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  1. 2024
  2. Published

    A state-space perspective on modelling and inference for online skill rating

    Duffield, S., Power, S. & Rimella, L., 30/11/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 73, 5, p. 1262-1282 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  3. Forthcoming

    Speech-in-noise hearing impairment is associated with increased risk of Parkinson’s: A UK Biobank analysis

    Readman, M., Wang, Y., Wan, F., Fairman, I., Linkenauger, S., Crawford, T. & Plack, C., 24/11/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Parkinsonism & Related Disorders.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  4. Published

    Changes in urgent and emergency care activity associated with COVID-19 lockdowns in a sub-region in the East of England: Interrupted times series analyses

    Shabuz, Z., Bachmann, M., Cullum, R., Burke, A., Jones, C. E. L., Enwo, O. O., Dalton, A. M., Brainard, J., Saunders, M. & Steel, N., 1/11/2024, In: PLoS One. 19, 11, e0311901.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  5. E-pub ahead of print

    A Seamless Phase I/II Platform Design with a Time-To-Event Efficacy Endpoint for Potential COVID-19 Therapies

    Jaki, T., Barnett, H., Titman, A. & Mozgunov, P., 14/10/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  6. Published

    Examining collinearities

    Shabuz, Z. & Garthwaite, P., 30/09/2024, In: Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics. 66, 3, p. 367-388 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  7. Published

    Utilising high-dimensional data in randomised clinical trials: a review of methods and practice

    Cherlin, S., Bigirumurame, T., Grayling, M., Nsengimana, J., Ouma, L., Santaolalla, A., Wan, F., Williamson, F. & Wason, J., 30/09/2024, In: Research Methods in Medicine & Health Sciences. 5, 4, p. 110-124 14 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  8. Published

    A Spline Function Method for Modelling and Generating a Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process

    Morgan, L., Nelson, B., Titman, A. & Worthington, D., 3/07/2024, In: Journal of Simulation. 18, 4, p. 557-568 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  9. Published

    Association between emergency department attendances, sociodemographic factors and long-term health conditions in the population of Norfolk and Waveney, England: Cross sectional study

    Jones, C. E., Shabuz, Z. R., Bachmann, M. O., Burke, A., Brainard, J., Cullum, R., Saunders, M., Dalton, A. M., Enwo, O. O. & Steel, N., 8/05/2024, In: PLoS One. 19, 5, e0303270.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  10. E-pub ahead of print

    Joint TITE-CRM: A Design for Dose Finding Studies for Therapies with Late-Onset Safety and Activity Outcomes

    Barnett, H., Boix, O., Kontos, D. & Jaki, T., 17/04/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research. 29 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  11. Published

    A Systematic Review of Methodologies Used in Models of the Treatment of Diabetes Mellitus

    Antoniou, M., Mateus, C., Hollingsworth, B. & Titman, A., 31/01/2024, In: PharmacoEconomics. 42, 1, p. 19-40 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineReview articlepeer-review

  12. 2023
  13. Published

    Inference on extended-spectrum beta-lactamase Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae data through SMC2

    Rimella, L., Alderton, S., Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Feasey, N., Fearnhead, P. & Jewell, C., 30/11/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 5, p. 1435–1451

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  14. Published

    Estimation and Clustering of Directional Wave Spectra

    Wu, Z., Euan, C., Crujeiras, R. M. & Sun, Y., 30/09/2023, In: Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics. 28, 3, p. 502-525 24 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  15. Published

    Consistent and fast inference in compartmental models of epidemics using Poisson Approximate Likelihoods

    Whitehouse, M., Whiteley, N. & Rimella, L., 29/09/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 85, 4, p. 1173-1203 31 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  16. Published

    Modelling the age-prevalence relationship in schistosomiasis: A secondary data analysis of school-aged-children in Mangochi District, Lake Malawi.

    Reed, A., O'Ferrall, A., Kayuni, S., Baxter, H., Stanton, M., Stothard, J. R. & Jewell, C., 31/08/2023, In: Parasite epidemiology and control. 22, e00303.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  17. Published

    Is hearing loss a risk factor for idiopathic Parkinson’s disease? An English Longitudinal Study of Ageing Analysis

    Readman, M., Wan, F., Fairman, I., Linkenauger, S., Crawford, T. & Plack, C., 12/08/2023, In: Brain Sciences. 13, 8, 1196.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  18. Published

    COVID-19 transmission dynamics and the impact of vaccination: modelling, analysis and simulations

