wellcome Open Research. 7, 13 p., 55.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Innovative and Additive Outlier Robust Kalman Filtering with a Robust Particle Filter

    Fisch, A., Eckley, I. & Fearnhead, P., 31/01/2022, In: IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing. 70, p. 47-56 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021

    Chapman, L. A. C., Barnard, R. C., Russell, T. W., Abbott, S., Zandvoort, K. V., Davies, N. G. & Kucharski, A. J., 6/01/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 1, 8 p., 2101038.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    Bayesian Modelling and Inference for Multiple Network Data

    Mantziou, A., 2022, Lancaster University. 253 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  14. 2021
  15. Published

    Direct statistical inference for finite Markov jump processes via the matrix exponential

    Sherlock, C., 31/12/2021, In: Computational Statistics. 36, 4, p. 2863-2887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Trends, relationships and case attribution of antibiotic resistance between children and environmental sources in rural India

    Mitchell, J., Purohit, M., Jewell, C. P., Read, J. M., Marrone, G., Diwan, V. & Stålsby Lundborg, C., 19/11/2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 11 p., 22599.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Frequency of Routine Testing for Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in High-risk Healthcare Environments to Reduce Outbreaks

    Chin, E. T., Huynh, B. Q., Chapman, L. A. C., Murrill, M., Basu, S. & Lo, N. C., 1/11/2021, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 73, 9, p. E3127-E3129 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing

    Howerton, E., Ferrari, M. J., Bjørnstad, O. N., Bogich, T. L., Borchering, R. K., Jewell, C. P., Nichols, J. D., Probert, W. J. M., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., 28/10/2021, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 17, 10, 19 p., e1009518.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Tuberculosis in badgers where the bovine tuberculosis epidemic is expanding in cattle in England

    Swift, B. M. C., Barron, E. S., Christley, R., Corbetta, D., Grau-Roma, L., Jewell, C., O’Cathail, C., Mitchell, A., Phoenix, J., Prosser, A., Rees, C., Sorley, M., Verin, R. & Bennett, M., 25/10/2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 10 p., 20995.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Efficiency of delayed-acceptance random walk Metropolis algorithms

    Sherlock, C., Thiery, A. & Golightly, A., 15/10/2021, In: Annals of Statistics. 49, 5, p. 2972-2990 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Routine asymptomatic testing strategies for airline travel during the COVID-19 pandemic: a simulation study

    Kiang, M. V., Chin, E. T., Huynh, B. Q., Chapman, L. A. C., Rodríguez-Barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Rutherford, G. W., Bibbins-Domingo, K., Havlir, D., Basu, S. & Lo, N. C., 31/07/2021, In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 21, 7, p. 929-938 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV (COVID-19): Early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic size estimates

    Read, J. M., Bridgen, J. R. E., Cummings, D. A. T., Ho, A. & Jewell, C. P., 19/07/2021, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 376, 1829, 9 p., 20200265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Modelling the impact of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine and immunoprophylaxis strategies in New Zealand

    Prasad, N., Read, J. M., Jewell, C., Waite, B., Trenholme, A. A., Huang, Q. S., Grant, C. C., Newbern, E. C. & Hogan, A. B., 13/07/2021, In: Vaccine. 39, 31, p. 4383-4390 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Pan-African evolution of within- And between-country COVID-19 dynamics

    Ssentongo, P., Fronterre, C., Geronimo, A., Greybush, S. J., Mbabazi, P. K., Muvawala, J., Nahalamba, S. B., Omadi, P. O., Opar, B. T., Sinnar, S. A., Wang, Y., Whalen, A. J., Held, L., Jewell, C., Muwanguzi, A. J. B., Greatrex, H., Norton, M. M., Diggle, P. J. & Schiff, S. J., 13/07/2021, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 118, 28, 10 p., e2026664118.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making

    Nichols, J. D., Bogich, T. L., Howerton, E., Bjørnstad, O. N., Borchering, R. K., Ferrari, M., Haran, M., Jewell, C., Pepin, K. M., Probert, W. J. M., Pulliam, J. R. C., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M., Viboud, C. & Shea, K., 17/06/2021, In: Plos Biology. 19, 6, 9 p., e3001307.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    An enhanced care package to improve asthma management in Malawian children: A randomised controlled trial

    Rylance, S., Chinoko, B., Mnesa, B., Jewell, C., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 31/05/2021, In: Thorax. 76, 5, p. 434-440 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Comparison of infection control strategies to reduce COVID-19 outbreaks in homeless shelters in the United States: a simulation study

    Chapman, L. A. C., Kushel, M., Cox, S. N., Scarborough, A., Cawley, C., Nguyen, T. Q., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Greenhouse, B., Imbert, E. & Lo, N. C., 7/05/2021, In: BMC Medicine. 19, 13 p., 116.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic

    Pollington, T. M., Tildesley, M. J., Hollingsworth, T. D. & Chapman, L. A. C., 30/04/2021, In: Spatial Statistics. 42, 15 p., 100438.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo

