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Professor Robert Fildes

Professor Emeritus

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  1. 2024
  2. Forthcoming

    Forecasting: Bibliography

    Fildes, R. & Allen, P. G., 2/02/2024, (Accepted/In press) Oxford Bibliographies in Management . Oxford University Press (OUP), (OUP Biblioraphies).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Entry for encyclopedia/dictionary

  3. 2023
  4. Published

    What Do We Learn from Forecasting Software Surveys

    Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Fildes, R., 1/10/2023, Foresight Magazine, 71, Q4.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Article

  5. Published

    Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

    Sroginis, A., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 16/06/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 307, 3, p. 1177-1191 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. 2022
  7. Published

    Forecasting Seasonal Sales with Many Drivers: Shrinkage or Dimensionality Reduction?

    Ramos, P., Oliveira, J. M., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 26/12/2022, In: Applied System Innovation. 6, 1, 3.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Retail forecasting: Research and practice

    Fildes, R., Ma, S. & Kolassa, S., 1/12/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1283-1318 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    Post-script - Retail forecasting: Research and Practice

    Fildes, R., Kolassa, S. & Ma, S., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1319-1324 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Predictive competitive intelligence with pre‐release online search traffic

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 10, p. 3823-3839 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    The performance of the global bottom-up approach in the M5 accuracy competition: a robustness check

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1492-1499 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    The practicality of Malaysia dengue outbreak forecasting model as an early warning system

    Ismail, S., Fildes, R., Ahmad, R., Wan Mohamad Ali, W. N. & Omar, T., 30/09/2022, In: Infectious Disease Modelling. 7, 3, p. 510-525 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    Forecasting with Judgment

    Goodwin, P. & Fildes, R., 8/07/2022, The Palgrave Handbook of Operations Research. Sahli, S. & Boylan, J. (eds.). Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, p. 541-572 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  14. Published

    A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting

    Eğrioğlu, E. & Fildes, R., 30/04/2022, In: Computational Economics. 59, 4, p. 1355-1383 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    Scenarios, strategic conversations, and forecasting: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

    Fildes, R., 31/03/2022, In: Futures and Foresight Science. 4, 1, e112.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  16. 2021
  17. Published

    Statistical algorithms, judgment and forecasting software systems

    Fildes, R., 7/05/2021, Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning . Gilliland, M., Tashman, L. & Sglavo, U. (eds.). Wiley, p. 361-364 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  18. Published

    Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: a case study in a supply-chain company

    Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 1/04/2021, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 37, 2, p. 1031-1046 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Retail sales forecasting with meta-learning

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 111-128 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. 2020
  21. Published

    Survey: What’s new in forecasting software?

    Fildes, R., Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Yusupova, A., 4/08/2020, In: Operations Research Management Science Today. 47, 4

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  22. Published

    Forecasting third-party mobile payments with implications for customer flow prediction

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/07/2020, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 3, p. 739-760 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Stability and innovation in the use of forecasting systems: a case study in a supply-chain company

    Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 7/02/2020, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, (Working Paper; vol. 2020, no. 1).

    Research output: Working paper

  24. Published

    Learning from forecasting competitions

    Fildes, R., 1/01/2020, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 1, p. 186-188 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Comment/debate › peer-review

  25. 2019
  26. Published

    Forecasting retailer product sales in the presence of structural change

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 1/12/2019, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 279, 2, p. 459-470 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Unpublished

    Estimating the market potential with pre-release buzz

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 3/02/2019, (Unpublished) Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-39, 39 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  28. Published

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 01/2019, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 197-212 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Perspectives on supply chain forecasting: Special Section: Supply Chain Forecasting

    Boone, T., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R., Ganeshan, R. & Sanders, N., 01/2019, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 121-127 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Editorial › peer-review

  30. Published

    Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

    Fildes, R. A., Goodwin, P. & Onkal, D., 01/2019, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 144-156 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. 2018
  32. Published

    Retail forecasting: research and practice

    Fildes, R. A., Ma, S. & Kolassa, S., 10/2018, Lancaster.

