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Bayesian and Computational Statistics

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  1. 2025
  2. Published

    Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models*

    Aicher, C., Putcha, S., Nemeth, C., Fearnhead, P. & Fox, E. B., 31/03/2025, In: Bayesian Analysis. 20, 1, p. 1385-1407 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  3. Published

    Advances in Bayesian Computation: Bridging Modern Machine Learning and Traditional Monte Carlo Methods

    Cabezas Gonzalez, A., 18/03/2025, Lancaster University. 177 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  4. 2024
  5. E-pub ahead of print

    Scalable couplings for the random walk Metropolis algorithm

    Papp, T. & Sherlock, C., 16/12/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). qkae113.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  6. Published

    A state-space perspective on modelling and inference for online skill rating

    Duffield, S., Power, S. & Rimella, L., 30/11/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 73, 5, p. 1262-1282 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  7. Published

    Latent Space Modelling of Hypergraph Data

    Turnbull, K., Lunagomez, S., Nemeth, C. & Airoldi, E., 31/10/2024, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 119, 548, p. 2634-2646 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  8. Forthcoming

    Markovian Flow Matching: Accelerating MCMC with Continuous Normalizing Flows

    Cabezas Gonzalez, A., Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 25/09/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  9. Published

    Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-Free Inference with Conditional Score Based Diffusion Models

    Sharrock, L., Simons, J., Liu, S. & Beaumont, M., 29/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 235, p. 44565-44602 38 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  10. Published

    Tuning-Free Maximum Likelihood Training of Latent Variable Models via Coin Betting

    Sharrock, L., Dodd, D. & Nemeth, C., 19/07/2024, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 238, p. 1810-1818 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  11. Published

    Robust Bayesian nonparametric variable selection for linear regression

    Cabezas, A., Battiston, M. & Nemeth, C., 27/05/2024, In: Stat. 13, 2, e696.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  12. Forthcoming

    Learning-Rate-Free Stochastic Optimization over Riemannian Manifolds

    Dodd, D., Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 1/05/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  13. Published

    Big Data Epidemics

    Simon, B., 2024, Lancaster University. 309 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  14. 2023
  15. Published

    SwISS: A Scalable Markov chain Monte Carlo Divide-and-Conquer Strategy

    Vyner, C., Nemeth, C. & Sherlock, C., 31/12/2023, In: Stat. 12, 1, 11 p., e523.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  16. Published

    Statistical Methods for Samples of Interaction Networks

    Bolt, G., 12/2023, Lancaster University. 255 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  17. Published

    Inference on extended-spectrum beta-lactamase Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae data through SMC2

    Rimella, L., Alderton, S., Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Feasey, N., Fearnhead, P. & Jewell, C., 30/11/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 5, p. 1435–1451

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  18. Published

    Concave-Convex PDMP-based sampling

    Sutton, M. & Fearnhead, P., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  19. Forthcoming

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 21/09/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 37

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  20. Published

    Bayesian additive regression trees for genotype by environment interaction models

    Sarti, D., Batista Do Prado, E., Inglis, A., Lemos dos Santos, A., Hurley, C., de Andrade Moral, R. & Parnell, A. C., 1/09/2023, In: Annals of Applied Statistics. 17, 3, p. 1936-1957 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  21. Published

    Modelling the age-prevalence relationship in schistosomiasis: A secondary data analysis of school-aged-children in Mangochi District, Lake Malawi.

    Reed, A., O'Ferrall, A., Kayuni, S., Baxter, H., Stanton, M., Stothard, J. R. & Jewell, C., 31/08/2023, In: Parasite epidemiology and control. 22, e00303.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  22. Published

    Online parameter estimation for the McKean–Vlasov stochastic differential equation

    Sharrock, L., Kantas, N., Parpas, P. & Pavliotis, G. A., 31/08/2023, In: Stochastic Processes and their Applications. 162, p. 481-546 66 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  23. Published

    Investigating One Health risks for human colonisation with extended spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in Malawian households: a longitudinal cohort study

    Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Mphasa, M., Mwapasa, T., Lewis, J. M., Rowlingson, B., Sammarro, M., Bakali, W., Salifu, C., Zuza, A., Charles, M., Mandula, T., Maiden, V., Amos, S., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Byrne, R. & Edwards, T. & 7 others, Lester, R., Elviss, N., Roberts, A. P., Singer, A. C., Jewell, C., Morse, T. & Feasey, N. A., 31/07/2023, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 4, 7, p. e534-e543 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  24. Published