    Nemeth, C. & Fearnhead, P., 30/03/2021, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1116, 533, p. 433-450 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    Bayesian additive regression trees with model trees

    Batista Do Prado, E., Parnell, A. C. & de Andrade Moral, R., 3/03/2021, In: Statistics and Computing. 31, 3, p. 1-13 13 p., 20.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  31. Published

    Outbreak of severe vomiting in dogs associated with a canine enteric coronavirus, United Kingdom

    Radford, A. D., Singleton, D. A., Jewell, C., Appleton, C., Rowlingson, B., Hale, A. C., Cuartero, C. T., Newton, R., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Greenberg, D., Brant, B., Bentley, E. G., Stewart, J. P., Smith, S., Haldenby, S., Noble, P.-J. & Pinchbeck, G. L., 1/02/2021, In: Emerging Infectious Diseases. 27, 2, p. 517-528 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Examination of risk factors for stroke survival in the presence of missing data and non-proportional hazards

    France, A., 4/01/2021, Lancaster University. 281 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  33. 2020
  34. Published

    Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions: A comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting

    Atkins, B. D., Jewell, C. P., Runge, M. C., Ferrari, M. J., Shea, K., Probert, W. J. M. & Tildesley, M. J., 7/12/2020, In: Journal of Theoretical Biology. 506, 23 p., 110380.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Quasi-stationary Monte Carlo and the ScaLE Algorithm

    Pollock, M., Fearnhead, P., Johansen, A. M. & Roberts, G. O., 1/12/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 82, 5, p. 1167-1221 55 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

    Chapman, L. A. C., Spencer, S. E. F., Pollington, T. M., Jewell, C. P., Mondal, D., Alvar, J., Hollingsworth, T. D., Cameron, M. M., Bern, C. & Medley, G. F., 13/10/2020, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 117, 41, p. 25742-25750 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Measuring air quality for advocacy in Africa (MA3): Feasibility and practicality of longitudinal ambient PM2.5 measurement using low-cost sensors

    Awokola, B. I., Okello, G., Mortimer, K. J., Jewell, C. P., Erhart, A. & Semple, S., 3/10/2020, In: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 17, 19, 17 p., 7243.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Discussion of "Bayesian Regression Tree Models for Causal Inference: Regularization, Confounding, and Heterogeneous Effects"

    Batista Do Prado, E., O'Neill, E., Hernandez, B., Parnell, A. C. & de Andrade Moral, R., 1/09/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 965-1056

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., 08/2020. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paper

  40. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 20/07/2020, Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  41. Published

    A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India

    Nightingale, E. S., Chapman, L. A. C., Srikantiah, S., Subramanian, S., Jambulingam, P., Bracher, J., Cameron, M. M. & Medley, G. F., 9/07/2020, In: PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection

    Lester, R., Maheswaran, H., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. G. & Feasey, N. A., 1/06/2020, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, 29.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]

    Lester, R., Maheswaran, H., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. G. & Feasey, N. A., 1/06/2020, In: Wellcome Open Research. 5, 29

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Motor unit number estimation via sequential Monte Carlo

    Taylor, S., Sherlock, C., Ridall, G. & Fearnhead, P., 1/04/2020, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 144, 16 p., 106845.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    Constrained Dynamic Programming and Supervised Penalty Learning Algorithms for Peak Detection in Genomic Data

    Hocking, T. D., Rigaill, G., Fearnhead, P. & Bourque, G., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Machine Learning Research. 21, p. 1-40 40 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    Air pollution interventions and respiratory health: a systematic review

    Saleh, S., Shepherd, W., Jewell, C., Lam, N. L., Balmes, J., Bates, M. N., Lai, P. S., Ochieng, C. A., Chinouya, M. & Mortimer, K., 1/02/2020, In: The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease . 24, 2, p. 150-164 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Sequential Monte Carlo methods for epidemic data

    Welding, J., 2020, Lancaster University. 262 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  48. 2019
  49. Published

    Lung health and exposure to air pollution in Malawian children (CAPS): a cross-sectional study

    Rylance, S., Nightingale, R., Naunje, A., Mbalume, F., Jewell, C., Balmes, J. R., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 1/11/2019, In: Thorax. 74, 11, p. 1070-1077 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    sgmcmc: An R Package for Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo

    Baker, J., Fearnhead, P., Fox, E. B. & Nemeth, C. J., 31/10/2019, In: Journal of Statistical Software. 91, 3, p. 1-27 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Pruritus, pharmacosurveillance, skin tumours and flea infestations

    Singleton, D. A., McGarry, J., Torres, J. R., Killick, D., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 19/10/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 185, 15, p. 470-475 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    Modelling and mathematical analysis of quantum systems

    Alanazy, A., 9/10/2019, Lancaster University. 104 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  53. Published

    Detecting changes in slope with an L0 penalty

    Fearnhead, P., Maidstone, R. & Letchford, A., 1/06/2019, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 28, 2, p. 265-275 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Respiratory disease, antibiotic prescription and canine infectious respiratory disease complex

    Singleton, D. A., Stavisky, J., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 23/05/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 184, 21, p. 640-645 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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