    Malinzi, J., Juma, V. O., Madubueze, C. E., Mwaonanji, J., Nkem, G. N., Mwakilama, E., Mupedza, T. V., Chiteri, V. N., Bakare, E. A., Moyo, I. L.-Z., Campillo-Funollet, E., Nyabadza, F. & Madzvamuse, A., 31/07/2023, In: Royal Society Open Science. 10, 7, 24 p., 221656.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  19. Published

    Investigating One Health risks for human colonisation with extended spectrum β-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in Malawian households: a longitudinal cohort study

    Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Mphasa, M., Mwapasa, T., Lewis, J. M., Rowlingson, B., Sammarro, M., Bakali, W., Salifu, C., Zuza, A., Charles, M., Mandula, T., Maiden, V., Amos, S., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Byrne, R. & Edwards, T. & 7 others, Lester, R., Elviss, N., Roberts, A. P., Singer, A. C., Jewell, C., Morse, T. & Feasey, N. A., 31/07/2023, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 4, 7, p. e534-e543 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  20. Published

    Risk Factors, Temporal Dependence, and Seasonality of Human extended-spectrum β-lactamases-producing<i>Escherichia coli</i>and<i>Klebsiella pneumoniae</i>Colonization in Malawi: A Longitudinal Model-based Approach

    Sammarro, M., Rowlingson, B., Cocker, D., Chidziwisano, K., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Lester, R., Morse, T., Feasey, N. & Jewell, C., 5/07/2023, In: Clinical Infectious Diseases. 77, 1, p. 1-8 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  21. Published

    Backfilling cohorts in phase I dose-escalation studies

    Barnett, H., Boix, O., Kontos, D. & Jaki, T., 30/06/2023, In: Clinical Trials. 20, 3, p. 261-268 8 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  22. Published

    Contact patterns of UK home delivery drivers and their use of protective measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: a cross-sectional study

    Bridgen, J. R. E., Wei, H., Whitfield, C., Han, Y., Hall, I., Jewell, C. P., van Tongeren, M. J. A. & Read, J. M., 30/06/2023, In: Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 80, 6, p. 333-338 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  23. Published

    Individual and population level costs and health-related quality of life outcomes of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection in Blantyre, Malawi

    Lester, R., Mango, J., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C. P., Lalloo, D. A., Feasey, N. A., Maheswaran, H. & Muniyandi, M. (Editor), 22/06/2023, In: PLOS Global Public Health. 3, 6, e0001589.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  24. Published

    A hospital demand and capacity intervention approach for COVID-19

    Van Yperen, J., Campillo-Funollet, E., Inkpen, R., Memon, A., Madzvamuse, A. & Ndeffo-Mbah, M. L. (Editor), 3/05/2023, In: PLoS One. 18, 5, 35 p., e0283350.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  25. Published

    Air Pollution Exposure Among Adult Chronic Airway Disease Patients in the Gambia: A Pilot Case-control Study

    Awokola, B. I., Mohammed, N., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Jatta, M. L., Susso, M., Gibba, A., Ndow, P., Awokola, E., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Devereux, G., Mortimer, K. J. & Erhart, A., 1/05/2023, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 207, 1 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineMeeting abstractpeer-review

  26. Published

    A novel statistical test for treatment differences in clinical trials using a response‐adaptive forward‐looking Gittins Index Rule

    Barnett, H. Y., Villar, S. S., Geys, H. & Jaki, T., 31/03/2023, In: Biometrics. 79, 1, p. 86-97 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  27. Published

    An Updated Show of Hands

    Barnett, H., Karapiperi, A. & Kastis, E., 6/03/2023, In: MSOR Connections. 21, 1, p. 18-22 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  28. Published

    A dependent Bayesian Dirichlet process model for source apportionment of particle number size distribution

    Baerenbold, O., Meis, M., Martínez‐Hernández, I., Euán, C., Burr, W. S., Tremper, A., Fuller, G., Pirani, M. & Blangiardo, M., 28/02/2023, In: Environmetrics. 34, 1, 18 p., e2763.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  29. Published

    Input Uncertainty Quantification for Quantiles

    Parmar, D., Morgan, L., Titman, A., Sanchez, S. & Williams, R., 23/01/2023, 2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC). Feng, B., Pedrielli, G., Peng, Y., Shashaani, S., Song, E., Corlu, C. G., Lee, L. H., Chew, E. P., Roeder, T. & Lendermann, P. (eds.). IEEE, p. 97-108 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  30. 2022
  31. Published

    Effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on morbidity and mortality from bloodstream infections in Blantyre, Malawi: a prospective cohort study

