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  1. 2024
  2. Published

    Operational research: methods and applications

    Petropoulos, F., Laporte, G., Archetti, C., Ayhan, H., Battarra, M., Bennell, J. A., Boylan, J. E., Breton, M., Canca, D., Charlin, L., Chen, B., Cicek, C. T., Jr, L. A. C., Currie, C. S. M., Demeulemeester, E., Ding, L., Disney, S. M., Ehrgott, M., Eppler, M. J., Erdoğan, G., & 59 othersFortz, B., Franco, L. A., Frische, J., Greco, S., Gregory, A. J., Hämäläinen, R. P., Herroelen, W., Hewitt, M., Holmström, J., Hooker, J. N., Işık, T., Johnes, J., Kara, B. Y., Karsu, Ö., Kent, K., Köhler, C., Kunc, M., Kuo, Y-H., Lienert, J., Letchford, A. N., Leung, J., Li, D., Li, H., Ljubić, I., Lodi, A., Lozano, S., Lurkin, V., Martello, S., McHale, I. G., Midgley, G., Morecroft, J. D. W., Mutha, A., Oğuz, C., Petrovic, S., Pferschy, U., Psaraftis, H. N., Rose, S., Saarinen, L., Salhi, S., Song, J-S., Sotiros, D., Stecke, K. E., Strauss, A. K., Tarhan, İ., Thielen, C., Toth, P., Berghe, G. V., Vasilakis, C., Vaze, V., Vigo, D., Virtanen, K., Wang, X., Weron, R., White, L., Woensel, T. V., Yearworth, M., Yıldırım, E. A., Zaccour, G. & Zhao, X., 1/03/2024, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 75, 3, p. 423-617 195 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Review article › peer-review

  3. Forthcoming

    Forecasting seasonal demand for retail: A Fourier time-varying grey model

    Ye, L., Xie, N., Boylan, J. E. & Shang, Z., 18/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: International Journal of Forecasting.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Forthcoming

    Customer Analytics and New Product Performance: The Role of Contingencies

    Ozdemir, S., Wang, Y., Gupta, S., Sena, V., Zhang, S. & Zhang, M., 12/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  5. 2023
  6. E-pub ahead of print

    Staying Positive: Challenges and Solutions in Using Pure Multiplicative ETS Models

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 15/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    iETS: State space model for intermittent demand forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 30/11/2023, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 265, 109013.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Forecasting and Analytics with the Augmented Dynamic Adaptive Model (ADAM)

    Svetunkov, I., 17/11/2023, Chapman and Hall. 490 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Monograph

  9. Published

    Dynamic linear models with adaptive discounting

    Yusupova, A., Pavlidis, N. & Pavlidis, E., 31/10/2023, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 39, 4, p. 1925-1944 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  10. Published

    What Do We Learn from Forecasting Software Surveys

    Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Fildes, R., 1/10/2023, Foresight Magazine, 71, Q4.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publication › Article

  11. Published

    Using forecasting to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on passenger air transport demand

    Li, X., de Groot, M. & Bäck, T., 31/08/2023, In: Decision Sciences. 54, 4, p. 394-409 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    Shrinkage Estimator for Exponential Smoothing Models

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 31/07/2023, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 39, 3, p. 1351-1365 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. E-pub ahead of print

    Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Killick, R., 24/06/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Computational Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  14. Published

    Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

    Sroginis, A., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 16/06/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 307, 3, p. 1177-1191 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. E-pub ahead of print

    Probabilistic forecasting of hourly emergency department arrivals

    Rostami-Tabar, B., Browell, J. & Svetunkov, I., 1/05/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Health Systems. 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    The periodic review model with independent age‐dependent lifetimes

    Clarkson, J., Voelkel, M. A., Sachs, AL. & Thonemann, U. W., 31/03/2023, In: Production and Operations Management. 32, 3, p. 813-828 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  17. E-pub ahead of print

    Outlier detection in network revenue management

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 23/03/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: OR Spectrum.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Analysing and visualising bike-sharing demand with outliers

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. M. & Dost, F., 6/03/2023, In: Discover Data. 1, 1, 26 p., 1.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Published

    Mitigating parameter uncertainty in business forecasting

    Pritularga, K., 22/02/2023, Lancaster University. 162 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  20. Published