    Reversible Jump PDMP Samplers for Variable Selection

    Chevallier, A., Fearnhead, P. & Sutton, M., 31/07/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 544, p. 2915-2927

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  25. Published

    Coin Sampling: Gradient-Based Bayesian Inference without Learning Rates

    Sharrock, L. & Nemeth, C., 23/07/2023, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 202, p. 30850-30882 33 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  26. Published

    Risk Factors, Temporal Dependence, and Seasonality of Human extended-spectrum β-lactamases-producing<i>Escherichia coli</i>and<i>Klebsiella pneumoniae</i>Colonization in Malawi: A Longitudinal Model-based Approach

    Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Lester, R., Morse, T., Feasey, N. & Jewell, C., 5/07/2023, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 77, 1, p. 1-8 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  27. Published

    Contact patterns of UK home delivery drivers and their use of protective measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study

    Bridgen, J. R. E., Wei, H., Whitfield, C., Han, Y., Hall, I., Jewell, C. P., van Tongeren, M. J. A. & Read, J. M., 30/06/2023, In: Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 80, 6, p. 333-338 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  28. Published

    Hug and Hop: a discrete-time, nonreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm

    Ludkin, M. & Sherlock, C., 30/06/2023, In: Biometrika. 110, 2, p. 301-318 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  29. Published

    Individual and population level costs and health-related quality of life outcomes of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection in Blantyre, Malawi

    Lester, R., Mango, J., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. A., Feasey, N. A., Maheswaran, H. & Muniyandi, M. (Editor), 22/06/2023, In: PLOS Global Public Health. 3, 6, e0001589.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  30. Published

    CoinEM: Tuning-Free Particle-Based Variational Inference for Latent Variable Models

    Sharrock, L., Dodd, D. & Nemeth, C., 24/05/2023.

    Research output: Working paper › Preprint

  31. Published

    Learning Rate Free Bayesian Inference in Constrained Domains

    Sharrock, L., Mackey, L. & Nemeth, C., 24/05/2023.

    Research output: Working paper › Preprint

  32. Published

    Air Pollution Exposure Among Adult Chronic Airway Disease Patients in the Gambia: A Pilot Case-control Study

    Awokola, B. I., Mohammed, N., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Jatta, M. L., Susso, M., Gibba, A., Ndow, P., Awokola, E., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Devereux, G., Mortimer, K. J. & Erhart, A., 1/05/2023, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 207, 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Meeting abstract › peer-review

  33. Published

    Transport Elliptical Slice Sampling

    Cabezas, A. & Nemeth, C., 25/04/2023, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 206, p. 3664-3676 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  34. Published

    Sequential Estimation of Temporally Evolving Latent Space Network Models

    Turnbull, K., Nemeth, C., Nunes, M. & McCormick, T., 31/03/2023, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 179, 107627.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  35. Published

    Exact Bayesian inference for discretely observed Markov Jump Processes using finite rate matrices

    Sherlock, C. & Golightly, A., 31/01/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 1, p. 36-48 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  36. Published

    Contributions to Divide-and-Conquer MCMC

    Vyner, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 147 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  37. Published

    Developments in Gaussian processes with applications to climate science and network problems.

    Pinder, T., 2023, Lancaster University. 224 p.

    Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis

  38. 2022
  39. Published

    Bayesian multi-species N-mixture models for unmarked animal communities

    Mimnagh, N., Parnell, A. C., Batista Do Prado, E. & de Andrade Moral, R., 31/12/2022, In: Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 29, p. 755-778 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  40. Published

    Effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on morbidity and mortality from bloodstream infections in Blantyre, Malawi: a prospective cohort study

    Lester, R., Musicha, P., Kawaza, K., Langton, J., Mango, J., Mangochi, H., Bakali, W., Pearse, O., Mallewa, J., Denis, B., Bilima, S., Gordon, S. B., Lalloo, D. G., Jewell, C. P. & Feasey, N. A., 31/12/2022, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 3, 12, p. e922-e930 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  41. Published

    Social mixing patterns in the UK following the relaxation of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, July to August 2020: a cross-sectional online survey

