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Bayesian and Computational Statistics

  1. Published

    Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks

    Probert, W., Jewell, C. P., Werkman, M., Fonnesbeck, C., Goto, Y., Runge, M., Sekiguchi, S., Shea, K., Keeling, M. J., Ferrari, M. & Tildesley, M., 24/07/2018, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 14, 7, 18 p., e1006202.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  2. Published

    Outbreak of severe vomiting in dogs associated with a canine enteric coronavirus, United Kingdom

    Radford, A. D., Singleton, D. A., Jewell, C., Appleton, C., Rowlingson, B., Hale, A. C., Cuartero, C. T., Newton, R., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Greenberg, D., Brant, B., Bentley, E. G., Stewart, J. P., Smith, S., Haldenby, S., Noble, P.-J. & Pinchbeck, G. L., 1/02/2021, In: Emerging Infectious Diseases. 27, 2, p. 517-528 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV (COVID-19): Early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic size estimates

    Read, J. M., Bridgen, J. R. E., Cummings, D. A. T., Ho, A. & Jewell, C. P., 19/07/2021, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 376, 1829, 9 p., 20200265.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    Modelling the age-prevalence relationship in schistosomiasis: A secondary data analysis of school-aged-children in Mangochi District, Lake Malawi.

    Reed, A., O'Ferrall, A., Kayuni, S., Baxter, H., Stanton, M., Stothard, J. R. & Jewell, C., 31/08/2023, In: Parasite epidemiology and control. 22, e00303.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand: The role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control

    Retkute, R., Jewell, C. P., Van Boeckel, T. P., Zhang, G., Xiao, X., Thanapongtharm, W., Keeling, M., Gilbert, M. & Tildesley, M. J., 1/11/2018, In: Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 159, p. 171-181 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Investigating brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) home-range size determinants in a New Zealand native forest.

    Richardson, K., Rouco, C., Jewell, C. P., French, N., Buddle, B. & Tompkins, D. M., 26/06/2017, In: Wildlife Research. 44, 4, p. 316-323 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Inference on extended-spectrum beta-lactamase Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae data through SMC2

    Rimella, L., Alderton, S., Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Feasey, N., Fearnhead, P. & Jewell, C., 30/11/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 5, p. 1435–1451

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Bayesian spatial monotonic multiple regression

    Rohrbeck, C., Costain, D. A. & Frigessi, A., 1/09/2018, In: Biometrika. 105, 3, p. 691-707 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) social interactions and their implications for bovine tuberculosis epidemiology

    Rouco, C., Jewell, C., Richardson, K. S., French, N. P., Buddle, B. M. & Tompkins, D. M., 2018, In: Behaviour. 155, 7-9, p. 621-637 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. Published

    Lung health and exposure to air pollution in Malawian children (CAPS): a cross-sectional study

    Rylance, S., Nightingale, R., Naunje, A., Mbalume, F., Jewell, C., Balmes, J. R., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 1/11/2019, In: Thorax. 74, 11, p. 1070-1077 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    An enhanced care package to improve asthma management in Malawian children: A randomised controlled trial

    Rylance, S., Chinoko, B., Mnesa, B., Jewell, C., Grigg, J. & Mortimer, K., 31/05/2021, In: Thorax. 76, 5, p. 434-440 7 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Air pollution interventions and respiratory health: a systematic review

    Saleh, S., Shepherd, W., Jewell, C., Lam, N. L., Balmes, J., Bates, M. N., Lai, P. S., Ochieng, C. A., Chinouya, M. & Mortimer, K., 1/02/2020, In: The International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease . 24, 2, p. 150-164 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  13. Published

    Risk Factors, Temporal Dependence, and Seasonality of Human extended-spectrum β-lactamases-producing<i>Escherichia coli</i>and<i>Klebsiella pneumoniae</i>Colonization in Malawi: A Longitudinal Model-based Approach

    Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Lester, R., Morse, T., Feasey, N. & Jewell, C., 5/07/2023, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 77, 1, p. 1-8 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    A study of tuberculosis in road traffic-killed badgers on the edge of the British bovine TB epidemic area

    Sandoval Barron, E., Swift, B., Chantrey, J., Christley, R., Gardner, R., Jewell, C., McGrath, I., Mitchell, A., O’Cathail, C., Prosser, A., Ridout, S., Sanchez-Cabezudo, G., Smith, N., Timofte, D., Williams, N. & Bennett, M., 6/12/2018, In: Scientific Reports. 8, 1, 8 p., 17206.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Bayesian additive regression trees for genotype by environment interaction models

    Sarti, D., Batista Do Prado, E., Inglis, A., Lemos dos Santos, A., Hurley, C., de Andrade Moral, R. & Parnell, A. C., 1/09/2023, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 17, 3, p. 1936-1957 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Towards Large Scale Ad-hoc Teamwork

    Shafipour Yourdshahi, E., Pinder, T., Dhawan, G., Soriano Marcolino, L. & Angelov, P. P., 13/09/2018, 2018 IEEE International Conference on Agents (ICA). IEEE, 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  17. Published
  18. Published

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 24/05/2023.

