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  1. Published

    A Bayesian spatio-temporal model for precipitation extremes - STOR team contribution to the EVA2017 challenge

    Barlow, A., Rohrbeck, C., Sharkey, P., Shooter, R. & Simpson, E., 09/2018, In: Extremes. 21, 3, p. 431-439 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  2. Published

    A geometric investigation into the tail dependence of vine copulas

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/07/2021, In: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 184, 21 p., 104736.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    A Global Climatological Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N., Wild, J., Eastoe, E., Gjerloev, J. W. & Thomson, A. W. P., 18/02/2020, In: Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate. 10, 19 p., 5.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    A Global Statistical Model of Extreme Geomagnetic Field Fluctuations

    Rogers, N. C., Wild, J. A. & Eastoe, E. F., 1/02/2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts. Munich, Germany: Copernicus GmbH (Copernicus Publications) on behalf of the European Geosciences Union (EGU), Vol. 21. 1 p. EGU2019-1929. (Geophysical Research Abstracts; vol. 21).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Abstract

  5. Published

    A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States.

    D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C., Simpson, E. S. & Shooter, R., 20/03/2023, In: Extremes. p. 1 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    A modelling framework for evaluation of the hydrological impacts of nature-based approaches to flood risk management, with application to in-channel interventions across a 29-km2 scale catchment in the United Kingdom

    Metcalfe, P., Beven, K., Hankin, B. & Lamb, R., 30/04/2017, In: Hydrological Processes. 31, 9, p. 1734-1748 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    A multivariate pseudo-likelihood approach to estimating directional ocean wave models

    Grainger, J. P., Sykulski, A. M., Ewans, K., Hansen, H. F. & Jonathan, P., 8/02/2022, In: arXiv.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  8. Published

    A new method, with application, for analysis of the impacts on flood risk of widely distributed enhanced hillslope storage

    Metcalfe, P., Beven, K., Hankin, B. & Lamb, R., 27/04/2018, In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 4, p. 2589-2605 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Published

    A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold

    Barlow, A. M., Mackay, E., Eastoe, E. & Jonathan, P., 1/01/2023, In: Ocean Engineering. 267, 14 p., 113265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    A Poisson process reparameterisation for Bayesian inference for extremes

    Sharkey, P. & Tawn, J. A., 06/2017, In: Extremes. 20, 2, p. 239-263 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Published

    A probabilistic model of the economic risk to Britain’s railway network from bridge scour during floods

    Lamb, R., Garside, P., Pant, R. & Hall, J., 1/11/2019, In: Risk Analysis. 39, 11, p. 2457-2478 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    A regularized functional regression model enabling transcriptome-wide dosage-dependent association study of cancer drug response

    Koukouli, E., Wang, D., Dondelinger, F. & Park, J., 25/01/2021, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 17, 1, 25 p., e1008066.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    A spatio-temporal model for Red Sea surface temperature anomalies

    Rohrbeck, C., Simpson, E. & Towe, R., 1/03/2021, In: Extremes. 24, p. 129–144 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Approximate Bayesian Computation

    Kypraios, T., Neal, P. J. & Prangle, D., 05/2017, In: Mathematical Biosciences. 287, p. 42-53 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    A Ubiquitous Framework for Statistical Ranking Systems

    Spearing, H., 2023, Lancaster University. 278 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  16. Published

    Accounting for Climate Change in Extreme Sea Level Estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J. & Sifnioti, D., 21/09/2022, In: Water.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Advances in Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes

    Huser, R. & Wadsworth, J., 31/01/2022, In: WIREs Computational Statistics. 14, 1, e1537.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    An Interdisciplinary approach to Finding and Using Data for Complex Environmental Modelling Problems: A Soil System Example

    Dean, G., Janes Bassett, V., Towe, R. P., Nundloll, V., Davies, J. & Blair, G. S., 14/09/2017.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  20. Published

    Approximate Bayesian Computation Methods for Epidemic Models

    Neal, P., 19/08/2019, Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis. Held, L. (ed.). CRC PRESS-TAYLOR & FRANCIS GROUP

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter (peer-reviewed) › peer-review

  21. Published

    Basin-wide spatial conditional extremes for severe ocean storms

    Shooter, R., Tawn, J., Ross, E. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2021, In: Extremes. 24, 2, p. 241-265 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. E-pub ahead of print

    Bayesian Spatial Clustering of Extremal Behavior for Hydrological Variables

    Rohrbeck, C. & Tawn, J. A., 9/07/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Bayesian spatial monotonic multiple regression

    Rohrbeck, C., Costain, D. A. & Frigessi, A., 1/09/2018, In: Biometrika. 105, 3, p. 691-707 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Characterising the changing behaviour of heatwaves with climate change

    Winter, H., Brown, S. & Tawn, J. A., 17/01/2017, In: Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System. 1, 1, 17 p., dzw006.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Climatological Statistics of Extreme Geomagnetic Fluctuations with Periods from 1 s to 60 min

    Rogers, N., Wild, J., Eastoe, E. & Huebert, J., 30/11/2021, In: Space Weather. 19, 11, e2021SW002824.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Clustering multivariate functional data with phase variation

    Park, J. & Ahn, J., 03/2017, In: Biometrics. 73, 1, p. 324-333 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Collapsing of non-centered parameterised MCMC algorithms with applications to epidemic models