    Research output: Working paper

  33. Published

    Short term electricity demand forecasting using partially linear additive quantile regression with an application to the unit commitment problem

    Lebotsa, M. E., Sigauke, C., Bere, A., Fildes, R. & Boylan, J. E., 15/07/2018, In: Applied Energy. 222, p. 104-118 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Software Survey: Forecasting 2018

    Fildes, R. A., Schaer, O. & Svetunkov, I., 06/2018, In: ORMS-Today. 45, 3

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  35. Unpublished

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 26/02/2018, (Unpublished) Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-41, 41 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  36. 2017
  37. Published

    A retail store SKU promotions optimization model for category multi-period profit maximization

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 16/07/2017, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 260, 2, p. 680-692 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Principles of Business Forecasting

    Ord, K., Fildes, R. A. & Kourentzes, N., 1/07/2017, 2nd ed. New York: Wessex Press Publishing Co.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  39. Published

    Research into forecasting practice

    Fildes, R. A., 1/01/2017, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 44 Winter, p. 39-46 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Using a rolling training approach to improve judgmental extrapolations elicited from forecasters with technical knowledge

    Petropoulos, F., Goodwin, P. & Fildes, R., 01/2017, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 1, p. 314-324 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. 2016
  42. Published

    Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion events

    Fildes, R. A., Goodwin, P. & Onkal, D., 10/2016, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University.

    Research output: Working paper

  43. Published

    Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour?

    Petropoulos, F., Fildes, R. A. & Goodwin, P., 16/03/2016, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 3, p. 842-852 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Demand forecasting with high dimensional data: the case of SKU retail sales forecasting with intra- and inter-category promotional information

    Ma, S., Fildes, R. A. & Huang, T., 16/02/2016, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 249, 1, p. 245-257 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. 2015
  46. Published

    Reassessing the scope of OR practice: The Influences of Problem Structuring Methods and the Analytics Movement

    Ranyard, J. C., Fildes, R. A. & Hu, T.-I., 16/08/2015, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 245, 1, p. 1-13 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  47. Published

    Is there a golden rule?

    Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 08/2015, In: Journal of Business Research. 68, 8, p. 1742-1745 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. Published

    Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series

    Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 08/2015, In: Journal of Business Research. 68, 5, p. 1692-1701 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  49. Published

    Information use in supply chain forecasting

    Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. & Onkal, D., 05/2015, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 35 p. (Lancaster University Department of Management Science Working Paper Series; vol. 2015, no. 2).

    Research output: Working paper

  50. Published

    Forecasters and rationality: a comment on Fritsche et al., Forecasting the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso: Asymmetric loss, forecast rationality and forecaster herding.

    Fildes, R., 01/2015, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 140-143 4 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    How to Improve Forecast Quality: A New Survey

    Fildes, R. A. & Petropoulos, F., 2015, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 36, p. 5-12 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  52. 2014
  53. Published

    The value of competitive information in forecasting FMCG retail product sales and the variable selection problem

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 1/09/2014, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 237, 2, p. 738-748 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Reassessing the scope of OR practice: the influences of problem structuring methods and the analytics movement

    Ranyard, J., Fildes, R. & Hu, J., 1/08/2014, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-40, 40 p. (Working Paper).

    Research output: Working paper

  55. Published

    Demand forecasting with high dimensional data: the case of SKU retail sales forecasting with intra- and inter-category promotional information

    Ma, S., Fildes, R. & Huang, T., 2014, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 34 p. (Department of Management Science Working Papers; vol. 2014, no. 9).

    Research output: Working paper

  56. Published

    On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

    Trapero, J. R., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 2014, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 66, p. 299-307 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  57. 2013
  58. Published

    Measuring forecasting accuracy: the case of judgmental adjustments to SKU-level demand forecasts

    Davydenko, A. & Fildes, R., 07/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 3, p. 510-522 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  59. Published

    An evaluation of simple forecasting model selection rules

    Fildes, R. & Petropoulos, F., 04/2013, Lancaster: The Department of Management Science, p. 1-32, 32 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  60. Published

    Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

    Trapero Arenas, J., Pedregal, D. J., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 04/2013, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 29, 2, p. 234-243 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  61. Published

    The value of competitive information in forecasting FMCG retail product sales and the variable selection problem: Working paper 2013:1

    Huang, T., Fildes, R. & Soopramanien, D., 03/2013, Lancaster, UK: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, 32 p. (Department of Management Science, Lancaster University).

    Research output: Working paper

  62. Published

    Principles of Business Forecasting

    Ord, J. K. & Fildes, R., 2013, Mason, Ohio: South-Western Cengage Learning. 528 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

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