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  1. Published

    Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages

    Svetunkov, I. & Petropoulos, F., 2018, In: International Journal of Production Research. 56, 18, p. 6034-6047 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  2. Published

    Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 01/2018, Lancaster: Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-20, 20 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  3. Published

    State-space ARIMA for supply-chain forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2020, In: International Journal of Production Research. 58, 3, p. 818-827 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. E-pub ahead of print

    Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Killick, R., 24/06/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Computational Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. Published

    A New Taxonomy for Vector Exponential Smoothing and Its Application to Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Chen, H. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 304, 3, p. 964-980 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Ord, J. K., 31/12/2022, In: Naval Research Logistics. 69, 8, p. 1108-1123 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    iETS: State space model for intermittent demand forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 30/11/2023, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 265, 109013.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Forecasting and Analytics with the Augmented Dynamic Adaptive Model (ADAM)

    Svetunkov, I., 17/11/2023, Chapman and Hall. 490 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Monograph

  9. Published

    Cross-Learning with Short Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Boylan, J. E. & Chen, H., 1/08/2023, In: Foresight Magazine. 70, Q3

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  10. Published

    Staying Positive: Challenges and Solutions in Using Pure Multiplicative ETS Models

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2024, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 35, 3, p. 403-425 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Nonparametric time series summary statistics for high-frequency actigraphy data from individuals with advanced dementia

    Suibkitwanchai, K., Sykulski, A. M., Algorta, G. P., Waller, D. & Walshe, C., 25/09/2020, In: PLoS ONE. 15, 9, e0239368.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    On the interaction between forecasting and stock control: the case of non-stationary demand

    Strijbosch, L. W. G., Syntetos, A. A., Boylan, J. & Janssen, E., 1/09/2011, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 133, 1, p. 470-480 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    The state of macroeconomic forecasting

    Stekler, H. & Fildes, R. A., 1999, Lancaster University: The Department of Economics, (Economics Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  14. Published

    The impact of forecasting on the bullwhip effect

    Stamatopoulos, I., Teunter, R. H. & Fildes, R. A., 2006, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  15. Published

    Evolutionary neural classification for the evaluation of retail stores and decision support

    Stahlbock, R. & Crone, S., 2005, Proceedings of the IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN'05, (Montreal, Canada) - 2005 IEEE: New York, Vol. 3, pp.1499-1504. N/A: unknown, p. 1499-1504 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  16. Published

    Evolutionary neural classification approaches for strategic and operational decision support in retail store planning

    Stahlbock, R., Lessmann, S. & Crone, S., 2005, Proceedings of the 2005 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, ICAI 2005, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. Athens: CSREA Press, Vol. 1. p. 60-66 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  17. Published

    Data mining and information systems - Quo Vadis?

    Stahlbock, R., Lessmann, S. & Crone, S., 2009, In: Annals of Information Systems. 8, XIII, p. 1-18 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Proceedings of the 2010 International Conference on Data Mining

    Stahlbock, R. (Editor), Crone, S. (Editor), Abou-Nasr, M. (Editor), Arabnia, H. R. (Editor), Kourentzes, N. (Editor), Lenca, P. (Editor), Lippe, W.-M. (Editor) & Weiss, G. M. (Editor), 2010, CSREA Press.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Proceedings

  19. Published

    Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

    Sroginis, A., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 16/06/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 307, 3, p. 1177-1191 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Improving the performance of popular supply chain forecasting techniques

    Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Babai, M., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2011, In: Supply Chain Forum: An International Journal. 12, 4, p. 16-25 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    A systemic view of the ADIDA framework

    Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 2014, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 25, 2, p. 125-137 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Amplifying the learning effect via a forecasting and foresight support system

    Spithourakis, G., Petropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K. & Assimakopoulos, V., 01/2015, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 31, 1, p. 20-32 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Cross-temporal aggregation: Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption

    Spiliotis, E., Petropoulos, F., Kourentzes, N. & Assimakopoulos, V., 1/03/2020, In: Applied Energy. 261, 12 p., 114339.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Internet Usage and Online Shopping Experience as Predictors of Consumers’per Preferences to Shop Online Across Product Categories

    Soopramanien, D. G. R., Robertson, A. & Fildes, R. A., 2003, Lancaster University: The Department of Management Science, (Management Science Working Paper Series).