    A New Taxonomy for Vector Exponential Smoothing and Its Application to Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Chen, H. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 304, 3, p. 964-980 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Extensions to Newsvendor Problems

    Liu, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 172 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  22. 2022
  23. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Ord, J. K., 31/12/2022, In: Naval Research Logistics. 69, 8, p. 1108-1123 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Estimating the cumulative distribution function of lead-time demand using bootstrapping with and without replacement

    Boylan, J. E. & Babai, M. Z., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 252, 13 p., 108586.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Post-script - Retail forecasting: Research and Practice

    Fildes, R., Kolassa, S. & Ma, S., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1319-1324 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Predictive competitive intelligence with pre‐release online search traffic

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 10, p. 3823-3839 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    The performance of the global bottom-up approach in the M5 accuracy competition: a robustness check

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1492-1499 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    The practicality of Malaysia dengue outbreak forecasting model as an early warning system

    Ismail, S., Fildes, R., Ahmad, R., Wan Mohamad Ali, W. N. & Omar, T., 30/09/2022, In: Infectious Disease Modelling. 7, 3, p. 510-525 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Wavelet Spectra for Multivariate Point Processes

    Cohen, E. & Gibberd, A., 30/09/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 3, p. 837–851 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    Making smart recommendations for perishable and stockout products

    Seymen, S., Sachs, A-L. & Malthouse, E. C., 18/09/2022. 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review

  31. Published

    Approximations for the Lead Time Variance: a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation

    Saoud, P., Kourentzes, N. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2022, In: Omega. 110, 12 p., 102614.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  32. Published

    Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation

    Liu, C., Letchford, A. & Svetunkov, I., 16/07/2022, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 300, 2, p. 590-601 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  33. Published

    Forecasting: theory and practice

    Petropoulos, F., Apiletti, D., Assimakopoulos, V., Babai, M. Z., Barrow, D. K., Ben Taieb, S., Bergmeir, C., Bessa, R. J., Bijak, J., Boylan, J. E., Browell, J., Carnevale, C., Castle, J. L., Cirillo, P., Clements, M. P., Cordeiro, C., Cyrino Oliveira, F. L., De Baets, S., Dokumentov, A., Ellison, J., & 60 othersFiszeder, P., Franses, P. H., Frazier, D. T., Gilliland, M., Gönül, M. S., Goodwin, P., Grossi, L., Grushka-Cockayne, Y., Guidolin, M., Guidolin, M., Gunter, U., Guo, X., Guseo, R., Harvey, N., Hendry, D. F., Hollyman, R., Januschowski, T., Jeon, J., Jose, V. R. R., Kang, Y., Koehler, A. B., Kolassa, S., Kourentzes, N., Leva, S., Li, F., Litsiou, K., Makridakis, S., Martin, G. M., Martinez, A. B., Meeran, S., Modis, T., Nikolopoulos, K., Önkal, D., Paccagnini, A., Panagiotelis, A., Panapakidis, I., Pavía, J. M., Pedio, M., Pedregal, D. J., Pinson, P., Ramos, P., Rapach, D. E., Reade, J. J., Rostami-Tabar, B., Rubaszek, M., Sermpinis, G., Shang, H. L., Spiliotis, E., Syntetos, A. A., Talagala, P. D., Talagala, T. S., Tashman, L., Thomakos, D., Thorarinsdottir, T., Todini, E., Trapero Arenas, J. R., Wang, X., Winkler, R. L., Yusupova, A. & Ziel, F., 1/07/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 3, p. 705-871 167 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Weighted Sparse Simplex Representation: A Unified Framework for Subspace Clustering, Constrained Clustering, and Active Learning

    Peng, H. & Pavlidis, N., 31/05/2022, In: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery. 36, 3, p. 958–986 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting

    Eğrioğlu, E. & Fildes, R., 30/04/2022, In: Computational Economics. 59, 4, p. 1355-1383 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Empirical newsvendor biases: Are target service levels achieved effectively and efficiently?