    Research output: Working paperPreprint

  19. Published

    Online parameter estimation for the McKean–Vlasov stochastic differential equation

    Sharrock, L., Kantas, N., Parpas, P. & Pavliotis, G. A., 31/08/2023, In: Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 162, p. 481-546 66 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Coin Sampling: Gradient-Based Bayesian Inference without Learning Rates

    Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 23/07/2023, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 202, p. 30850-30882 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Forthcoming

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 21/09/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 37

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Tuning-Free Maximum Likelihood Training of Latent Variable Models via Coin Betting

    Sharrock, L., Dodd, D. & Nemeth, C., 19/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 238, p. 1810-1818 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-Free Inference with Conditional Score Based Diffusion Models

    Sharrock, L., Simons, J., Liu, S. & Beaumont, M., 29/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 235, p. 44565-44602 38 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    Adaptive, delayed-acceptance MCMC for targets with expensive likelihoods

    Sherlock, C. G., Golightly, A. & Henderson, D., 1/06/2017, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 26, 2, p. 434-444 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampling using averages of unbiased estimators

    Sherlock, C. G., Thiery, A. & Lee, A., 09/2017, In: Biometrika. 104, 3, p. 727-734 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Direct statistical inference for finite Markov jump processes via the matrix exponential

    Sherlock, C., 31/12/2021, In: Computational Statistics. 36, 4, p. 2863-2887 25 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    A discrete bouncy particle sampler

    Sherlock, C. & Thiery, A., 1/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 335-349 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Efficiency of delayed-acceptance random walk Metropolis algorithms

    Sherlock, C., Thiery, A. & Golightly, A., 15/10/2021, In: Annals of Statistics. 49, 5, p. 2972-2990 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Variance bounding of delayed-acceptance kernels

    Sherlock, C. & Lee, A., 30/09/2022, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 24, 3, p. 2237-2260 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. Published

    Exact Bayesian inference for discretely observed Markov Jump Processes using finite rate matrices

    Sherlock, C. & Golightly, A., 31/01/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 1, p. 36-48 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  31. Published

    Big Data Epidemics

    Simon, B., 2024, Lancaster University. 309 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  32. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance: Gastrointestinal disease, antibacterial prescription and Tritrichomonas foetus

    Singleton, D. A., Arsevska, E., Smyth, S., Barker, E. N., Jewell, C., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M., Jones, P. H. & Radford, A. D., 14/02/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 184, 7, p. 211-216 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Respiratory disease, antibiotic prescription and canine infectious respiratory disease complex

    Singleton, D. A., Stavisky, J., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 23/05/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 184, 21, p. 640-645 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Small animal disease surveillance 2019: Pruritus, pharmacosurveillance, skin tumours and flea infestations

    Singleton, D. A., McGarry, J., Torres, J. R., Killick, D., Jewell, C., Smyth, S., Brant, B., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, F., Dawson, S., Pinchbeck, G. L., Noble, P. J. M. & Radford, A. D., 19/10/2019, In: Veterinary Record. 185, 15, p. 470-475 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Semi-Exact Control Functionals From Sard's Method

    South, L., Karvonen, T., Nemeth, C., Girolami, M. & Oates, C. J., 30/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 351-367 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Pan-African evolution of within- And between-country COVID-19 dynamics

    Ssentongo, P., Fronterre, C., Geronimo, A., Greybush, S. J., Mbabazi, P. K., Muvawala, J., Nahalamba, S. B., Omadi, P. O., Opar, B. T., Sinnar, S. A., Wang, Y., Whalen, A. J., Held, L., Jewell, C., Muwanguzi, A. J. B., Greatrex, H., Norton, M. M., Diggle, P. J. & Schiff, S. J., 13/07/2021, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 118, 28, 10 p., e2026664118.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Forthcoming