    Research output: Working paper

  25. Published

    Consumer decision making, e-commerce and perceived risks

    Soopramanien, D. G. R., Fildes, R. A. & Robertson, A., 2007, In: Applied Economics. 39, p. 2159-2166 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Characterizing the frequency of orders received by a stockist

    Shale, E. A., Boylan, J. E. & Johnston, F. R., 2008, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 19, 2, p. 137-143 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Forecasting for intermittent demand: the estimation of an unbiased average

    Shale, E. A., Boylan, J. & Johnston, F. R., 1/05/2006, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 57, 5, p. 588-592 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices

    Shackleton, M. B., Taylor, S. J. & Yu, P., 11/2010, In: Journal of Banking and Finance. 34, 11, p. 2678-2693 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Empirical pricing kernels obtained from the UK index options market

    Shackleton, M., Liu, H., Taylor, S. & Xu, G., 2009, Applied Economics Letters, 16, 10, p. 989-993 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Letter

  30. Published

    Making smart recommendations for perishable and stockout products

    Seymen, S., Sachs, A.-L. & Malthouse, E. C., 18/09/2022. 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  31. Published

    Spillover effects of investment in big data analytics in B2B relationships: What is the role of human capital?

    Sena, V. & Ozdemir, S., 1/04/2020, In: Industrial Marketing Management. 86, p. 77-89 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. Published

    Forewarned: A Sceptic’s Guide to Prediction

    Schaer, O. & Spavound, S., 2018, In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 48, p. 17-18 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Book/Film/Article review

  33. Unpublished

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 26/02/2018, (Unpublished) Lancaster: Lancaster University Management School, p. 1-41, 41 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  34. Published

    Demand forecasting with user-generated online information

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 01/2019, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 35, 1, p. 197-212 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Unpublished

    Estimating the market potential with pre-release buzz

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R. A., 3/02/2019, (Unpublished) Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, p. 1-39, 39 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  36. Unpublished

    Business forecasting with online buzz

    Schaer, O., 11/10/2019, (Unpublished) Lancaster University. 138 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  37. Published

    Predictive competitive intelligence with pre‐release online search traffic

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 10, p. 3823-3839 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    What Do We Learn from Forecasting Software Surveys

    Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Fildes, R., 1/10/2023, Foresight Magazine, 71, Q4.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Article

  39. Published

    Electrical Waste - challenges and opportunities: An Independent study on Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) flows in the UK

    Sayers, M., Silva, C., Schaer, O., Stowell, A., Yumashev, D., Downes, S., Grantham, L., Laundon, C. & McCoach, H., 16/07/2020

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Commissioned report

  40. Published

    Modelling and managing Supply Chain forecast uncertainty in the presence of the Bullwhip Effect

    Saoud, P., 2020, Lancaster University. 152 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  41. Published

    Approximations for the Lead Time Variance: a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation

    Saoud, P., Kourentzes, N. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2022, In: Omega. 110, 12 p., 102614.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Temporal big data for tire industry tactical sales forecasting

    Sagaert, Y. R., Aghezzaf, E.-H., Kourentzes, N. & Desmet, B., 2018, In: Interfaces. 48, 2, p. 121-129 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Tactical sales forecasting using a very large set of macroeconomic indicators

    Sagaert, Y. R., Aghezzaf, E.-H., Kourentzes, N. & Desmet, B., 16/01/2018, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 264, 2, p. 558-569 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions, Michael Gilland, Len Tashman, Udo Sglavo (Eds.). John Wiley & Sons (2016), ISBN: 978-1-119-22456-3

    Sagaert, Y. R. & Schaer, O., 10/2017, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 33, 4, p. 1144-1145 2 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Book/Film/Article review › peer-review

  45. Published

    Incorporating macroeconomic leading indicators in tactical capacity planning

    Sagaert, Y. R., Kourentzes, N., De Vuyst, S., Aghezzaf, E.-H. & Desmet, B., 1/03/2019, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 209, p. 12-19 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Published

    Examining the relationship between default risk and efficiency in Islamic and conventional banks

    Saeed, M. & Izzeldin, M., 12/2016, In: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 132, Supplement, p. 127-154 28 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    Empirical newsvendor biases: Are target service levels achieved effectively and efficiently?

    Sachs, A.-L., Becker-Peth, M., Minner, S. & Thonemann, U. W., 30/04/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 4, p. 1839-1855 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. Published

    The impact of temporal aggregation on supply chains with ARMA(1,1) demand processes

    Rostami-Tabar, B., Babai, M. Z., Ali, M. & Boylan, J. E., 16/03/2019, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 273, 3, p. 920-932 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  49. E-pub ahead of print

    Probabilistic forecasting of hourly emergency department arrivals

    Rostami-Tabar, B., Browell, J. & Svetunkov, I., 1/05/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Health Systems. 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Preparation for crisis management: a proposed model and empirical evidence

    Rose, M. B., Fildes, R. A. & Elsubbaugh, S., 2004, In: Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management. 12, 3, p. 112-127 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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