    Bridgen, J., Jewell, C. & Read, J., 13/12/2022, In: BMJ Open. 12, 12, 8 p., e059231.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  42. Published

    Colonization dynamics of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacterales in the gut of Malawian adults

    Lewis, J. M., Mphasa, M., Banda, R., Beale, M. A., Heinz, E., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C., Faragher, B., Thomson, N. R. & Feasey, N. A., 31/10/2022, In: Nature Microbiology. 7, 10, p. 1593-1604 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  43. Published

    Hospitalisation and mortality risk of SARS-COV-2 variant omicron sub-lineage BA.2 compared to BA.1 in England

    Webster, H. H., Nyberg, T., Sinnathamby, M. A., Aziz, N. A., Ferguson, N., Seghezzo, G., Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Chand, M., Groves, N., Myers, R., Hope, R., Ashano, E., Lopez-Bernal, J., De Angelis, D., Dabrera, G., Presanis, A. M. & Thelwall, S., 13/10/2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, 1, 6 p., 6053.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  44. Published

    Variance bounding of delayed-acceptance kernels

    Sherlock, C. & Lee, A., 30/09/2022, In: Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability. 24, 3, p. 2237-2260 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  45. E-pub ahead of print

    Longitudinal Ambient PM 2.5 Measurement at Fifteen Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Dobson, R., Ouédraogo, A. R., Dibba, B., Ngahane, M., Ndukwu, C., Agunwa, C., Marangu, D., Lawin, H., Ogugua, I., Eze, J., Nwosu, N., Ofiaeli, O., Ubuane, P., Osman, R., Awokola, E., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. & 3 others, Jewell, C., Semple, S. & Suriano, D. (Editor), 29/09/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Atmosphere. 13, 10, 16 p., 1593.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  46. Forthcoming

    Continuously-Tempered PDMP samplers

    Sutton, M., Salomone, R., Chevallier, A. & Fearnhead, P., 14/09/2022, (Accepted/In press) In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. 35, 28293--28304

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  47. Published

    EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England

    Overton, C. E., Pellis, L., Stage, H. B., Scarabel, F., Burton, J., Fraser, C., Hall, I., House, T. A., Jewell, C., Nurtay, A., Pagani, F., Lythgoe, K. A. & Struchiner, C. J. (Editor), 6/09/2022, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 18, 9, 20 p., e1010406.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  48. Published

    Estimating quality-adjusted life-years: Assessing the bias induced for a terminal decline quality of life model

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 18/07/2022, Proceedings of the 36th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling: July 18-22, 2022 - Trieste, Italy. Torelli, N., Bellio, R. & Muggeo, V. (eds.). EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, Trieste 2022, p. 354-359 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper

  49. Published

    Impact of intensified control on visceral leishmaniasis in a highly-endemic district of Bihar, India: an interrupted time series analysis

    Kumar, V., Siddiqui, N. A., Pollington, T. M., Mandal, R., Das, S., Kesari, S., Das, V. R., Pandey, K., Hollingsworth, T. D., Chapman, L. A. C. & Das, P., 30/06/2022, In: Epidemics. 39, 8 p., 100562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  50. Published

    Semi-Exact Control Functionals From Sard's Method

    South, L., Karvonen, T., Nemeth, C., Girolami, M. & Oates, C. J., 30/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 351-367 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  51. Published

    A discrete bouncy particle sampler

    Sherlock, C. & Thiery, A., 1/06/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 2, p. 335-349 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  52. Published

    Measuring Air Quality for Advocacy in Africa (MA3): Ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> Concentrations Over One-Year in 15 Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B. I., Okello, G., Dobson, R., Amusa, G. A., Johnson, O., Erhart, A., Mortimer, K., Jewell, C., Semple, S. & MA3 Study Group, 2/05/2022, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 205, 2 p., A5170.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review

  53. Published

    GaussianProcesses.jl: A Nonparametric Bayes package for the Julia Language

    Fairbrother, J., Nemeth, C., Pinder, T., Rischard, M. & Brea, J., 30/04/2022, In: Journal of Statistical Software. 102, 1, p. 1-36 36 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

  54. Published

    Interim recruitment prediction for multi-centre clinical trials

    Urbas, S. & Sherlock, C., 30/04/2022, In: Biostatistics. 23, 2, p. 485-506 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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