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Centre for Marketing Analytics

  1. 2020
  2. E-pub ahead of print

    Consistent multiple changepoint estimation with fused Gaussian graphical models

    Gibberd, A. & Roy, S., 17/03/2020, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 27 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Published

    Spillover effects of investment in big data analytics in B2B relationships: What is the role of human capital?

    Sena, V. & Ozdemir, S., 1/04/2020, In: Industrial Marketing Management. 86, p. 77-89 13 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect

    Pastore, E., Alfieri, A., Zotteri, G. & Boylan, J. E., 16/05/2020, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 283, 1, p. 94-107 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. Published

    Interpretable brain age prediction using linear latent variable models of functional connectivity

    Monti, R. P., Gibberd, A., Roy, S., Nunes, M., Lorenz, R., Leech, R., Ogawa, T., Kawanabe, M. & Hyvärinen, A., 10/06/2020, In: PLoS ONE. 15, 6, 25 p., e0232296.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Forecasting third-party mobile payments with implications for customer flow prediction

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/07/2020, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 36, 3, p. 739-760 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning

    Kourentzes, N., Trapero, J. R. & Barrow, D., 1/07/2020, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 225, 9 p., 107597.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    Electrical Waste - challenges and opportunities: An Independent study on Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) flows in the UK

    Sayers, M., Silva, C., Schaer, O., Stowell, A., Yumashev, D., Downes, S., Grantham, L., Laundon, C. & McCoach, H., 16/07/2020

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsCommissioned report

  9. Published

    Survey: What’s new in forecasting software?

    Fildes, R., Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Yusupova, A., 4/08/2020, In: Operations Research Management Science Today. 47, 4

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  10. Published

    Nonparametric time series summary statistics for high-frequency actigraphy data from individuals with advanced dementia

    Suibkitwanchai, K., Sykulski, A. M., Algorta, G. P., Waller, D. & Walshe, C., 25/09/2020, In: PLoS ONE. 15, 9, e0239368.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing: Perspectives from statistics and machine learning

    Barrow, D., Kourentzes, N., Sandberg, R. & Niklewski, J., 1/12/2020, In: Expert Systems with Applications. 160, 14 p., 113637.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  12. Published

    Metric learning for simulation analytics

    Laidler, G., Morgan, L., Nelson, B. & Pavlidis, N., 18/12/2020, Proceedings of the 2020 Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE, p. 349-360 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  13. 2021
  14. Published

    Detecting demand outliers in transport systems

    Rennie, N., 2021, Lancaster University. 272 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  15. Published

    Meta-learning for Forecasting Model Selection

    Barak, S., 2021, Lancaster University. 165 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  16. Published

    Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series

    Kourentzes, N. & Athanasopoulos, G., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 141-152 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Retail sales forecasting with meta-learning

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 1/01/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 288, 1, p. 111-128 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    Editorial

    Boylan, J., Kunc, M. H., Salhi, S. & Zhang, Z. G., 31/01/2021, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 72, 1, p. 1-3 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineEditorialpeer-review

  19. Published

    Stability in the inefficient use of forecasting systems: a case study in a supply-chain company

    Fildes, R. & Goodwin, P., 1/04/2021, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 37, 2, p. 1031-1046 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Statistical algorithms, judgment and forecasting software systems

    Fildes, R., 7/05/2021, Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning . Gilliland, M., Tashman, L. & Sglavo, U. (eds.). Wiley, p. 361-364 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNChapter

  21. Published

    Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Context, Methods and Applications

    Boylan, J. & Syntetos, A. A., 30/06/2021, Oxford: Wiley. 400 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsBook

  22. Published

    Probabilistic forecasting, linearity and nonlinearity hypothesis tests with bootstrapped linear and nonlinear artificial neural network

    Yolcu, U., Egrioglu, E., Bas, E., Yolcu, O. C. & Dalar, A. Z., 30/06/2021, In: Journal of Experimental and Theoretical Artificial Intelligence. 33, 3, p. 383-404 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    When to Allocate Capacity for Upward Line Extensions Under Competition and Consumer Taste Uncertainty?

    Li, X., Zuidwijk, R., de Koster, M. & Sethi, S., 28/08/2021, SSRN Working Paper.