    Sachs, A-L., Becker-Peth, M., Minner, S. & Thonemann, U. W., 30/04/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 4, p. 1839-1855 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  37. Published

    Business Transformation in an Age of Turbulence-Lessons Learned from COVID-19

    Li, X., Voorneveld, M. & de Koster, R., 31/03/2022, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 176, 12 p., 121452.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  38. Published

    Indolence is fatal: Research Opportunities in Designing Digital Shadows and Twins for Decision Support

    Marquardt, T., Cleophas, C. & Morgan, L., 28/02/2022, WSC '21: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE, 11 p. 239. (Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review

  39. Published

    Prospects for quarkonium studies at the high-luminosity LHC

    Chapon, É., d'Enterria, D., Ducloué, B., Echevarria, M. G., Gossiaux, P-B., Kartvelishvili, V., Kasemets, T., Lansberg, J-P., McNulty, R., Price, D. D., Shao, H-S., Van Hulse, C., Winn, M., Adam, J., An, L., Villar, D. Y. A., Bhattacharya, S., Celiberto, F. G., Cheshkov, C., D'Alesio, U., & 31 othersda Silva, C., Ferreiro, E. G., Flett, C. A., Flore, C., Garzelli, M. V., Gaunt, J., He, J., Makris, Y., Marquet, C., Massacrier, L., Mehen, T., Mezrag, C., Micheletti, L., Nagar, R., Nefedov, M. A., Ozcelik, M. A., Paul, B., Pisano, C., Qiu, J-W., Rajesh, S., Rinaldi, M., Scarpa, F., Smith, M., Taels, P., Tee, A., Teryaev, O., Vitev, I., Watanabe, K., Yamanaka, N., Yao, X. & Zhang, Y., 31/01/2022, In: Progress in Particle and Nuclear Physics. 122, 87 p., 103906.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. 2021
  41. Published

    Apenas uma postagem? Previsões de vendas diárias de empresas varejistas de beleza e cosmético a partir da influência de mídias sociais

    Pessanha, G. R. G. & Soares, E. A., 31/10/2021, In: Revista Brasileira de Marketing. 20, 4, 55 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Cloud & fog computing: intelligent applications

    Chen, M-Y., Lughofer, E. D. & Egrioglu, E., 31/10/2021, In: Enterprise Information Systems. 15, 9, p. 1197-1199 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Robust compound Poisson parameter estimation for inventory control

    Prak, D., Teunter, R., Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E. & Syntetos, A., 31/10/2021, In: Omega. 104, 16 p., 102481.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Stochastic coherency in forecast reconciliation

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 31/10/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 240, 14 p., 108221.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. Published

    Lifecycle Forecast for Consumer Technology Products with Limited Sales Data

    Li, X., Yin, Y., Manrique, D. V. & Bäck, T., 30/09/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 239, 10 p., 108206.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Published

    Identifying and Responding to Outlier Demand in Revenue Management

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 16/09/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 293, 3, p. 1015-1030 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    When to Allocate Capacity for Upward Line Extensions Under Competition and Consumer Taste Uncertainty?

    Li, X., Zuidwijk, R., de Koster, MBM. & Sethi, S., 28/08/2021, SSRN Working Paper.

    Research output: Working paper

  48. Published

    Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Context, Methods and Applications

    Boylan, J. & Syntetos, A. A., 30/06/2021, Oxford: Wiley. 400 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/Proceedings › Book

  49. Published

    Probabilistic forecasting, linearity and nonlinearity hypothesis tests with bootstrapped linear and nonlinear artificial neural network

    Yolcu, U., Egrioglu, E., Bas, E., Yolcu, O. C. & Dalar, A. Z., 30/06/2021, In: Journal of Experimental and Theoretical Artificial Intelligence. 33, 3, p. 383-404 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Statistical algorithms, judgment and forecasting software systems

    Fildes, R., 7/05/2021, Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning . Gilliland, M., Tashman, L. & Sglavo, U. (eds.). Wiley, p. 361-364 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Chapter

  51. Published

    Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: a case study in a supply-chain company

    Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 1/04/2021, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 37, 2, p. 1031-1046 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    Editorial

    Boylan, J., Kunc, M. H., Salhi, S. & Zhang, Z. G., 31/01/2021, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 72, 1, p. 1-3 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Editorial › peer-review

  53. Published

    Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series

    Kourentzes, N. & Athanasopoulos, G., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 141-152 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Retail sales forecasting with meta-learning

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 111-128 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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