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2024
Forthcoming
Modelling and Solving the University Course Timetabling Problem with Hybrid Teaching Considerations
Davison, M., Kheiri, A. & Zografos, K. G., 26/04/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Scheduling.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Special issue › peer-review
Published
Tamás P. Papp, Paul Fearnhead and Chris Sherlock's contribution to the discussion of “the Discussion Meeting on Probabilistic and statistical aspects of machine learning”
Papp, T. P., Fearnhead, P. & Sherlock, C., 12/04/2024, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology). 86, 2, p. 327-328 2 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Forthcoming
Detection of Emergent Anomalous Structure in Functional Data
Austin, E., Eckley, I. A. & Bardwell, L., 28/03/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Technometrics. 20 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Design and analysis of platform trials
Greenstreet, P., 24/03/2024, Lancaster University. 287 p.
Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis
Published
A constant-per-iteration likelihood ratio test for online changepoint detection for exponential family models
Ward, K., Romano, G., Eckley, I. & Fearnhead, P., 19/03/2024, In: Statistics and Computing. 34, 3, 99.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Indirect estimation of the monthly transport turnover indicator in Italy
Guardabascio, B., Moauro, F. & Mosley, L., 19/03/2024, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Empirical Economics.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Scalable Bayesian Inference Using Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo
Putcha, S., 6/03/2024, Lancaster University. 161 p.
Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis
Published
Hasimoto frames and the Gibbs measure of the periodic nonlinear Schrödinger equation
Blower, G., Khaleghi, A. & Kuchemann-Scales, M., 1/02/2024, In: Journal of Mathematical Physics. 65, 2, 022705.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Joint modelling of the body and tail of bivariate data
André, L., Wadsworth, J. & O'Hagan, A., 31/01/2024, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 189, p. 107841 1 p., 107841.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
The sparse dynamic factor model: a regularised quasi-maximum likelihood approach
Mosley, L., Chan, T-S. & Gibberd, A., 22/01/2024, In: Statistics and Computing. 34, 68.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Forthcoming
Tuning-Free Maximum Likelihood Training of Latent Variable Models via Coin Betting
Sharrock, L., Dodd, D. & Nemeth, C., 19/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review
Forthcoming
Forecasting seasonal demand for retail: A Fourier time-varying grey model
Ye, L., Xie, N., Boylan, J. E. & Shang, Z., 18/01/2024, (Accepted/In press) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Input Uncertainty and Data Collection Problems in Stochastic Simulation
Parmar, D., 2024, Lancaster University. 167 p.
Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis
2023
Forthcoming
anomaly: Detection of Anomalous Structure in Time Series Data
Fisch, A., Grose, D., Eckley, I. A., Fearnhead, P. & Bardwell, L., 21/12/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Journal of Statistical Software.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
A stochastic game framework for patrolling a border
Darlington, M., Glazebrook, K., Shone, R., Leslie, D. & Szechtman, R., 16/12/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 311, 3, p. 1146-1158 13 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Staying Positive: Challenges and Solutions in Using Pure Multiplicative ETS Models
Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 15/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: IMA Journal of Management Mathematics.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
A time-expanded network design model for staff allocation in mail centres
Thorburn, H., Sachs, A-L., Fairbrother, J. & Boylan, J., 5/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the Operational Research Society.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Temporal evolution of the extreme excursions of multivariate k $$ k $$ th order Markov processes with application to oceanographic data
Tendijck, S., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 3/12/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Environmetrics.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Using biomarkers to allocate patients in a response-adaptive clinical trial
Jackson, H., Bowen, S. & Jaki, T., 2/12/2023, In: Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation. 52, 12, p. 5946-5965 20 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Statistical Methods for Samples of Interaction Networks
Bolt, G., 12/2023, Lancaster University. 255 p.
Research output: Thesis › Doctoral Thesis
Published
iETS: State space model for intermittent demand forecasting
Svetunkov, I. & Boylan, J. E., 30/11/2023, In: International Journal of Production Economics. 265, 109013.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Searching for long faint astronomical high energy transients: a data driven approach
Crupi, R., Dilillo, G., Bissaldi, E., Ward, K., Fiore, F. & Vacchi, A., 22/11/2023, In: Experimental Astronomy. 56, p. 421-476 56 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Latent Space Modelling of Hypergraph Data
Turnbull, K., Lunagomez, S., Nemeth, C. & Airoldi, E., 23/10/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Modeling Intransitivity in Pairwise Comparisons with Application to Baseball Data
Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 2/10/2023, In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 32, 4, p. 1383-1392 10 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Latent multinomial models for extended batch‐mark data
Zhang, W., Bonner, S. J. & McCrea, R., 30/09/2023, In: Biometrics. 79, 3, p. 2732-2742 11 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Identifying prodromal symptoms at high specificity for Parkinson’s disease
Jackson, H., Anzures-Cabrera, J., Simuni, T., Postuma, R. B., Marek, K. & Pagano, G., 22/09/2023, In: Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience. 15, 1232387.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Poisson-FOCuS: An Efficient Online Method for Detecting Count Bursts with Application to Gamma Ray Burst Detection
Ward, K., Dilillo, G., Eckley, I. & Fearnhead, P., 6/09/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 13 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
New estimation methods for extremal bivariate return curves
Murphy-Barltrop, C., Wadsworth, J. & Eastoe, E., 31/08/2023, In: Environmetrics. 34, 5, e2797.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Using forecasting to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on passenger air transport demand
Li, X., de Groot, M. & Bäck, T., 31/08/2023, In: Decision Sciences. 54, 4, p. 394-409 16 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
A comparison of Bayesian information borrowing methods in basket trials and a novel proposal of modified exchangeability‐nonexchangeability method
Daniells, L., Mozgunov, P., Bedding, A. & Jaki, T., 23/08/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Statistics in Medicine.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
An alternative to traditional sample size determination for small patient populations
Jackson, H. & Jaki, T., 3/07/2023, In: Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research. 15, 3, p. 596-607 12 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
The algorithm selection problem for solving Sudoku with metaheuristics
Notice, D., Kheiri, A. & Pavlidis, N., 3/07/2023.