    Research output: Working paper

  24. Published

    Identifying and Responding to Outlier Demand in Revenue Management

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 16/09/2021, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 293, 3, p. 1015-1030 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Lifecycle Forecast for Consumer Technology Products with Limited Sales Data

    Li, X., Yin, Y., Manrique, D. V. & Bäck, T., 30/09/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 239, 10 p., 108206.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  26. Published

    Apenas uma postagem? Previsões de vendas diárias de empresas varejistas de beleza e cosmético a partir da influência de mídias sociais

    Pessanha, G. R. G. & Soares, E. A., 31/10/2021, In: Revista Brasileira de Marketing. 20, 4, 55 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    Cloud & fog computing: intelligent applications

    Chen, M.-Y., Lughofer, E. D. & Egrioglu, E., 31/10/2021, In: Enterprise Information Systems. 15, 9, p. 1197-1199 3 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    Robust compound Poisson parameter estimation for inventory control

    Prak, D., Teunter, R., Babai, M. Z., Boylan, J. E. & Syntetos, A., 31/10/2021, In: Omega. 104, 16 p., 102481.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Stochastic coherency in forecast reconciliation

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 31/10/2021, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 240, 14 p., 108221.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  30. 2022
  31. Published

    Prospects for quarkonium studies at the high-luminosity LHC

    Chapon, É., d'Enterria, D., Ducloué, B., Echevarria, M. G., Gossiaux, P.-B., Kartvelishvili, V., Kasemets, T., Lansberg, J.-P., McNulty, R., Price, D. D., Shao, H.-S., Van Hulse, C., Winn, M., Adam, J., An, L., Villar, D. Y. A., Bhattacharya, S., Celiberto, F. G., Cheshkov, C. & D'Alesio, U. & 31 others, da Silva, C., Ferreiro, E. G., Flett, C. A., Flore, C., Garzelli, M. V., Gaunt, J., He, J., Makris, Y., Marquet, C., Massacrier, L., Mehen, T., Mezrag, C., Micheletti, L., Nagar, R., Nefedov, M. A., Ozcelik, M. A., Paul, B., Pisano, C., Qiu, J.-W., Rajesh, S., Rinaldi, M., Scarpa, F., Smith, M., Taels, P., Tee, A., Teryaev, O., Vitev, I., Watanabe, K., Yamanaka, N., Yao, X. & Zhang, Y., 31/01/2022, In: Progress in Particle and Nuclear Physics. 122, 87 p., 103906.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Indolence is fatal: Research Opportunities in Designing Digital Shadows and Twins for Decision Support

    Marquardt, T., Cleophas, C. & Morgan, L., 28/02/2022, WSC '21: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE, 11 p. 239. (Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  33. Published

    Business Transformation in an Age of Turbulence-Lessons Learned from COVID-19

    Li, X., Voorneveld, M. & de Koster, R., 31/03/2022, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 176, 12 p., 121452.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting

    Eğrioğlu, E. & Fildes, R., 30/04/2022, In: Computational Economics. 59, 4, p. 1355-1383 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Empirical newsvendor biases: Are target service levels achieved effectively and efficiently?

    Sachs, A.-L., Becker-Peth, M., Minner, S. & Thonemann, U. W., 30/04/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 4, p. 1839-1855 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Weighted Sparse Simplex Representation: A Unified Framework for Subspace Clustering, Constrained Clustering, and Active Learning

    Peng, H. & Pavlidis, N., 31/05/2022, In: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery. 36, 3, p. 958–986 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. Published