    Lester, R., Musicha, P., Kawaza, K., Langton, J., Mango, J., Mangochi, H., Bakali, W., Pearse, O., Mallewa, J., Denis, B., Bilima, S., Gordon, S. B., Lalloo, D. G., Jewell, C. P. & Feasey, N. A., 31/12/2022, In: The Lancet. Microbe. 3, 12, p. e922-e930 9 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  32. Published

    Dose finding studies for therapies with late‐onset toxicities: A comparison study of designs

    Barnett, H., Boix, O., Kontos, D. & Jaki, T., 30/12/2022, In: Statistics in Medicine. 41, 30, p. 5767-5788 22 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  33. Published

    Social mixing patterns in the UK following the relaxation of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, July to August 2020: a cross-sectional online survey

    Bridgen, J., Jewell, C. & Read, J., 13/12/2022, In: BMJ Open. 12, 12, 8 p., e059231.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  34. Published

    Colonization dynamics of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacterales in the gut of Malawian adults

    Lewis, J. M., Mphasa, M., Banda, R., Beale, M. A., Heinz, E., Mallewa, J., Jewell, C., Faragher, B., Thomson, N. R. & Feasey, N. A., 31/10/2022, In: Nature Microbiology. 7, 10, p. 1593-1604 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  35. Published

    Hospitalisation and mortality risk of SARS-COV-2 variant omicron sub-lineage BA.2 compared to BA.1 in England

    Webster, H. H., Nyberg, T., Sinnathamby, M. A., Aziz, N. A., Ferguson, N., Seghezzo, G., Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Chand, M., Groves, N., Myers, R., Hope, R., Ashano, E., Lopez-Bernal, J., De Angelis, D., Dabrera, G., Presanis, A. M. & Thelwall, S., 13/10/2022, In: Nature Communications. 13, 1, 6 p., 6053.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  36. Published

    Reformulating the susceptible–infectious–removed model in terms of the number of detected cases: well-posedness of the observational model

    Campillo-Funollet, E., Wragg, H., Yperen, J. V., Duong, D.-L. & Madzvamuse, A., 3/10/2022, In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. 380, 2233, 15 p., 20210306.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  37. E-pub ahead of print

    Longitudinal Ambient PM 2.5 Measurement at Fifteen Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B., Okello, G., Johnson, O., Dobson, R., Ouédraogo, A. R., Dibba, B., Ngahane, M., Ndukwu, C., Agunwa, C., Marangu, D., Lawin, H., Ogugua, I., Eze, J., Nwosu, N., Ofiaeli, O., Ubuane, P., Osman, R., Awokola, E., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. & 3 others, Jewell, C., Semple, S. & Suriano, D. (Editor), 29/09/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Atmosphere. 13, 10, 16 p., 1593.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  38. Published

    EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England

    Overton, C. E., Pellis, L., Stage, H. B., Scarabel, F., Burton, J., Fraser, C., Hall, I., House, T. A., Jewell, C., Nurtay, A., Pagani, F., Lythgoe, K. A. & Struchiner, C. J. (Editor), 6/09/2022, In: PLoS Computational Biology. 18, 9, 20 p., e1010406.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  39. Published

    Estimating quality-adjusted life-years: Assessing the bias induced for a terminal decline quality of life model

    Welsh, A., Costain, D. & Titman, A., 18/07/2022, Proceedings of the 36th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling: July 18-22, 2022 - Trieste, Italy. Torelli, N., Bellio, R. & Muggeo, V. (eds.). EUT Edizioni Università di Trieste, Trieste 2022, p. 354-359 6 p.

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paper

  40. Published

    Recovery beyond clinical improvement - Recovery outcomes measured for people with bipolar disorder between 1980 and 2020

    Mezes, B., Lobban, F., Costain, D., Hillier, L., Longson, D., Varese, F. & Jones, S. H., 15/07/2022, In: Journal of Affective Disorders. 309, p. 375-392 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  41. Published

    Baseline and peak cortisol response to the low dose short Synacthen test relates to indication for testing, age and sex

    Park, J., Titman, A., Lancaster, G., Selvarajah, B., Collingwood, C., Powell, D., Das, U., Dharmaraj, P., Didi, M., Senniappan, S. & Blair, J., 30/06/2022, In: Journal of the Endocrine Society. 6, 6, p. bvac043 bvac043.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  42. Published

    Impact of intensified control on visceral leishmaniasis in a highly-endemic district of Bihar, India: an interrupted time series analysis

    Kumar, V., Siddiqui, N. A., Pollington, T. M., Mandal, R., Das, S., Kesari, S., Das, V. R., Pandey, K., Hollingsworth, T. D., Chapman, L. A. C. & Das, P., 30/06/2022, In: Epidemics. 39, 8 p., 100562.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  43. Published

