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Extreme Value Theory

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  1. 2025
  2. Published

    Simulating hierarchical data to assess the utility of ecological versus multilevel analyses in obtaining individual-level causal effects

    Kakampakou, L., Stokes, J., Hoehn, A., de Kamps, M., Lawniczak, W., Arnold, K. F., Hensor, E. M. A., Heppenstall, A. J. & Gilthorpe, M. S., 22/03/2025, In: BMC Medical Research Methodology. 25, 1, 79.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    Extreme value methods for estimating rare events in Utopia: EVA (2023) Conference Data Challenge: Team Lancopula Utopiversity

    André, L., Campbell, R., Farrell, A., D’Arcy, E., Healy, D., Kakampakou, L., Murphy, C., Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Speers, M., 1/03/2025, In: Extremes. 28, 1, p. 23-45 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  4. Published

    Modelling and inference for the body and tail regions of multivariate data

    André, L., 2025, Lancaster University. 342 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  5. 2024
  6. Published

    Improving estimation for asymptotically independent bivariate extremes via global estimators for the angular dependence function

    Murphy-Barltrop, C., Wadsworth, J. & Eastoe, E., 31/12/2024, In: Extremes. 27, 4, p. 643-671 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    Degree distributions in networks: beyond the power law

    Lee, C., Eastoe, E. & Farrell, A., 30/11/2024, In: Statistica Neerlandica. 78, 4, p. 702-718 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Published

    Modelling non-stationarity in asymptotically independent extremes

    Murphy-Barltrop, C. J. R. & Wadsworth, J. L., 30/11/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 199, 108025.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  9. Unpublished

    Conditional Extremes with Graphical Models

    Farrell, A., Eastoe, E. & Lee, C., 26/11/2024, (Unpublished) In: arXiv.org.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article

  10. Published

    Statistical inference for multivariate extremes via a geometric approach

    Wadsworth, J. & Campbell, R., 13/11/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology. 86, 5, p. 1243-1265 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  11. Forthcoming

    Spatial extremal modelling: A case study on the interplay between margins and dependence

    Kakampakou, L., Simpson, E. & Wadsworth, J., 29/09/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Stat.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Published

    covXtreme: MATLAB software for non-stationary penalised piecewise constant marginal and conditional extreme value models

    Towe, R., Ross, E., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 06/2024, In: Environmental Modelling and Software. 177, 106035.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  13. Published

    Statistical modelling of space weather extremes and process monitoring of rates and proportions

    Rauber Oliveira, C., 18/03/2024, Lancaster University. 94 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  14. Published

    Joint modelling of the body and tail of bivariate data

    André, L., Wadsworth, J. & O'Hagan, A., 31/01/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 189, p. 107841 1 p., 107841.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  15. Published

    How to cope with uncertainty monsters in flood risk management?

    Knotters, M., Bokhove, O., Lamb, R. & Poortvliet, P. M., 24/01/2024, In: Cambridge Prisms: Water. 2, 20 p., e6.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Extreme value modelling for protecting and maintaining critical infrastructure from natural hazards

    D'Arcy, E., 2024, Lancaster University. 392 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  17. 2023
  18. Published

    High-dimensional modeling of spatial and spatio-temporal conditional extremes using INLA and Gaussian Markov random fields

    Simpson, E., Opitz, T. & Wadsworth, J., 31/12/2023, In: Extremes. 26, p. 669–713 45 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. E-pub ahead of print

    Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data

    Spearing, J., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    The importance of context in extreme value analysis with application to extreme temperatures in the U.S. and Greenland

    Clarkson, D., Eastoe, E. & Leeson, A., 2/09/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 4, p. 829-843 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    New estimation methods for extremal bivariate return curves

    Murphy-Barltrop, C., Wadsworth, J. & Eastoe, E., 31/08/2023, In: Environmetrics. 34, 5, e2797.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data

    Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Spatio-temporal modelling of extreme temperature events on the Greenland ice sheet

    Clarkson, D., 30/05/2023, Lancaster University. 157 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  25. Forthcoming

    Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation

    D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Extremal characteristics of conditional models

    Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Joint Estimation of Extreme Spatially Aggregated Precipitation at Different Scales through Mixture Modelling

    Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/03/2023, In: Spatial Statistics. 53, 21 p., 100725.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    A marginal modelling approach for predicting wildfire extremes across the contiguous United States.

    D'Arcy, E., Murphy-Barltrop, C., Simpson, E. S. & Shooter, R., 20/03/2023, In: Extremes. p. 1 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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