    Forecasting: theory and practice

    Petropoulos, F., Apiletti, D., Assimakopoulos, V., Babai, M. Z., Barrow, D. K., Ben Taieb, S., Bergmeir, C., Bessa, R. J., Bijak, J., Boylan, J. E., Browell, J., Carnevale, C., Castle, J. L., Cirillo, P., Clements, M. P., Cordeiro, C., Cyrino Oliveira, F. L., De Baets, S., Dokumentov, A. & Ellison, J. & 60 others, Fiszeder, P., Franses, P. H., Frazier, D. T., Gilliland, M., Gönül, M. S., Goodwin, P., Grossi, L., Grushka-Cockayne, Y., Guidolin, M., Guidolin, M., Gunter, U., Guo, X., Guseo, R., Harvey, N., Hendry, D. F., Hollyman, R., Januschowski, T., Jeon, J., Jose, V. R. R., Kang, Y., Koehler, A. B., Kolassa, S., Kourentzes, N., Leva, S., Li, F., Litsiou, K., Makridakis, S., Martin, G. M., Martinez, A. B., Meeran, S., Modis, T., Nikolopoulos, K., Önkal, D., Paccagnini, A., Panagiotelis, A., Panapakidis, I., Pavía, J. M., Pedio, M., Pedregal, D. J., Pinson, P., Ramos, P., Rapach, D. E., Reade, J. J., Rostami-Tabar, B., Rubaszek, M., Sermpinis, G., Shang, H. L., Spiliotis, E., Syntetos, A. A., Talagala, P. D., Talagala, T. S., Tashman, L., Thomakos, D., Thorarinsdottir, T., Todini, E., Trapero Arenas, J. R., Wang, X., Winkler, R. L., Yusupova, A. & Ziel, F., 1/07/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 3, p. 705-871 167 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation

    Liu, C., Letchford, A. & Svetunkov, I., 16/07/2022, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 300, 2, p. 590-601 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Approximations for the Lead Time Variance: a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation

    Saoud, P., Kourentzes, N. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2022, In: Omega. 110, 12 p., 102614.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  40. Published

    Making smart recommendations for perishable and stockout products

    Seymen, S., Sachs, A.-L. & Malthouse, E. C., 18/09/2022. 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN Conference paperpeer-review

  41. Published

    The practicality of Malaysia dengue outbreak forecasting model as an early warning system

    Ismail, S., Fildes, R., Ahmad, R., Wan Mohamad Ali, W. N. & Omar, T., 30/09/2022, In: Infectious Disease Modelling. 7, 3, p. 510-525 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Wavelet Spectra for Multivariate Point Processes

    Cohen, E. & Gibberd, A., 30/09/2022, In: Biometrika. 109, 3, p. 837–851 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Estimating the cumulative distribution function of lead-time demand using bootstrapping with and without replacement

    Boylan, J. E. & Babai, M. Z., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 252, 13 p., 108586.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Post-script - Retail forecasting: Research and Practice

    Fildes, R., Kolassa, S. & Ma, S., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1319-1324 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    Predictive competitive intelligence with pre‐release online search traffic

    Schaer, O., Kourentzes, N. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: Production and Operations Management. 31, 10, p. 3823-3839 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    The performance of the global bottom-up approach in the M5 accuracy competition: a robustness check

    Ma, S. & Fildes, R., 31/10/2022, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 38, 4, p. 1492-1499 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Complex exponential smoothing

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Ord, J. K., 31/12/2022, In: Naval Research Logistics. 69, 8, p. 1108-1123 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. 2023
  49. Published

    Extensions to Newsvendor Problems

    Liu, C., 2023, Lancaster University. 172 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  50. Published

    A New Taxonomy for Vector Exponential Smoothing and Its Application to Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Chen, H. & Boylan, J. E., 1/02/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 304, 3, p. 964-980 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. Published

    Mitigating parameter uncertainty in business forecasting

    Pritularga, K., 22/02/2023, Lancaster University. 162 p.

    Research output: ThesisDoctoral Thesis

  52. Published

    Analysing and visualising bike-sharing demand with outliers

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. M. & Dost, F., 6/03/2023, In: Discover Data. 1, 1, 26 p., 1.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  53. Published

    The periodic review model with independent age‐dependent lifetimes

    Clarkson, J., Voelkel, M. A., Sachs, A. & Thonemann, U. W., 31/03/2023, In: Production and Operations Management. 32, 3, p. 813-828 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  54. E-pub ahead of print

    Probabilistic forecasting of hourly emergency department arrivals

    Rostami-Tabar, B., Browell, J. & Svetunkov, I., 1/05/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Health Systems. 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  55. Published

    Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

    Sroginis, A., Fildes, R. & Kourentzes, N., 16/06/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 307, 3, p. 1177-1191 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  56. E-pub ahead of print

    Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models

    Svetunkov, I., Kourentzes, N. & Killick, R., 24/06/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Computational Statistics.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  57. Published

    Shrinkage Estimator for Exponential Smoothing Models

    Pritularga, K., Svetunkov, I. & Kourentzes, N., 31/07/2023, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 39, 3, p. 1351-1365 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  58. Published

    Cross-Learning with Short Seasonal Time Series

    Svetunkov, I., Boylan, J. E. & Chen, H., 1/08/2023, In: Foresight Magazine. 70, Q3

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal article

  59. Published

    Using forecasting to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on passenger air transport demand

    Li, X., de Groot, M. & Bäck, T., 31/08/2023, In: Decision Sciences. 54, 4, p. 394-409 16 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  60. Published

    What Do We Learn from Forecasting Software Surveys

    Schaer, O., Svetunkov, I. & Fildes, R., 1/10/2023, Foresight Magazine, 71, Q4.

    Research output: Contribution to specialist publicationArticle

  61. Published

    Dynamic linear models with adaptive discounting

    Yusupova, A., Pavlidis, N. & Pavlidis, E., 31/10/2023, In: International Journal of Forecasting. 39, 4, p. 1925-1944 20 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  62. Published

    Forecasting and Analytics with the Augmented Dynamic Adaptive Model (ADAM)

    Svetunkov, I., 17/11/2023, Chapman and Hall. 490 p.

    Research output: Book/Report/ProceedingsMonograph

  63. Published

    iETS: State space model for intermittent demand forecasting

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 30/11/2023, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 265, 109013.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  64. 2024
  65. Forthcoming

    Forecasting seasonal demand for retail: A Fourier time-varying grey model

    Ye, L., Xie, N., Boylan, J. E. & Shang, Z., 18/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: International Journal of Forecasting.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  66. Published

    Operational research: methods and applications

    Petropoulos, F., Laporte, G., Archetti, C., Ayhan, H., Battarra, M., Bennell, J. A., Boylan, J. E., Breton, M., Canca, D., Charlin, L., Chen, B., Cicek, C. T., Jr, L. A. C., Currie, C. S. M., Demeulemeester, E., Ding, L., Disney, S. M., Ehrgott, M., Eppler, M. J. & Erdoğan, G. & 59 others, Fortz, B., Franco, L. A., Frische, J., Greco, S., Gregory, A. J., Hämäläinen, R. P., Herroelen, W., Hewitt, M., Holmström, J., Hooker, J. N., Işık, T., Johnes, J., Kara, B. Y., Karsu, Ö., Kent, K., Köhler, C., Kunc, M., Kuo, Y.-H., Lienert, J., Letchford, A. N., Leung, J., Li, D., Li, H., Ljubić, I., Lodi, A., Lozano, S., Lurkin, V., Martello, S., McHale, I. G., Midgley, G., Morecroft, J. D. W., Mutha, A., Oğuz, C., Petrovic, S., Pferschy, U., Psaraftis, H. N., Rose, S., Saarinen, L., Salhi, S., Song, J.-S., Sotiros, D., Stecke, K. E., Strauss, A. K., Tarhan, İ., Thielen, C., Toth, P., Berghe, G. V., Vasilakis, C., Vaze, V., Vigo, D., Virtanen, K., Wang, X., Weron, R., White, L., Woensel, T. V., Yearworth, M., Yıldırım, E. A., Zaccour, G. & Zhao, X., 1/03/2024, In: Journal of the Operational Research Society. 75, 3, p. 423-617 195 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineReview articlepeer-review

  67. Published

    Customer Analytics and New Product Performance: The Role of Contingencies

    Ozdemir, S., Wang, Y., Gupta, S., Sena, V., Zhang, S. & Zhang, M., 30/04/2024, In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 201, 123225.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  68. Published

    Outlier detection in network revenue management

    Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 1/06/2024, In: OR Spectrum. 46, 2, p. 445-511 67 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  69. Published

    Staying Positive: Challenges and Solutions in Using Pure Multiplicative ETS Models

    Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 31/07/2024, In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 35, 3, p. 403-425 23 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

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