Research output: Contribution to conference - Without ISBN/ISSN › Conference paper › peer-review
Published
An evaluation of the fairness of railway timetable rescheduling in the presence of competition between train operators
Reynolds, E., Ehrgott, M. & Wang, J. Y. T., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of Rail Transport Planning & Management. 26, 14 p., 100389.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Identifying irregular activity sequences: an application to passive household monitoring
Gillam, J., Killick, R., Taylor, S., Heal, J. & Norwood, B., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics). 72, 3, p. 519-543 25 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Modeling the Extremes of Bivariate Mixture Distributions With Application to Oceanographic Data
Tendijck, S., Eastoe, E., Tawn, J., Randell, D. & Jonathan, P., 30/06/2023, In: Journal of the American Statistical Association. 118, 542, p. 1373-1384 12 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Forthcoming
Stochastic Gradient MCMC for Nonlinear State Space Models
Aicher, C., Putcha, S., Nemeth, C., Fearnhead, P. & Fox, E. B., 8/06/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Bayesian Analysis.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
A Classical Search Game In Discrete Locations
Clarkson, J., Lin, K. & Glazebrook, K., 31/05/2023, In: Mathematics of Operations Research. 48, 2, p. 687-707 21 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Updating the probability of study success for combination therapies using related combination study data
Graham, E., Harbron, C. & Jaki, T., 30/04/2023, In: Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 32, 4, p. 712-731 20 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Preferential Subsampling for Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics
Putcha, S., Nemeth, C. & Fearnhead, P., 27/04/2023, In: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. 206, p. 8837-8856 20 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Conference article › peer-review
Forthcoming
Accouting for seasonality in extreme sea level estimation
D'Arcy, E., Tawn, J., Joly, A. & Sifnioti, D., 22/04/2023, (Accepted/In press) In: Annals of Applied Statistics.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Detecting changes in covariance via random matrix theory
Ryan, S. & Killick, R., 10/04/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Technometrics. p. 1-12 12 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Distributionally Robust Resource Planning Under Binomial Demand Intakes
Black, B., Ainslie, R., Dokka, T. & Kirkbride, C., 1/04/2023, In: European Journal of Operational Research. 306, 1, p. 227-242 16 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Extremal characteristics of conditional models
Tendijck, S., Tawn, J. & Jonathan, P., 31/03/2023, In: Extremes. 26, 1, p. 139-156 18 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Integrated Population Models: Achieving Their Potential
Frost, F., McCrea, R., King, R., Gimenez, O. & Zipkin, E., 31/03/2023, In: Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice. 17, 1, 28 p., 6.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Joint Estimation of Extreme Spatially Aggregated Precipitation at Different Scales through Mixture Modelling
Richards, J., Tawn, J. & Brown, S., 31/03/2023, In: Spatial Statistics. 53, 21 p., 100725.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Sequential Estimation of Temporally Evolving Latent Space Network Models
Turnbull, K., Nemeth, C., Nunes, M. & McCormick, T., 31/03/2023, In: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis. 179, 107627.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
Published
Simulation For Evaluating Long-term Maintenance Plans For Complex Systems
Rhodes-Leader, L., Worthington, D., Griffiths, I. & Samartzis, P., 31/03/2023, Proceedings of the 11th Operational Research Society Simulation Workshop (SW23). Currie, C. & Rhodes-Leader, L. (eds.). Operational Research Society, p. 272-282 11 p.
Research output: Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings - With ISBN/ISSN › Conference contribution/Paper › peer-review
Published
The periodic review model with independent age‐dependent lifetimes
Clarkson, J., Voelkel, M. A., Sachs, AL. & Thonemann, U. W., 31/03/2023, In: Production and Operations Management. 32, 3, p. 813-828 16 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Modelling intransitivity in pairwise comparisons with application to baseball data
Spearing, H., Tawn, J., Irons, D. & Paulden, T., 23/03/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 10 p.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review
E-pub ahead of print
Outlier detection in network revenue management
Rennie, N., Cleophas, C., Sykulski, A. & Dost, F., 23/03/2023, (E-pub ahead of print) In: OR Spectrum.
Research output: Contribution to Journal/Magazine › Journal article › peer-review

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