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Extreme Value Theory

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  1. 2021
  2. Published

    Global Changes in 20-Year, 50-Year, and 100-Year River Floods

    Slater, L., Villarini, G., Archfield, S., Faulkner, D., Lamb, R., Khouakhi, A. & Yin, J., 28/03/2021, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 48, 6, 10 p., e2020GL091824.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies

    Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. & Towe, R., 1/03/2021, In: Extremes. 24, p. 129–144 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    Conditional modelling of spatio-temporal extremes for Red Sea surface temperatures

    Simpson, E. & Wadsworth, J., 1/03/2021, In: Spatial Statistics. 41, 17 p., 100482.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    Reconstructing spatiotemporal dynamics in hydrological state along intermittent rivers

    Eastman, M., Parry, S., Sefton, C., Park, J. & England, J., 14/02/2021, In: Water. 13, 4, 22 p., 493.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    A regularized functional regression model enabling transcriptome-wide dosage-dependent association study of cancer drug response

    Koukouli, E., Wang, D., Dondelinger, F. & Park, J., 25/01/2021, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 17, 1, 25 p., e1008066.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    Uncertainties in return values from extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution

    Jonathan, P., Randell, D., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 15/01/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 220, 17 p., 107725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    The Role of Digital Technologies in Responding to the Grand Challenges of the Natural Environment: The Windermere Accord

    Blair, G., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo Garcia, M., Brown, M., Dance, S., Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P. A., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P. & Lamb, R. & 21 others, Laurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Phillipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J. D., Vieno, M., Waller, J. & Watkins, J., 8/01/2021, In: Patterns. 2, 1, 8 p., 100156.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    Ranking, and other properties, of elite swimmers using extreme value theory

    Spearing, J., Tawn, J., Paulden, T., Irons, D. & Bennett, G., 1/01/2021, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Statistics in Society. 184, 1, p. 368-395 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Extremes of Aggregated Random Variables and Spatial Processes

    Richards, J., 2021, Lancaster University. 355 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  11. Published

    Statistical Modelling of Induced Earthquakes

    Varty, Z., 2021, Lancaster University. 275 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  12. 2020
  13. Published

    Improved testing inferences for beta regressions with parametric mean link function

    Rauber, C., Cribari-Neto, F. & Bayer, F. M., 1/12/2020, In: AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis. 104, p. 687–717 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Kumaraswamy regression model with Aranda-Ordaz link function

    Pumi, G., Rauber, C. & Bayer, F. M., 1/12/2020, In: Test. 29, p. 1051–1071 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Rethinking data-driven decision support in flood risk management for a big data age

    Towe, R., Dean, G., Edwards, E., Nundloll, V., Blair, G., Lamb, R., Hankin, B. & Manson, S., 1/12/2020, In: Journal of Flood Risk Management. 13, 4, 19 p., e12652.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    The distribution and direction of extreme geomagnetic fluctuations over 1-60 minute periods

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 20/10/2020, 2020 XXXIIIrd General Assembly and Scientific Symposium of the International Union of Radio Science. IEEE, p. 1-4 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  17. Published

    Temporal, directional, and spatial statistics of extreme dB/dt

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 19/10/2020.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Other › peer-review

  18. Published

    Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/09/2020, In: Biometrika. 107, 3, p. 513-532 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Efficient Bayesian model choice for partially observed processes: with application to an experimental transmission study of an infectious disease

    McKinley, T., Neal, P., Spencer, S., Conlan, A. & Tiley, L., 1/08/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 839-870 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Inference for extreme values under threshold-based stopping rules

    Barlow, A., Sherlock, C. & Tawn, J., 1/08/2020, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 69, 4, p. 765-789 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J. A., 9/07/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA3): Future flood risk: Final Report prepared for the Committee on Climate Change, UK

    Sayers, P., Horritt, M., Carr, S., Kay, A. L., Mauz, J., Lamb, R. & Penning-Rowsell, E., 1/07/2020, London: Committee on Climate Change. 121 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

  23. Published

    Modelling the clustering of extreme events for short-term risk assessment

    Towe, R., Tawn, J., Eastoe, E. & Lamb, R., 31/03/2020, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics. 25, 1, p. 32-53 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    A Global Climatological Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J., Eastoe, E., Gjerloev, J. W. & Thomson, A. W. P., 18/02/2020, In: Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate. 10, p. 5 1 p., 10.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Estimation of functional sparsity in nonparametric varying coefficient models for longitudinal data analysis

    Tu, C. Y., Park, J. & Wang, H., 1/02/2020, In: Statistica Sinica. 29, p. 439-465 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Conditional models for spatial extremes

    Shooter, R., 2020, Lancaster University. 259 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  28. 2019
  29. Published

    Extremal dependence of random scale constructions

    Engelke, S., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/12/2019, In: Extremes. 22, 4, p. 623–666 44 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Model-based inference of conditional extreme value distributions with hydrological applications