    Neal, P. J. & Xiang, F., 03/2017, In: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. 44, 1, p. 81-96 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Conditional modelling of spatio-temporal extremes for Red Sea surface temperatures

    Simpson, E. & Wadsworth, J., 1/03/2021, In: Spatial Statistics. 41, 17 p., 100482.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Conditional models for spatial extremes

    Shooter, R., 2020, Lancaster University. 259 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  30. Forthcoming

    covXtreme: MATLAB software for non-stationary penalised piecewise constant marginal and conditional extreme value models

    Towe, R., Ross, E., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 06/2024, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 177, 106035.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  31. Published

    Data-driven decisions for flood risk management

    Edwards, E. R., Mullagh, L., Towe, R. P., Nundloll, V., Dean, C., Dean, G., Simm, W. A., Samreen, F., Bassett, R. & Blair, G. S., 6/09/2017, Data for Policy 2017: Government by Algorithm?. Data for Policy, 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  32. Published

    Determining the dependence structure of multivariate extremes

    Simpson, E., Wadsworth, J. & Tawn, J., 1/09/2020, In: Biometrika. 107, 3, p. 513-532 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. Published

    Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community?

    Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. & Wagener, T., 30/01/2020, In: Hydrological Processes. 34, 3, p. 868-873 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Dynamic stochastic block models: Parameter estimation and detection of changes in community structure

    Ludkin, M., Neal, P. J. & Eckley, I. A., 11/2018, In: Statistics and Computing. 28, 6, p. 1201-1213 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Efficient Bayesian model choice for partially observed processes: with application to an experimental transmission study of an infectious disease

    McKinley, T., Neal, P., Spencer, S., Conlan, A. & Tiley, L., 1/08/2020, In: Bayesian Analysis. 15, 3, p. 839-870 32 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Efficient model comparison techniques for models requiring large scale data augmentation

    Touloupou, P., Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S. & McKinley, T., 03/2018, In: Bayesian Analysis. 13, 2, p. 437-459 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Estimating surge in extreme North Sea storms

    Ross, E., Sam, S., Randell, D., Feld, G. & Jonathan, P., 15/04/2018, In: Ocean Engineering. 154, p. 430-444 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Estimating the parameters of ocean wave spectra

    Grainger, J., Sykulski, A., Jonathan, P. & Ewans, K., 1/06/2021, In: Ocean Engineering. 229, 20 p., 108934.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  39. Published

    Estimation of functional sparsity in nonparametric varying coefficient models for longitudinal data analysis

    Tu, C. Y., Park, J. & Wang, H., 1/02/2020, In: Statistica Sinica. 29, p. 439-465 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    Extremal dependence of random scale constructions

    Engelke, S., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J. L., 1/12/2019, In: Extremes. 22, 4, p. 623–666 44 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Extreme events of Markov Chains

    Papastathopoulos, I., Strokorb, K., Tawn, J. A. & Butler, A., 03/2017, In: Advances in Applied Probability. 49, 1, p. 134-161 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Extreme temperature events on Greenland in observations and the MAR regional climate model

    Leeson, A. A., Eastoe, E. F. & Fettweis, X., 26/03/2018, In: Cryosphere. 12

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Extreme value modelling of water-related insurance claims

    Rohrbeck, C., Eastoe, E. F., Frigessi, A. & Tawn, J. A., 1/03/2018, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 12, 1, p. 246-282 37 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. Published

    Extremes of Aggregated Random Variables and Spatial Processes

    Richards, J., 2021, Lancaster University. 355 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  46. Published

    Flood event attribution and damage estimation using national-scale grid-based modelling: Winter 2013/2014 in Great Britain

    Kay, A. L., Booth, N., Lamb, R., Raven, E., Schaller, N. & Sparrow, S., 30/11/2018, In: International Journal of Climatology. 38, 14, p. 5205-5219 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    Forecasting the Search Trend of Muslim Clothing in Indonesia on Google Trends Data Using ARIMAX and Neural Network

    Suhermi, N., Suhartono, U., Permata, R. P. & Rahayu, S. P., 30/09/2019, Soft Computing in Data Science: 5th International Conference, SCDS 2019, Iizuka, Japan, August 28–29, 2019, Proceedings. Berry, M. W., Yap, B. W., Mohamed, A. & Koppen, M. (eds.). Singapore: Springer, p. 272-286 15 p. (Communications in Computer and Information Science; vol. 1100).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  48. Published

    Geomorphological effectiveness of floods to rework gravel bars: insight from hyperscale topography and hydraulic modelling

    Reid, H. E., Williams, R. D., Brierley, G. J., Coleman, S. E., Lamb, R., Rennie, C. D. & Tancock, M. J., 02/2019, In: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. 44, 2, p. 595-613 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  49. Published

    Global Changes in 20-Year, 50-Year, and 100-Year River Floods

    Slater, L., Villarini, G., Archfield, S., Faulkner, D., Lamb, R., Khouakhi, A. & Yin, J., 28/03/2021, In: Geophysical Research Letters. 48, 6, 10 p., e2020GL091824.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Hierarchical Transformed Scale Mixtures for Flexible Modeling of Spatial Extremes on Datasets with Many Locations

    Zhang, L., Shaby, B. & Wadsworth, J., 3/07/2022, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 117, 539, p. 1357-1369 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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