    Continuously-Tempered PDMP samplers

    Sutton, M., Salomone, R., Chevallier, A. & Fearnhead, P., 14/09/2022, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 35, 28293--28304

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Concave-Convex PDMP-based sampling

    Sutton, M. & Fearnhead, P., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Tuberculosis in badgers where the bovine tuberculosis epidemic is expanding in cattle in England

    Swift, B. M. C., Barron, E. S., Christley, R., Corbetta, D., Grau-Roma, L., Jewell, C., O’Cathail, C., Mitchell, A., Phoenix, J., Prosser, A., Rees, C., Sorley, M., Verin, R. & Bennett, M., 25/10/2021, In: Scientific Reports. 11, 1, 10 p., 20995.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Motor unit number estimation via sequential Monte Carlo

    Taylor, S., Sherlock, C., Ridall, G. & Fearnhead, P., 1/04/2020, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 144, 16 p., 106845.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Efficient model comparison techniques for models requiring large scale data augmentation

    Touloupou, P., Alzahrani, N., Neal, P. J., Spencer, S. & McKinley, T., 03/2018, In: Bayesian Analysis. 13, 2, p. 437-459 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Sequential Estimation of Temporally Evolving Latent Space Network Models

    Turnbull, K., Nemeth, C., Nunes, M. & McCormick, T., 31/03/2023, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 179, 107627.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Latent Space Modelling of Hypergraph Data

    Turnbull, K., Lunagomez, S., Nemeth, C. & Airoldi, E., 31/10/2024, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 119, 548, p. 2634-2646 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Interim recruitment prediction for multi-centre clinical trials

    Urbas, S. & Sherlock, C., 30/04/2022, In: Biostatistics. 23, 2, p. 485-506 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    A Bayesian latent process spatiotemporal regression model for areal count data

    Utazi, C. E., Afuecheta, E. O. & Nnanatu, C., 06/2018, In: Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. 25, p. 25-37 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    Predicting farm-level animal populations using environmental and socioeconomic variables

    van Andel, M., Jewell, C. P., McKenzie, J., Hollings, T., Robinson, A., Burgman, M., Bingham, P. & Carpenter, T., 15/09/2017, In: Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 145, p. 121-132 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    SwISS: A Scalable Markov chain Monte Carlo Divide-and-Conquer Strategy

    Vyner, C., Nemeth, C. & Sherlock, C., 31/12/2023, In: Stat. 12, 1, 11 p., e523.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Contributions to Divide-and-Conquer MCMC

    Vyner, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 147 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  49. Published

    Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support Emergency Disease Management

    Webb, C., Ferrari, M., Lindström, T., Carpenter, T., Dürr, S., Garner, G., Jewell, C. P., Stevenson, M., Ward, M., Werkman, M., Backer, J. & Tildesley, M., 1/03/2017, In: Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 138, p. 124-133 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  50. Published

    Hospitalisation and mortality risk of SARS-COV-2 variant omicron sub-lineage BA.2 compared to BA.1 in England

    Webster, H. H., Nyberg, T., Sinnathamby, M. A., Aziz, N. A., Ferguson, N., Seghezzo, G., Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Chand, M., Groves, N., Myers, R., Hope, R., Ashano, E., Lopez-Bernal, J., De Angelis, D., Dabrera, G., Presanis, A. M. & Thelwall, S., 13/10/2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, 1, 6 p., 6053.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    Sequential Monte Carlo methods for epidemic data

    Welding, J., 2020, Lancaster University. 262 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  52. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., 08/2020. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paper

  53. Published

    Estimating quality-adjusted life-years: Assessing the bias induced for a terminal decline quality of life model

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 18/07/2022, Proceedings of the 36th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling: July 18-22, 2022 - Trieste, Italy. Torelli, N., Bellio, R. & Muggeo, V. (eds.). EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, Trieste 2022, p. 354-359 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  54. Published

    Bias induced during the estimation of quality-adjusted life-years

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 20/07/2020, Proceedings of the 35th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling. 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  55. Published

    Dog owners are more likely to meet physical activity guidelines than people without a dog: An investigation of the association between dog ownership and physical activity levels in a UK community

    Westgarth, C., Christley, R. M., Jewell, C., German, A. J., Boddy, L. M. & Christian, H. E., 18/04/2019, In: Scientific Reports. 9, 1, 10 p., 5704.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  56. Published

    Improved bridge constructs for stochastic differential equations

    Whitaker, G. A., Golightly, A., Boys, R. J. & Sherlock, C. G., 07/2017, In: Statistics and Computing. 27, 4, p. 885-900 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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