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A., Lamb, R. & Sherlock, C. G., 1/12/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 8, 20 p., e2575.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    Models of Everywhere Revisited: A Technological Perspective

    Blair, G., Beven, K., Lamb, R., Bassett, R., Cauwenberghs, K., Hankin, B., Dean, G., Hunter, N., Edwards, L., Nundloll, V., Samreen, F., Simm, W. & Towe, R., 1/12/2019, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 122, 20 p., 104521.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. Published

    Modelling directionality, seasonality, and local time dependences in extreme geomagnetic field fluctuations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 22/11/2019, p. 1. 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Poster

  33. Published

    A probabilistic model of the economic risk to Britain’s railway network from bridge scour during floods

    Lamb, R., Garside, P., Pant, R. & Hall, J., 1/11/2019, In: Risk Analysis. 39, 11, p. 2457-2478 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network

    Suhermi, N., Suhartono, [., Permata, R. P. & Rahayu, S. P., 30/09/2019, Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. Berry, M. W., Yap, B. W., Mohamed, A. & Koppen, M. (eds.). Singapore: Springer, p. 272-286 15 p. (Communications in Computer and Information Science; vol. 1100).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  35. Published

    On spatial conditional extremes for ocean storm severity

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J. A., Jonathan, P. & Ross, E., 1/09/2019, In: Environmetrics. 30, 6, 18 p., e2562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    The basic reproduction number, R_0, in structured populations

    Neal, P. & Theparod, T., 1/09/2019, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 315, 12 p., 108224.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Approximate Bayesian Computation Methods for Epidemic Models

    Neal, P., 19/08/2019, Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis. Held, L. (ed.). CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  38. Published

    A Global Statistical Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N. C., Wild, J. A. & Eastoe, E. F., 1/02/2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts. Munich, Germany: Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), Vol. 21. 1 p. EGU2019-1929. (Geophysical Research Abstracts; vol. 21).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Abstract

  39. Published

    Modeling spatial processes with unknown extremal dependence class

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/02/2019, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 114, 525, p. 434-444 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Geomorphological effectiveness of floods to rework gravel bars: insight from hyperscale topography and hydraulic modelling

    Reid, H. E., Williams, R. D., Brierley, G. J., Coleman, S. E., Lamb, R., Rennie, C. D. & Tancock, M. J., 02/2019, In: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. 44, 2, p. 595-613 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    Peaks over thresholds modelling with multivariate generalized Pareto distributions

    Kiriliouk, A., Rootzén, H., Segers, J. & Wadsworth, J. L., 2/01/2019, In: Technometrics. 61, 1, p. 123-135 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Statistical Analysis of Recurrent events by Point process

    Hong, G., 2019, Lancaster University. 145 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  43. Unpublished

    The Directional Statistics of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Variations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J. & Eastoe, E., 2019, (Unpublished). 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Abstract

  44. 2018
  45. Published

    Modelling spatial extreme events with environmental applications

    Tawn, J. A., Shooter, R., Towe, R. P. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Spatial Statistics. 28, p. 39-58 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Published

    Why extreme floods are more common than you might think

    Towe, R. P., Tawn, J. A. & Lamb, R., 12/2018, In: Significance. 15, 6, p. 16-21 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    Flood event attribution and damage estimation using national-scale grid-based modelling: Winter 2013/2014 in Great Britain

    Kay, A. L., Booth, N., Lamb, R., Raven, E., Schaller, N. & Sparrow, S., 30/11/2018, In: International Journal of Climatology. 38, 14, p. 5205-5219 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. Published

    Dynamic stochastic block models: Parameter estimation and detection of changes in community structure

    Ludkin, M., Neal, P. J. & Eckley, I. A., 11/2018, In: Statistics and Computing. 28, 6, p. 1201-1213 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  49. Published

    Uncertainty quantification in estimation of extreme environments

    Jones, M., Hansen, H. F., Zeeberg, A. R., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 11/2018, In: Coastal Engineering. 141, p. 36-51 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Bayesian spatial monotonic multiple regression

    Rohrbeck, C., Costain, D. A. & Frigessi, A., 1/09/2018, In: Biometrika. 105, 3, p. 691-707 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge

    Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. & Simpson, E., 09/2018, In: Extremes. 21, 3, p. 431-439 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    High-order Tensor Regularization with Application to Attribute Ranking

    Kim, K. I., Park, J. & Tompkin, J., 18/06/2018, 2018 IEEE/CVF Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition. IEEE, p. 4349-4357 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  53. Published

    Model selection for time series of count data

    Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S., McKinley, T. & Touloupou, P., 06/2018, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 122, p. 33-44 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions: Parametrizations, representations, and properties

    Rootzen, H., Segers, J. & Wadsworth, J. L., 05/2018, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 165, p. 117-131 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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