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Extreme Value Theory

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  1. Published

    Uncertainty quantification in estimation of extreme environments

    Jones, M., Hansen, H. F., Zeeberg, A. R., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 11/2018, In: Coastal Engineering. 141, p. 36-51 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  2. Published

    Uncertainties in return values from extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution

    Jonathan, P., Randell, D., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 15/01/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 220, 17 p., 107725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    Modeling spatial processes with unknown extremal dependence class

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/02/2019, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 114, 525, p. 434-444 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    Advances in Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J., 31/01/2022, In: WIREs Computational Statistics. 14, 1, e1537.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Spatial joint probability for FCRM and national risk assessment multivariate event modeller - user guide: SC140002/R3

    Hunter, N., Lamb, R., Towe, R. P., Warren, S. & Wood, E., 30/04/2018, R3 ed. Bristol: Environment Agency. 81 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

  6. Published

    Statistical Analysis of Recurrent events by Point process

    Hong, G., 2019, Lancaster University. 145 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  7. Published

    Strategies for testing the impact of natural flood risk management measures

    Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P. W., Johnson, D., Chappell, N. A., Page, T. J. C., Craigen, I., Lamb, R. & Beven, K. J., 30/08/2017, Flood Risk Management. Hromadka, T. & Rao, P. (eds.). InTech, p. 1-39 39 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  8. Published

    Estimating the parameters of ocean wave spectra

    Grainger, J., Sykulski, A., Jonathan, P. & Ewans, K., 1/06/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 229, 20 p., 108934.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    A multivariate pseudo-likelihood approach to estimating directional ocean wave models

    Grainger, J. P., Sykulski, A. M., Ewans, K., Hansen, H. F. & Jonathan, P., 8/02/2022, In: arXiv.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  10. Unpublished

    Conditional Extremes with Graphical Models

    Farrell, A., Eastoe, E. & Lee, C., 26/11/2024, (Unpublished) In: arXiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  11. Published

    Extremal dependence of random scale constructions

    Engelke, S., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/12/2019, In: Extremes. 22, 4, p. 623–666 44 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Data-driven decisions for flood risk management

    Edwards, E. R., Mullagh, L., Towe, R. P., Nundloll, V., Dean, C., Dean, G., Simm, W. A., Samreen, F., Bassett, R. & Blair, G. S., 6/09/2017, Data for Policy 2017: Government by Algorithm?. Data for Policy, 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  13. Published

    Reconstructing spatiotemporal dynamics in hydrological state along intermittent rivers

    Eastman, M., Parry, S., Sefton, C., Park, J. & England, J., 14/02/2021, In: Water. 13, 4, 22 p., 493.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    An Interdisciplinary approach to Finding and Using Data for Complex Environmental Modelling Problems: A Soil System Example

    Dean, G., Janes Bassett, V., Towe, R. P., Nundloll, V., Davies, J. & Blair, G. S., 14/09/2017.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  15. Published

    Time-varying extreme value dependence with applications to leading European stock markets

    de Carvalho, M., Castro Camilo, D. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/03/2018, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 12, 1, p. 283-309 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Published

    A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States.

    D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C., Simpson, E. S. & Shooter, R., 20/03/2023, In: Extremes. p. 1 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Extreme value modelling for protecting and maintaining critical infrastructure from natural hazards

    D'Arcy, E., 2024, Lancaster University. 392 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  20. Published

    Melt probabilities and surface temperature trends on the Greenland ice sheet using a Gaussian mixture model

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 4/05/2022, In: The Cryosphere. 16, 5, p. 1597-1607 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    The importance of context in extreme value analysis with application to extreme temperatures in the U.S. and Greenland

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 2/09/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 4, p. 829-843 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme temperature events on the Greenland ice sheet

    Clarkson, D., 30/05/2023, Lancaster University. 157 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  23. Published

    Stochastic smoothing of point processes for wildlife-vehicle collisions on road networks

    Borrajo, M. I., Comas, C., Costafreda-Aumedes, S. & Mateu, J., 30/06/2022, In: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 36, 6, p. 1563-1577 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Models of Everywhere Revisited: A Technological Perspective

    Blair, G., Beven, K., Lamb, R., Bassett, R., Cauwenberghs, K., Hankin, B., Dean, G., Hunter, N., Edwards, L., Nundloll, V., Samreen, F., Simm, W. & Towe, R., 1/12/2019, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 122, 20 p., 104521.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    The Role of Digital Technologies in Responding to the Grand Challenges of the Natural Environment: The Windermere Accord

    Blair, G., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo Garcia, M., Brown, M., Dance, S., Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P. A., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P. & Lamb, R. & 21 others, Laurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Phillipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J. D., Vieno, M., Waller, J. & Watkins, J., 8/01/2021, In: Patterns. 2, 1, 8 p., 100156.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    The uncertainty cascade in model fusion

    Beven, K. & Lamb, R., 2017, Integrated environmental modelling to solve real world problems: methods, vision and challenges. Riddick, A. T., Kessler, H. & Giles, J. R. A. (eds.). London: Geological Society of London, p. 255-266 12 p. (Special Publications; vol. 408).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  27. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge

    Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. & Simpson, E., 09/2018, In: Extremes. 21, 3, p. 431-439 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold

    Barlow, A. M., Mackay, E., Eastoe, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/01/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 267, 14 p., 113265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    The asymptotic variance of the giant component of configuration model random graphs

    Ball, F. & Neal, P. J., 1/04/2017, In: Annals of Applied Probability. 27, 2, p. 1057-1092 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. Published

    Joint modelling of the body and tail of bivariate data

    André, L., Wadsworth, J. & O'Hagan, A., 31/01/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 189, p. 107841 1 p., 107841.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. Published

    Extreme value methods for estimating rare events in Utopia: EVA (2023) Conference Data Challenge: Team Lancopula Utopiversity

    André, L., Campbell, R., Farrell, A., D’Arcy, E., Healy, D., Kakampakou, L., Murphy, C., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Speers, M., 1/03/2025, In: Extremes. 28, 1, p. 23-45 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Modelling and inference for the body and tail regions of multivariate data

    André, L., 2025, Lancaster University. 342 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  35. Published

    Model selection for time series of count data

    Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S., McKinley, T. & Touloupou, P., 06/2018, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 122, p. 33-44 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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