    Statistical analysis of multi‐day solar irradiance using a threshold time series model

    Euán, C., Sun, Y. & Reich, B. J., 31/05/2022, In: Environmetrics. 33, 3, e2716.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  44. Published

    Measuring Air Quality for Advocacy in Africa (MA3): Ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> Concentrations Over One-Year in 15 Locations in Eight Sub-Saharan African Countries Using Low-Cost Sensors

    Awokola, B. I., Okello, G., Dobson, R., Amusa, G. A., Johnson, O., Erhart, A., Mortimer, K., Jewell, C., Semple, S. & MA3 Study Group, 2/05/2022, In: American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 205, 2 p., A5170.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineConference articlepeer-review

  45. Published

    General tests of the Markov property in multi-state models

    Titman, A. & Putter, H., 30/04/2022, In: Biostatistics. 23, 2, p. 380-396 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  46. Published

    Influence of sex, season and environmental air quality on experimental human pneumococcal carriage acquisition: a retrospective cohort analysis

    Cheliotis, K. S., Jewell, C. P., Solórzano, C., Urban, B., Collins, A. M., Mitsi, E., Pojar, S., Nikolaou, E., German, E. L., Reiné, J., Gordon, S. B., Jochems, S. P., Rylance, J. & Ferreira, D. M., 11/04/2022, In: ERJ open research. 8, 2, 10 p., 00586-2021.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  47. Published

    Enhancing epidemiological surveillance of the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant using spike gene target failure data, England, 15 November to 31 December 2021

    Blomquist, P. B., Bridgen, J., Bray, N., O’Connell, A. M., West, D., Groves, N., Gallagher, E., Utsi, L., Jarvis, C. I., Hardstaff, J. L., Byers, C., Metelmann, S., Simons, D., Zaidi, A., Twohig, K. A., Savagar, B., Løchen, A., Wrenn, K., Saavedra-Campos, M. & Abedin, Z. & 5 others, Florence, I., Cleary, P., Elson, R., Vivancos, R. & Lake, I. R., 17/03/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 11, 5 p., 2200143.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  48. Published

    Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in sub-Saharan Africa

    Awokola, B. I., Amusa, G. A., Jewell, C. P., Okello, G., Stobrink, M., Finney, L. J., Mohammed, N., Erhart, A. & Mortimer, K. J., 1/03/2022, In: International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease. 26, 3, p. 232-242 11 p.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  49. Published

    Comparing Data Collection Strategies via Input Uncertainty When Simulating Testing Policies Using Viral Load Profiles

    Parmar, D., Morgan, L., Titman, A., Regnier, E. & Sanchez, S., 28/02/2022, WSC '21: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference. IEEE Press, 12 p. 101

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

  50. Published

    Risk factor targeting for vaccine prioritization during the COVID-19 pandemic

    Chapman, L. A. C., Shukla, P., Rodríguez-Barraquer, I., Shete, P. B., León, T. M., Bibbins-Domingo, K., Rutherford, G. W., Schechter, R. & Lo, N. C., 23/02/2022, In: Scientific Reports. 12, 12 p., 3055.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  51. E-pub ahead of print

    Drivers of Resistance in Uganda and Malawi (DRUM): a protocol for the evaluation of One-Health drivers of Extended Spectrum Beta Lactamase (ESBL) resistance in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMICs)

    Cocker, D., Sammarro, M., Chidziwisano, K., Elviss, N., Jacob, S. T., Kajumbula, H., Mugisha, L., Musoke, D., Musicha, P., Roberts, A. P., Rowlingson, B., Singer, A. C., Byrne, R. L., Edwards, T., Lester, R., Wilson, C., Hollihead, B., Thomson, N., Jewell, C. P. & Morse, T. & 1 others, Feasey, N., 15/02/2022, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Wellcome Open Research. 7, 13 p., 55.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  52. Published

    Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021

    Chapman, L. A. C., Barnard, R. C., Russell, T. W., Abbott, S., Zandvoort, K. V., Davies, N. G. & Kucharski, A. J., 6/01/2022, In: Eurosurveillance. 27, 1, 8 p., 2101038.

    Research output: Contribution to Journal/MagazineJournal articlepeer-review

  53. 2013
  54. Published

    Detecting changes in wave spectra using the total variation distance

    Euán, C., Ortega, J. & Esteban, P. C. A., 30/06/2013, Proceedings of the 23rd International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, ISOPE 2013. p. 824-830 7 p. (Proceedings of the International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference).

    Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSNConference contribution/Paperpeer-review

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